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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 97-77
25-14 28-20 23-23 21-20
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game71.7
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
Position#11
Record5-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game94.6
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
17 Mar 2024
ZAL97
PZV77
01 Oct 2023
ZAL78
PZV68
11 Dec 2022
ZAL84
PZV61
06 Feb 2022
ZAL99
PZV70
12 May 2021
ZAL81
PZV74
30 Apr 2021
ZAL107
PZV83
09 Feb 2021
ZAL95
PZV76
18 Jan 2021
ZAL103
PZV77
15 Apr 2020
ZAL v PZV
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
ZAL81
PZV47
16 Mar 2019
ZAL88
PZV70
22 Sep 2018
ZAL103
PZV66
28 Jan 2018
ZAL91
PZV80
25 Sep 2017
ZAL106
PZV64
02 Apr 2017
ZAL94
PZV70
21 Nov 2016
ZAL98
PZV84
02 May 2016
ZAL95
PZV81
26 Apr 2016
ZAL102
PZV66
10 Apr 2016
ZAL93
PZV88
01 Nov 2015
ZAL103
PZV74
08 Feb 2015
ZAL81
PZV79
01 Dec 2014
ZAL82
PZV78
30 Apr 2014
ZAL83
PZV73
20 Oct 2013
ZAL83
PZV57
20 Oct 2011
ZAL91
PZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 78
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
109avg 78
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 78
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
102avg 78
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 78
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
87avg 78
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
79avg 78
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
58-64
58
64
-6
45avg 78
A15/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
19-13
20-18
16-12
22-14
34-12
17-26
28-11
23-22
22-23
23-20
25-26
24-13
24-22
27-20
20-20
20-25
21-22
26-16
20-14
23-19
29-19
18-18
16-14
20-23
19-18
17-28
20-26
21-21
19-21
22-14
14-27
28-26
23-22
21-28
25-18
10-18
11-15
16-17
21-14
162.9Avg total
84.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.571.7157.2+13.890%
Season at home (10)88.074.7162.7+13.390%
Season away (11)83.269.0152.2+14.291%
Last 10 (10)84.978.0162.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (15)81.082.8163.8-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.074.7163.7+14.386%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 74
H03/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
63avg 74
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 74
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
72-115
72
115
-43
54avg 74
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
64avg 74
A15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
58avg 74
H23/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
H27/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 74
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 74
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
78-119
78
119
-41
63avg 74
A10/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
26-18
13-19
25-25
19-22
27-24
12-26
19-29
17-30
21-20
18-14
33-20
25-30
21-29
13-23
13-33
18-14
20-23
22-34
14-29
22-22
19-25
16-29
14-22
20-14
17-25
16-26
25-19
17-31
24-21
20-21
18-21
28-23
19-28
23-22
21-28
17-26
25-37
14-29
22-27
177.4Avg total
79.2Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.894.6179.4-9.924%
Season at home (11)85.292.5177.7-7.418%
Season away (10)84.396.9181.2-12.630%
Last 10 (10)79.298.2177.4-19.010%
Last 5 (5)79.499.2178.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)84.795.0179.8-10.317%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.9-4.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -4.9-4.9
Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A15/03
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
43.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.741.487.1+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)43.340.083.3+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.383.0+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (15)42.542.785.3-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.038.985.9+8.171%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H03/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H23/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H27/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A10/03
LKL
90.7Avg total
42.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.647.391.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.389.4-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)43.249.392.5-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.148.690.7-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.492.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)43.347.690.9-4.228%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.8
60.3%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
34.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
73.2%13.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.3
52.3%
55.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.1
26.3%
34.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
73.2%18.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLLWWWWWW
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+9.7
Net rating
-23.5
118.3
Offensive rating
96.5
108.6
Defensive rating
120.0
57.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
21.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.6%
3-point %
26.3%
64.5%
Assist %
52.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 96.5Defence108.6 · 120.0Shooting57.2% · 46.9%3-point %35.6% · 26.3%Ball care16.4% · 21.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas71-98
01/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes78-68
20/04/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas61-88
11/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes84-61
20/11/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas59-92
16/02/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas83-102
06/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes99-70
03/10/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas69-85
15/05/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas81-100
12/05/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes81-74
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ABayern58-64
10/03/24HRytas97-94
07/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-83
01/03/24HOlympiacos76-95
18/02/24HLietkabelis86-70
17/02/24HSiauliai87-77
12/02/24ANeptunas95-75
09/02/24ACrvena zvezda93-91
05/02/24HJuventus101-63
02/02/24HPanathinaikos80-68
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AJuventus78-119
03/03/24HNevezis91-101
03/02/24ABC Wolves79-94
27/01/24HLietkabelis78-84
23/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas71-98
15/01/24AMazeikiai74-100
08/01/24HSiauliai72-115
16/12/23AJonava89-84
09/12/23HRytas77-101
03/12/23HNeptunas83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%90%91%
Points / game85.588.083.2
Allowed / game71.774.769.0
Point differential+13.8+13.3+14.2
Avg total157.2162.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%18%30%
Points / game84.885.284.3
Allowed / game94.692.596.9
Point differential-9.9-7.4-12.6
Avg total179.4177.7181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%85.571.7+13.8
2 Rytas2218482%93.679.1+14.5
3 BC Wolves2215768%83.478.3+5.0
4 Lietkabelis1912763%84.581.5+3.0
5 Juventus2113862%89.179.6+9.5
6 Neptunas23111248%83.784.5-0.8
7 Mazeikiai21101148%78.882.0-3.2
8 Jonava2391439%82.485.0-2.7
9 Siauliai2261627%81.086.9-5.9
10 Nevezis2261627%82.692.5-9.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2151624%84.894.6-9.9
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2528232197
Pieno Zvaigzdes1420232077
← all games of the day
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