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Zadar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-80
22-21 12-21 12-26 21-12
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2025
Meetings · Zadar v Crvena zvezda
17 Jan 2026
ZAD67
CZV80
26 Oct 2024
ZAD77
CZV84
12 Nov 2023
ZAD74
CZV81
08 May 2023
ZAD63
CZV74
12 Feb 2023
ZAD76
CZV95
07 Nov 2021
ZAD73
CZV83
26 Apr 2021
ZAD70
CZV90
09 Mar 2019
ZAD69
CZV87
20 Nov 2017
ZAD76
CZV88
06 Oct 2016
ZAD66
CZV103
06 Oct 2015
ZAD49
CZV56
26 Oct 2014
ZAD63
CZV79
15 Mar 2014
ZAD53
CZV67
02 Oct 2012
ZAD98
CZV81
22 Jan 2011
ZAD60
CZV83
12 Dec 2009
ZAD89
CZV83
07 Mar 2009
ZAD71
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
W
83-49
83
49
+34
82avg 78
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 78
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 78
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
66avg 78
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 78
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
73avg 78
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
87-55
87
55
+32
82avg 78
H05/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
75avg 78
H09/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
59avg 78
H11/01
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
27-14
13-12
20-13
22-11
20-21
15-17
17-20
23-15
18-23
16-11
31-19
26-17
7-24
23-14
13-24
21-20
21-22
18-14
15-20
17-17
25-23
21-20
14-17
19-12
22-15
22-7
24-21
24-17
24-17
22-13
14-20
16-21
13-17
25-24
12-25
16-16
29-26
21-17
19-21
151.9Avg total
79.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.783.7164.4-3.031%
Season at home (6)78.878.3157.2+0.550%
Season away (7)82.388.3170.6-6.014%
Last 10 (10)79.672.3151.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.590.2167.8-12.825%
vs Similar (7)78.077.6155.6+0.443%
vs Weaker (19)86.973.2160.1+13.879%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
67avg 82
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 82
A23/12
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
101avg 82
H27/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-65
87
65
+22
97avg 82
A02/01
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 82
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
89-106
89
106
-17
80avg 82
H06/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-99
67
99
-32
62avg 82
A09/01
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
99avg 82
H12/01
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
16-19
22-21
19-23
23-15
22-31
25-24
20-19
18-28
28-23
12-28
34-23
28-24
30-13
15-18
24-22
21-14
22-11
23-16
21-24
25-24
17-19
27-14
22-17
20-34
17-20
27-23
25-29
12-26
16-21
24-21
15-31
31-20
19-17
26-26
21-29
27-25
17-30
26-27
34-14
177.6Avg total
89.2Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.481.2172.7+10.275%
Season at home (7)93.781.4175.1+12.386%
Season away (5)88.281.0169.2+7.260%
Last 10 (10)89.288.4177.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)89.693.4183.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.577.5168.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (15)87.387.7175.0-0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.478.2167.6+11.285%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
ZadarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H11/01
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/01
Premijer liga
77.1Avg total
41.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.679.3+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.135.877.9+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.280.6+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.877.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.277.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.242.281.5-3.050%-
vs Similar (7)39.439.779.1-0.343%-
vs Weaker (19)43.135.878.9+7.274%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H27/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A02/01
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H06/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A09/01
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H12/01
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A15/01
Euroleague
86.5Avg total
43.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.186.2+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.640.384.9+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.187.6-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.586.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.287.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (15)43.445.689.0-2.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.538.684.1+6.869%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.8
53.9%
54.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.3
31.3%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.115.7
71.0%
75.3%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.4
60.1%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.7
35.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.4
79.0%
75.3%15.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWWLLLWWW
Crvena zvezda
WWLLWWWLWL
#9
League position
#4
+8.8
Net rating
+1.2
104.4
Offensive rating
112.2
95.6
Defensive rating
111.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
56.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
35.0%
64.6%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 112.2Defence95.6 · 111.1Shooting50.6% · 56.8%3-point %31.3% · 35.0%Ball care16.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 34.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zadar wins
8
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
06/10/25Crvena zvezda v Zadar79-85
02/03/25Crvena zvezda v Zadar87-76
26/10/24Zadar v Crvena zvezda77-84
11/02/24Crvena zvezda v Zadar93-54
12/11/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda74-81
08/05/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda63-74
28/04/23Crvena zvezda v Zadar100-73
12/02/23Zadar v Crvena zvezda76-95
07/11/22Crvena zvezda v Zadar96-98
13/02/22Crvena zvezda v Zadar91-69
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ADubrava85-80
11/01/26HBuducnost66-87
09/01/26HSamobor84-67
05/01/26HZabok87-55
02/01/26AKK Bosna85-93 OT
29/12/25ASpartak Subotica75-76
27/12/25AKvarner69-79
22/12/25HCibona88-68
19/12/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-69
14/12/25HAlkar83-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AOlimpia Milano104-96
12/01/26HKK Bosna97-92
09/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas67-99
06/01/26HValencia89-106
04/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija91-74
02/01/26AAnadolu Efes87-65
27/12/25HCedevita Olimpija97-77
23/12/25AParis92-102
19/12/25HVirtus Bologna90-89
16/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game80.778.882.3
Allowed / game83.778.388.3
Point differential-3.0+0.5-6.0
Avg total164.4157.2170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game91.493.788.2
Allowed / game81.281.481.0
Point differential+10.2+12.3+7.2
Avg total172.7175.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai13130100%87.873.0+14.8
2 Partizan1312192%92.881.4+11.5
3 Buducnost1210283%90.879.8+10.9
4 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%88.879.3+9.5
5 Crvena zvezda129375%91.481.2+10.2
6 Cluj-Napoca149564%94.087.6+6.4
7 Igokea127558%87.489.2-1.8
8 Spartak Subotica147750%83.583.6-0.1
9 KK Bosna126650%82.884.8-1.9
10 FMP Beograd135838%84.487.2-2.8
11 Mega Basket124833%83.893.2-9.4
12 Zadar134931%80.783.7-3.0
13 KK Krka Novo mesto134931%77.882.5-4.6
14 Vienna Basket134931%83.490.7-7.3
15 Borac Mozzart123925%78.585.2-6.7
16 Perspektiva Ilirija1331023%79.487.5-8.2
17 Split1331023%80.891.4-10.6
18 Studentski Centar1321115%76.884.2-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2212122167
Crvena zvezda2121261280
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