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Wurzburg vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
GermanyBBLRound 28· Tectake Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Wurzburg v Hamburg
03 Apr 2027
WUR v HAM
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
WUR91
HAM88
18 Oct 2024
WUR91
HAM85
17 Mar 2024
WUR96
HAM76
06 Feb 2023
WUR90
HAM56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 70
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 70
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 70
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 70
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 70
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 69
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 69
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 69
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 69
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 69
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 69
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 69
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 69
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
WurzburgHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#15
+4.1
Net rating
-16.1
92.6
Offensive rating
86.6
88.5
Defensive rating
102.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
28.2%
54.9%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 86.6Defence88.5 · 102.7Shooting49.0% · 46.5%3-point %33.1% · 28.2%Ball care14.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wurzburg wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Hamburg v Wurzburg91-84
07/05/26Hamburg v Wurzburg73-90
02/01/26Wurzburg v Hamburg91-88
26/01/25Hamburg v Wurzburg68-66
18/10/24Wurzburg v Hamburg91-85
17/03/24Wurzburg v Hamburg96-76
01/10/23Hamburg v Wurzburg58-88
06/02/23Wurzburg v Hamburg90-56
30/12/22Hamburg v Wurzburg96-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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