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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.4
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Crvena zvezda
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda
14 Jan 2027
ZAL v CZV
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ZAL99
CZV67
30 Oct 2024
ZAL86
CZV84
13 Oct 2023
ZAL79
CZV74
20 Jan 2023
ZAL71
CZV66
03 Apr 2022
ZAL103
CZV98
23 Feb 2021
ZAL75
CZV62
13 Oct 2017
ZAL78
CZV76
06 Jan 2017
ZAL61
CZV77
03 Apr 2015
ZAL76
CZV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
23-29
25-14
21-25
18-14
169.3Avg total
90.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.682.4168.0+3.364%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (7)84.180.4164.6+3.771%
Last 10 (10)90.978.4169.3+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker (25)92.677.8170.3+14.892%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Paris
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 86
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 86
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 86
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 86
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 86
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 86
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 86
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
18-18
31-22
13-23
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
168.9Avg total
89.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.7161.0+5.564%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.079.9168.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)88.079.4167.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker (15)89.979.0168.9+10.987%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
Zalgiris KaunasCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
44.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.785.2+7.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.382.6+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker (25)45.437.883.2+7.684%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
45.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.788.6+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.986.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.886.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (15)44.939.784.5+5.273%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
77.1%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#6
+11.2
Net rating
+14.0
106.4
Offensive rating
106.5
95.2
Defensive rating
92.5
59.8%
Effective FG%
59.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
43.4%
3-point %
37.9%
69.0%
Assist %
71.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.5Defence95.2 · 92.5Shooting59.8% · 59.7%3-point %43.4% · 37.9%Ball care16.4% · 13.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
24/09/26Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-83
09/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda99-67
14/10/25Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas88-79
27/02/25Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas80-86
30/10/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda86-84
09/02/24Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas91-93
13/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda79-74
20/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda71-66
13/12/22Crvena zvezda v Zalgiris Kaunas77-73
03/04/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Crvena zvezda103-98 OT
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNeptunas87-82
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78
16/10/26HParis90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game85.688.284.1
Allowed / game82.485.880.4
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.7
Avg total168.0174.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.387.877.8
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.4
Avg total161.0165.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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