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Ludwigsburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-59
34-11 21-11 24-22 27-15
Position#9
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#17
Record3-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game93.9
GermanyBBLRound 16· Arena Ludwigsburg
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins
13 Jan 2024
LUD106
CME59
08 Apr 2023
LUD82
CME77
23 Apr 2022
LUD77
CME75
06 Dec 2020
LUD97
CME88
15 Mar 2020
LUD v CME
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
LUD82
CME70
30 Dec 2015
LUD100
CME65
12 Oct 2014
LUD91
CME80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 75
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 75
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 75
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
102avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
99avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
82-63
82
63
+19
72avg 75
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
50avg 75
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 75
A10/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-15
23-17
18-19
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
21-18
14-20
22-18
26-23
25-20
26-23
18-19
13-21
31-18
27-15
29-18
17-29
24-31
26-17
24-26
30-20
20-17
20-16
25-12
17-18
16-14
14-24
16-15
20-32
26-21
8-25
18-22
20-15
160.6Avg total
80.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.381.1169.4+7.160%
Season at home (7)90.684.1174.7+6.457%
Season away (8)86.278.5164.8+7.862%
Last 10 (10)80.680.0160.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)85.681.0166.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.385.3159.7-11.017%
vs Similar (10)85.777.5163.2+8.270%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.680.5166.1+5.262%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 70
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
46avg 70
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 70
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
49avg 70
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 70
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 70
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 70
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 70
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 70
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 70
H06/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
16-18
20-24
12-25
10-29
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
29-25
18-23
21-19
19-27
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
16-29
26-16
19-14
23-30
18-21
20-12
31-15
18-28
172.3Avg total
80.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.793.9173.7-14.220%
Season at home (8)81.289.6170.9-8.438%
Season away (7)78.098.9176.9-20.90%
Last 10 (10)80.292.1172.3-11.920%
Last 5 (5)84.291.0175.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.192.9170.9-14.812%
vs Similar (11)83.585.2168.7-1.645%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -5.3-5.3
LudwigsburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/01
Champions League
80.2Avg total
39.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.682.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.383.3+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.980.8-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.338.873.2-4.517%-
vs Similar (10)41.738.079.7+3.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.944.087.9-0.154%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/01
BBL
84.1Avg total
39.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.583.1-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.181.1-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.445.885.2-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.984.1-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.686.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.045.584.5-6.518%-
vs Similar (11)41.540.481.8+1.155%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.817.8
43.6%
54.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.2
32.9%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
76.0%13.9
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.0
54.6%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.3
30.2%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
76.0%14.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LLWWWLWLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#17
+1.2
Net rating
-14.7
103.0
Offensive rating
103.5
101.9
Defensive rating
118.2
46.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
30.2%
62.9%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.5Defence101.9 · 118.2Shooting46.1% · 50.6%3-point %32.9% · 30.2%Ball care13.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ADarussafaka72-83
06/01/24AChemnitz66-85
02/01/24HDarussafaka82-63
30/12/23HTubingen104-94
27/12/23HOldenburg104-80
23/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
20/12/23HAEK Athens83-79
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
02/12/23AHeidelberg75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HSyntainics MBC87-76
30/12/23HHamburg84-89
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
25/11/23AUlm87-94
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93
11/11/23AVechta58-96
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%57%62%
Points / game88.390.686.2
Allowed / game81.184.178.5
Point differential+7.1+6.4+7.8
Avg total169.4174.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game79.781.278.0
Allowed / game93.989.698.9
Point differential-14.2-8.4-20.9
Avg total173.7170.9176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1614288%87.274.6+12.6
2 Bayern1310377%87.977.0+10.9
3 Ulm1612475%94.088.8+5.2
4 Wurzburg1410471%84.177.8+6.3
5 Vechta1611569%91.181.2+9.8
6 Alba Berlin128467%92.685.4+7.2
7 Hamburg1510567%88.988.9+0.0
8 Ludwigsburg159660%88.381.1+7.1
9 Bonn1710759%90.284.6+5.6
10 Rostock156940%92.193.6-1.5
11 Bamberg156940%88.890.7-1.9
12 Oldenburg156940%83.985.8-1.9
13 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%82.887.6-4.8
14 Syntainics MBC1541127%81.388.9-7.5
15 Tubingen1541127%86.995.6-8.7
16 Gottingen1331023%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins1531220%79.793.9-14.2
18 Heidelberg1521313%81.595.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg34212427106
Crailsheim Merlins1111221559
← all games of the day
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