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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game90.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna
22 Jan 2027
ZAL v VIR
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ZAL86
VIR65
15 Jan 2025
ZAL77
VIR68
19 Mar 2024
ZAL96
VIR81
18 Oct 2022
ZAL68
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 89
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.682.4168.0+3.364%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (7)84.180.4164.6+3.771%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.478.2171.6+15.292%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
181.8Avg total
90.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.190.7176.8-4.636%
Season at home (5)86.491.8178.2-5.440%
Season away (6)85.889.8175.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)90.291.6181.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (19)92.584.7177.3+7.868%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Zalgiris KaunasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.281.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
44.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.088.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.786.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.287.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (19)47.241.788.9+5.474%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLLWLWW
#8
League position
#16
+11.2
Net rating
+3.7
106.4
Offensive rating
102.2
95.2
Defensive rating
98.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
43.4%
3-point %
36.3%
69.0%
Assist %
57.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 102.2Defence95.2 · 98.4Shooting59.8% · 54.8%3-point %43.4% · 36.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game85.688.284.1
Allowed / game82.485.880.4
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.7
Avg total168.0174.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game86.186.485.8
Allowed / game90.791.889.8
Point differential-4.6-5.4-4.0
Avg total176.8178.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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