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Wurzburg vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.6
GermanyBBLRound 26· Tectake Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Wurzburg v Rostock
20 Mar 2027
WUR v ROS
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
WUR63
ROS75
09 Feb 2025
WUR93
ROS97
20 Apr 2024
WUR86
ROS95
19 Nov 2022
WUR97
ROS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 71
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 71
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 71
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 71
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 71
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 71
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 75
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 75
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 75
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
18-22
27-19
22-10
19-24
165.9Avg total
84.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.381.6170.9+7.867%
Season at home (5)91.076.6167.6+14.4100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.081.9165.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar (8)79.176.6155.8+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.381.9172.3+8.460%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
WurzburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
BBL
86.5Avg total
43.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.484.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.687.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar (8)43.139.882.9+3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.838.884.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
Rostock
WLWWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#3
+4.1
Net rating
-2.9
92.6
Offensive rating
91.4
88.5
Defensive rating
94.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
32.7%
54.9%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 91.4Defence88.5 · 94.3Shooting49.0% · 49.7%3-point %33.1% · 32.7%Ball care14.2% · 16.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wurzburg wins
5
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Rostock v Wurzburg101-62
08/02/26Rostock v Wurzburg77-74
09/11/25Wurzburg v Rostock63-75
09/02/25Wurzburg v Rostock93-97
05/10/24Rostock v Wurzburg65-92
20/04/24Wurzburg v Rostock86-95
20/01/24Rostock v Wurzburg78-91
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVechta86-75
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game89.391.087.2
Allowed / game81.676.687.8
Point differential+7.8+14.4-0.5
Avg total170.9167.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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