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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#20
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia
10 Dec 2026
ZAL v BAS
upcoming
25 Nov 2025
ZAL82
BAS67
28 Nov 2024
ZAL70
BAS83
21 Mar 2024
ZAL94
BAS76
10 Feb 2023
ZAL79
BAS75
02 Dec 2021
ZAL72
BAS68
15 Dec 2020
ZAL92
BAS73
12 Oct 2018
ZAL79
BAS87
16 Nov 2017
ZAL77
BAS97
21 Oct 2016
ZAL78
BAS73
30 Dec 2015
ZAL68
BAS89
23 Nov 2012
ZAL82
BAS45
15 Dec 2010
ZAL89
BAS95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 90
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 90
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 90
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 90
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 90
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 90
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.682.3167.9+3.360%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (6)83.880.0163.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (4)86.588.2174.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.778.5172.2+15.292%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 83
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
106-83
106
83
+23
104avg 83
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
18-23
20-19
22-23
6-15
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.991.9171.8-12.09%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (6)75.890.0165.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.192.8172.9-12.79%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker (8)104.885.2190.0+19.5100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
Zalgiris KaunasBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.584.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.182.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.543.886.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.938.684.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
40.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.348.288.5-7.99%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker (8)50.439.890.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
77.1%18.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWLL
Baskonia
LWLWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#20
+11.2
Net rating
-5.0
106.4
Offensive rating
94.9
95.2
Defensive rating
99.9
59.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
43.4%
3-point %
33.2%
69.0%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 94.9Defence95.2 · 99.9Shooting59.8% · 51.4%3-point %43.4% · 33.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APartizan66-80
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game85.688.283.8
Allowed / game82.385.880.0
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.8
Avg total167.9174.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game79.984.875.8
Allowed / game91.994.290.0
Point differential-12.0-9.4-14.2
Avg total171.8179.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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