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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-68
25-13 16-19 20-19 16-17
Position#13
Record10-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game77.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#17
Record6-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna
22 Jan 2027
ZAL v VIR
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ZAL86
VIR65
15 Jan 2025
ZAL77
VIR68
19 Mar 2024
ZAL96
VIR81
18 Oct 2022
ZAL68
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 81
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 81
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 81
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 81
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 81
H12/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
23-23
21-20
22-18
24-10
21-20
24-16
17-20
16-21
20-22
17-13
19-22
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
170.3Avg total
88.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.877.2154.0-0.550%
Season at home (11)75.175.7150.8-0.655%
Season away (9)78.879.1157.9-0.344%
Last 10 (10)88.881.5170.3+7.360%
Last 5 (5)90.882.6173.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.475.0151.4+1.460%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.180.2157.3-3.242%
vs Weaker (13)92.772.8165.5+19.892%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 79
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
97-71
97
71
+26
104avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
85avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-57
69
57
+12
66avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 79
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
23-15
12-19
30-31
21-16
23-20
29-21
5-25
22-21
17-7
29-22
20-16
17-24
21-14
22-22
31-16
23-19
23-30
19-24
24-25
24-32
18-13
16-15
14-16
21-13
14-20
23-18
22-16
17-20
26-13
18-22
30-21
12-19
160.3Avg total
81.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.285.0166.3-3.830%
Season at home (11)80.280.6160.8-0.536%
Season away (9)82.690.4173.0-7.922%
Last 10 (10)81.379.0160.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.581.6164.1+0.950%
vs Weaker (10)86.380.7167.0+5.670%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
Zalgiris KaunasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
86.3Avg total
46.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.679.4+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.134.076.1+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.839.983.8+3.946%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.986.3+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.038.886.8+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.836.077.8+5.880%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.638.277.8+1.342%-
vs Weaker (13)46.335.281.5+11.177%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
Lega A
78.9Avg total
41.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.682.4-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.440.379.8-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.185.5-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.878.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker (10)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.617.0
59.4%
54.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.313.2
40.9%
36.2%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
78.0%14.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
78.0%14.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWLWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWLWLL
#13
League position
#17
+9.4
Net rating
+4.2
120.2
Offensive rating
115.5
110.8
Defensive rating
111.4
60.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.9%
3-point %
36.7%
67.5%
Assist %
75.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 115.5Defence110.8 · 111.4Shooting60.4% · 55.8%3-point %40.9% · 36.7%Ball care18.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas68-71
19/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna96-81
05/10/23Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas79-82
10/01/23Virtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas77-87
18/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna68-65
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88
20/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne72-78
17/12/24AAlba Berlin86-66
15/12/24HNeptunas91-75
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HBasket Napoli86-75
10/01/25HBaskonia76-74
05/01/25AReggiana69-57
03/01/25APanathinaikos90-111
29/12/24HScafati97-71
27/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne83-69
22/12/24ATrento79-87
20/12/24HBarcelona86-81
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
15/12/24HTrieste70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL55%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game76.875.178.8
Allowed / game77.275.779.1
Point differential-0.5-0.6-0.3
Avg total154.0150.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW30%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%36%22%
Points / game81.280.282.6
Allowed / game85.080.690.4
Point differential-3.8-0.5-7.9
Avg total166.3160.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2115671%87.681.8+5.8
2 Panathinaikos2013765%87.782.2+5.5
3 Monaco2013765%87.582.2+5.2
4 Fenerbahce1912763%79.079.2-0.2
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%82.880.4+2.4
6 Paris2012860%85.384.5+0.8
7 Real Madrid2112957%86.082.2+3.8
8 Olimpia Milano2112957%87.784.4+3.3
9 Barcelona2011955%86.284.2+1.9
10 Bayern2011955%85.688.2-2.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas20101050%76.877.2-0.5
12 Partizan21101148%83.180.7+2.4
13 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.682.7+1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2191243%79.984.0-4.1
15 Baskonia2181338%79.681.9-2.3
16 Virtus Bologna2061430%81.285.0-3.8
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2151624%84.990.3-5.4
18 Alba Berlin2131814%79.091.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2516201677
Virtus Bologna1319191768
← all games of the day
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