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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-72
24-19 20-12 20-23 25-18
Position#5
Record13-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#2
Record19-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.2
GermanyBBLRound 28· Tectake Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 74
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 74
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 74
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 74
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
71avg 74
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
104avg 74
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 74
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 74
A26/03
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
62avg 74
H29/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 74
A05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
16-13
14-21
28-9
22-32
19-18
14-14
16-13
26-36
27-20
16-23
32-31
34-19
14-20
17-20
12-25
14-19
22-21
21-22
26-28
19-14
25-25
24-21
17-25
27-19
17-23
18-15
22-23
17-18
15-22
24-25
18-15
19-28
10-23
19-14
27-16
30-18
25-13
20-20
22-29
171.5Avg total
85.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.581.1164.6+2.452%
Season at home (12)82.480.8163.2+1.650%
Season away (13)84.581.4165.8+3.154%
Last 10 (10)85.486.1171.5-0.730%
Last 5 (5)89.088.0177.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.880.2157.0-3.333%
vs Similar (16)83.283.1166.4+0.144%
vs Weaker (8)88.084.8172.8+3.262%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 80
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 80
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 80
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
94avg 80
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 80
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 80
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 80
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 80
H08/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
17-16
20-33
21-13
28-24
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
174.9Avg total
94.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.180.2168.3+8.070%
Season at home (14)93.076.6169.6+16.493%
Season away (13)82.984.1167.0-1.246%
Last 10 (10)94.980.0174.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)94.084.8178.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.387.3171.7-3.033%
vs Similar (11)92.886.1178.9+6.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.577.9167.4+11.675%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H29/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A05/04
BBL
83.5Avg total
41.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.880.3+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.780.9-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.079.7+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.883.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.681.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.843.081.8-4.250%-
vs Similar (16)41.039.680.6+1.462%-
vs Weaker (8)40.838.078.8+2.862%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
82.0Avg total
43.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.984.5+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.840.888.6+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.079.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.782.0+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.047.089.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (11)43.443.687.0-0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.137.981.9+6.275%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.2
52.8%
52.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.5
32.5%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.419.6
77.2%
73.5%19.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.8
54.7%
52.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.413.1
43.1%
33.6%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.2
73.8%
73.5%17.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLLWLLLLLW
Ulm
WWLWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#2
-0.8
Net rating
+19.6
110.6
Offensive rating
120.4
111.4
Defensive rating
100.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
59.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.5%
3-point %
43.1%
56.3%
Assist %
59.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 120.4Defence111.4 · 100.8Shooting50.9% · 59.3%3-point %32.5% · 43.1%Ball care17.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wurzburg wins
6
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AGottingen97-80
29/03/25HBayern75-81
26/03/25ATortona74-80
23/03/25AAlba Berlin84-80
19/03/25HPromitheas115-119 OT
16/03/25HChemnitz83-90
11/03/25AAEK Athens77-84
09/03/25ASyntainics MBC101-110
04/03/25HAEK Athens71-77
01/03/25HLudwigsburg77-60
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25HBayern109-94
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
14/03/25AVechta84-73
09/03/25HAlba Berlin101-90 OT
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game83.582.484.5
Allowed / game81.180.881.4
Point differential+2.4+1.6+3.1
Avg total164.6163.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%93%46%
Points / game88.193.082.9
Allowed / game80.276.684.1
Point differential+8.0+16.4-1.2
Avg total168.3169.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2720774%83.175.3+7.7
2 Ulm2719870%88.180.2+8.0
3 Heidelberg25151060%80.580.5-0.0
4 Chemnitz25151060%80.282.0-1.8
5 Basketball Braunschweig27161159%84.682.7+1.8
6 Rostock26141254%81.380.6+0.8
7 Syntainics MBC26141254%84.684.5+0.0
8 Hamburg26141254%81.581.7-0.2
9 Wurzburg25131252%83.581.1+2.4
10 Vechta27141352%80.682.1-1.5
11 Alba Berlin26131350%85.881.3+4.5
12 Ludwigsburg26121446%74.673.4+1.2
13 Bonn26121446%84.083.2+0.8
14 Oldenburg27121544%88.388.3-0.1
15 Bamberg26101638%83.285.4-2.2
16 Frankfurt2681831%76.482.8-6.3
17 Gottingen261254%80.195.7-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2420202589
Ulm1912231872
← all games of the day
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