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Wurzburg vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.8
GermanyBBLRound 17· Tectake Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Wurzburg v Alba Berlin
18 Jan 2027
WUR v ABE
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
WUR96
ABE92
23 Apr 2025
WUR70
ABE69
28 Jan 2024
WUR76
ABE75
23 Jan 2023
WUR76
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 71
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 71
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 71
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 71
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 71
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 71
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 71
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
164.4Avg total
83.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.482.1163.6-0.757%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (3)82.780.0162.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)90.276.6166.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.276.4158.6+5.864%
vs Weaker (11)82.476.6159.0+5.764%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
46avg 81
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 81
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
177.0Avg total
88.5Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.287.8174.0-1.550%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (3)74.795.0169.7-20.30%
Last 10 (10)88.588.5177.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)93.286.4179.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.586.7168.2-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.583.0170.5+4.560%
vs Weaker (10)91.183.3174.4+7.870%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
WurzburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
44.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.179.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.582.2+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)38.636.374.9+2.346%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.884.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.885.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.436.878.2+4.671%-
vs Weaker (11)41.438.680.0+2.755%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)40.044.784.7-4.715%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.090.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.845.184.9-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
vs Weaker (10)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLWWWWWLLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#10
+4.1
Net rating
-0.4
92.6
Offensive rating
98.6
88.5
Defensive rating
99.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.1%
3-point %
35.6%
54.9%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 98.6Defence88.5 · 99.0Shooting49.0% · 54.9%3-point %33.1% · 35.6%Ball care14.2% · 15.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wurzburg wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game81.480.582.7
Allowed / game82.183.880.0
Point differential-0.7-3.2+2.7
Avg total163.6164.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game86.293.274.7
Allowed / game87.883.495.0
Point differential-1.5+9.8-20.3
Avg total174.0176.6169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
9 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
17 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
18 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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