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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-67
26-12 21-16 21-24 31-15
Position#5
Record11-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#9
Record11-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda
14 Jan 2027
ZAL v CZV
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ZAL99
CZV67
30 Oct 2024
ZAL86
CZV84
13 Oct 2023
ZAL79
CZV74
20 Jan 2023
ZAL71
CZV66
03 Apr 2022
ZAL103
CZV98
23 Feb 2021
ZAL75
CZV62
13 Oct 2017
ZAL78
CZV76
06 Jan 2017
ZAL61
CZV77
03 Apr 2015
ZAL76
CZV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
109avg 83
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
94avg 83
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
109-68
109
68
+41
113avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
118-73
118
73
+45
126avg 83
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 83
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
112-77
112
77
+35
115avg 83
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 83
A06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
20-27
32-17
28-32
24-21
22-27
27-14
18-13
17-28
18-9
16-26
13-24
28-15
25-15
29-18
27-20
33-21
25-10
35-19
25-23
28-19
22-21
14-23
21-29
23-20
27-18
22-19
18-24
18-25
21-15
24-13
30-27
31-25
32-6
23-18
26-28
22-25
12-18
22-20
23-20
177.0Avg total
94.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.882.0168.8+4.755%
Season at home (10)83.576.8160.3+6.760%
Season away (10)90.087.3177.3+2.750%
Last 10 (10)94.982.1177.0+12.870%
Last 5 (5)91.882.6174.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.985.8173.6+2.150%
vs Weaker (21)91.076.2167.2+14.776%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 82
A08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
67avg 82
A12/12
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
93-77
93
77
+16
82avg 82
H14/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
67avg 82
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-89
90
89
+1
79avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 82
A23/12
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
101avg 82
H27/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-65
87
65
+22
97avg 82
A02/01
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 82
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
89-106
89
106
-17
80avg 82
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
24-18
22-23
16-15
18-15
21-20
21-14
16-30
23-26
24-19
27-17
19-15
21-21
16-19
22-21
19-23
23-15
22-31
25-24
20-19
18-28
28-23
12-28
34-23
28-24
30-13
15-18
24-22
21-14
22-11
23-16
21-24
25-24
17-19
27-14
22-17
20-34
17-20
27-23
25-29
170.9Avg total
87.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.083.6169.6+2.455%
Season at home (11)86.881.3168.1+5.573%
Season away (9)85.086.4171.4-1.433%
Last 10 (10)87.983.0170.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)91.284.8176.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.577.5168.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.586.5174.1+1.047%
vs Weaker (13)88.077.7165.7+10.377%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Zalgiris KaunasCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A27/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H04/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
47.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.183.6+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.482.7+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.840.884.6+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)47.639.487.0+8.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.485.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.240.583.8+2.862%-
vs Weaker (21)45.438.083.5+7.467%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/12
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H14/12
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H27/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A02/01
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A04/01
ABA League
Valencia
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H06/01
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
44.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.686.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.784.5+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)45.342.687.9+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.585.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.087.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.144.189.3+1.040%-
vs Weaker (13)44.539.183.5+5.462%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.725.0
60.0%
60.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.7
42.4%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
78.2%14.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.5
60.1%
60.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.3
36.0%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
78.2%14.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWLWWLWW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+16.9
Net rating
+5.0
127.9
Offensive rating
115.1
111.0
Defensive rating
110.1
61.2%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
42.4%
3-point %
36.0%
64.8%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence127.9 · 115.1Defence111.0 · 110.1Shooting61.2% · 57.3%3-point %42.4% · 36.0%Ball care14.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AVirtus Bologna79-83
04/01/26HNeptunas112-77
30/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-80
27/12/25ARytas90-81
23/12/25HPanathinaikos85-92
21/12/25AJonava118-73
19/12/25HPartizan109-68
17/12/25HAnadolu Efes64-87
14/12/25AJuventus91-75
11/12/25AParis108-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HValencia89-106
04/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija91-74
02/01/26AAnadolu Efes87-65
27/12/25HCedevita Olimpija97-77
23/12/25AParis92-102
19/12/25HVirtus Bologna90-89
16/12/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv78-84
14/12/25HSpartak Subotica93-77
12/12/25APartizan76-79
08/12/25AKK Bosna86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game86.883.590.0
Allowed / game82.076.887.3
Point differential+4.7+6.7+2.7
Avg total168.8160.3177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game86.086.885.0
Allowed / game83.681.386.4
Point differential+2.4+5.5-1.4
Avg total169.6168.1171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Monaco2114767%91.784.0+7.7
3 Valencia2114767%90.385.6+4.7
4 Barcelona2013765%87.785.0+2.6
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Real Madrid2113862%87.184.2+2.9
7 Panathinaikos2113862%87.585.0+2.5
8 Olympiacos1911858%87.984.6+3.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%86.882.0+4.7
10 Crvena zvezda2011955%86.083.6+2.4
11 Olimpia Milano20101050%84.985.0-0.1
12 Virtus Bologna21101148%82.583.0-0.5
13 Dubai21101148%86.088.1-2.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2181338%88.992.0-3.1
15 Paris2071335%90.292.2-1.9
16 Bayern2071335%79.384.1-4.8
17 Baskonia2061430%88.092.2-4.2
18 Anadolu Efes2061430%80.585.6-5.2
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%78.887.2-8.4
20 Partizan2061430%80.689.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2621213199
Crvena zvezda1216241567
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