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Alba Berlin vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 90-82
17-17 25-20 22-14 26-31
Position#2
Record8-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game77.8
GermanyBBLRound 16· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Wurzburg
23 Apr 2027
ABE v WUR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
ABE71
WUR68
23 Mar 2025
ABE80
WUR84
14 Jan 2024
ABE90
WUR82
05 Apr 2023
ABE76
WUR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 79
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 79
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 79
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 79
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
162.6Avg total
79.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.685.4178.0+7.267%
Season at home (5)95.283.4178.6+11.880%
Season away (7)90.786.9177.6+3.957%
Last 10 (10)79.483.2162.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.884.2160.0-8.421%
vs Similar ◀ (2)99.585.0184.5+14.5100%
vs Weaker (9)89.482.2171.7+7.267%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
60avg 67
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 67
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 67
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 67
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 67
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 67
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
80avg 67
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
20avg 67
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 67
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-16
12-12
17-26
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
34-16
12-11
24-23
27-28
28-19
19-25
21-32
30-20
23-13
5-22
27-28
28-15
14-17
19-14
26-18
24-29
19-19
19-22
24-24
25-22
167.1Avg total
88.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.177.8161.9+6.371%
Season at home (7)80.377.6157.9+2.757%
Season away (7)87.978.0165.9+9.986%
Last 10 (10)88.179.0167.1+9.180%
Last 5 (5)93.686.2179.8+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.079.7142.7-16.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.1162.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (8)91.478.0169.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Alba BerlinWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
41.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.1-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.542.684.1-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.884.1-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.784.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.677.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.743.981.6-6.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)57.044.5101.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker (9)43.941.485.3+2.456%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
BBL
74.6Avg total
39.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.877.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.077.9-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.577.5-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.074.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.441.173.6-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.740.379.0-1.629%-
vs Weaker (8)40.137.978.0+2.262%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.2
49.1%
54.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.6
40.3%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
76.0%13.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.6
50.2%
54.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.4
38.0%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
76.0%15.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLLWLLWW
Wurzburg
WWWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#4
-5.5
Net rating
+7.1
108.2
Offensive rating
113.4
113.7
Defensive rating
106.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.3%
3-point %
38.0%
62.2%
Assist %
46.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 113.4Defence113.7 · 106.3Shooting53.5% · 53.4%3-point %40.3% · 38.0%Ball care19.9% · 14.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
05/04/23Alba Berlin v Wurzburg76-47
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24ATubingen107-101 OT
29/12/23HOldenburg83-78
27/12/23ABamberg83-78
23/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins98-96
16/12/23HBonn97-78
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54
04/11/23HChemnitz68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%80%57%
Points / game92.695.290.7
Allowed / game85.483.486.9
Point differential+7.2+11.8+3.9
Avg total178.0178.6177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game84.180.387.9
Allowed / game77.877.678.0
Point differential+6.3+2.7+9.9
Avg total161.9157.9165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1614288%87.274.6+12.6
2 Bayern1310377%87.977.0+10.9
3 Ulm1612475%94.088.8+5.2
4 Wurzburg1410471%84.177.8+6.3
5 Vechta1611569%91.181.2+9.8
6 Alba Berlin128467%92.685.4+7.2
7 Hamburg1510567%88.988.9+0.0
8 Ludwigsburg1610662%89.479.8+9.6
9 Bonn1710759%90.284.6+5.6
10 Oldenburg167944%85.285.8-0.5
11 Rostock156940%92.193.6-1.5
12 Bamberg156940%88.890.7-1.9
13 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%82.887.6-4.8
14 Syntainics MBC1541127%81.388.9-7.5
15 Tubingen1541127%86.995.6-8.7
16 Gottingen1431121%89.3101.1-11.9
17 Crailsheim Merlins1631319%78.494.7-16.2
18 Heidelberg1521313%81.595.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1725222690
Wurzburg1720143182
← all games of the day
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