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Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-81
19-28 10-23 19-14 27-16
Position#5
Record12-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record17-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game73.7
GermanyBBLRound 26· Tectake Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Wurzburg v Bayern
08 Nov 2026
WUR v BAY
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
WUR81
BAY90
29 Mar 2025
WUR75
BAY81
02 Jun 2024
WUR61
BAY75
14 Apr 2024
WUR82
BAY90
10 Apr 2023
WUR49
BAY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
93-97
93
97
-4
81avg 74
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
90avg 74
A12/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
77-60
77
60
+17
76avg 74
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 74
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 74
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 74
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
71avg 74
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
104avg 74
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 74
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 74
A26/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
30-19
19-29
15-28
23-23
21-18
21-26
21-19
19-17
16-13
14-21
28-9
22-32
19-18
14-14
16-13
26-36
27-20
16-23
32-31
34-19
14-20
17-20
12-25
14-19
22-21
21-22
26-28
19-14
25-25
24-21
17-25
27-19
17-23
18-15
22-23
17-18
15-22
24-25
18-15
176.3Avg total
87.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.381.2164.4+2.152%
Season at home (11)83.180.8163.9+2.355%
Season away (12)83.481.5164.9+1.950%
Last 10 (10)87.389.0176.3-1.730%
Last 5 (5)86.690.6177.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.878.3154.2-2.533%
vs Similar (17)83.583.1166.6+0.447%
vs Weaker (7)86.785.4172.1+1.357%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 80
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 80
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 80
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 80
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 80
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 80
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
26-19
22-19
22-15
17-25
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
169.5Avg total
88.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.773.7155.4+8.074%
Season at home (12)82.072.0154.0+10.092%
Season away (11)81.575.5157.0+5.955%
Last 10 (10)88.281.3169.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.295.8177.0-14.525%
vs Similar (15)86.584.0170.5+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.173.1157.2+11.082%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
WurzburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H01/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Champions League
85.3Avg total
43.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.479.8+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.981.0+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.078.8+0.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.785.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.539.278.7+0.367%-
vs Similar (17)41.439.781.1+1.665%-
vs Weaker (7)38.739.077.7-0.357%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
44.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.678.8+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)43.342.585.8+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.085.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.843.584.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (15)40.940.581.4+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.437.782.1+6.673%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.3
53.8%
52.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.9
32.8%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.820.1
77.9%
73.5%20.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.216.6
58.9%
52.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.2
38.3%
33.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
73.5%14.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLLLLLWWL
Bayern
WWWLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#1
-2.1
Net rating
+9.7
113.4
Offensive rating
119.5
115.5
Defensive rating
109.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
58.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
38.3%
57.1%
Assist %
62.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 119.5Defence115.5 · 109.8Shooting51.6% · 58.1%3-point %32.8% · 38.3%Ball care16.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Bayern v Wurzburg70-69
02/06/24Wurzburg v Bayern61-75
31/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg99-75
29/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg91-76
14/04/24Wurzburg v Bayern82-90
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ATortona74-80
23/03/25AAlba Berlin84-80
19/03/25HPromitheas115-119 OT
16/03/25HChemnitz83-90
11/03/25AAEK Athens77-84
09/03/25ASyntainics MBC101-110
04/03/25HAEK Athens71-77
01/03/25HLudwigsburg77-60
12/02/25ABamberg98-93 OT
09/02/25HRostock93-97
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101
22/03/25HRostock91-66
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69
09/03/25HHeidelberg87-78
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game83.383.183.4
Allowed / game81.280.881.5
Point differential+2.1+2.3+1.9
Avg total164.4163.9164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%92%55%
Points / game81.782.081.5
Allowed / game73.772.075.5
Point differential+8.0+10.0+5.9
Avg total155.4154.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2317674%81.773.7+8.0
2 Ulm2517868%86.279.4+6.8
3 Heidelberg2213959%79.780.0-0.3
4 Chemnitz2213959%79.580.5-0.9
5 Basketball Braunschweig24141058%83.282.3+0.9
6 Vechta25141156%82.082.0+0.0
7 Syntainics MBC24131154%84.885.0-0.1
8 Wurzburg23121152%83.381.2+2.1
9 Ludwigsburg24121250%74.572.3+2.2
10 Oldenburg24121250%89.788.6+1.0
11 Rostock24121250%80.780.8-0.0
12 Alba Berlin23111248%86.282.8+3.4
13 Bonn23111248%84.383.2+1.1
14 Hamburg23111248%80.181.5-1.4
15 Bamberg24101442%82.483.7-1.2
16 Frankfurt2261627%76.984.3-7.5
17 Gottingen231224%80.495.6-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1910192775
Bayern2823141681
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