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Academica vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:15
Scheduled
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2026-27
Meetings · Academica v Lusitania
13 Dec 2026
ACAD v LUSI
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
ACAD79
LUSI85
13 Dec 2025
ACAD71
LUSI100
12 Feb 2022
ACAD89
LUSI99
17 Jan 2021
ACAD83
LUSI84
01 Dec 2012
ACAD66
LUSI55
17 Mar 2012
ACAD70
LUSI77
19 Mar 2011
ACAD82
LUSI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 60
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 60
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 60
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 60
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 60
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 60
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 60
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 60
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
87-55
87
55
+32
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
20-22
15-26
20-23
25-27
21-19
22-16
22-10
22-10
159.8Avg total
78.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.3163.7-2.914%
Season at home (3)76.369.0145.3+7.333%
Season away (4)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)78.281.6159.8-3.410%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.880.8148.6-13.013%
vs Similar (6)75.282.7157.8-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)87.055.0142.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 83
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 83
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 83
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 83
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 83
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 83
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 83
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 83
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +6.3+6.3
AcademicaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.141.175.3-7.030%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.379.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.6%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.3%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
WLLLLLLLLL
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#6
-8.3
Net rating
+13.5
83.4
Offensive rating
95.6
91.7
Defensive rating
82.1
48.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.0%
3-point %
32.3%
50.6%
Assist %
67.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 95.6Defence91.7 · 82.1Shooting48.2% · 53.2%3-point %26.0% · 32.3%Ball care18.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Academica   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Academica wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
26/04/26Academica v Lusitania79-85
28/02/26Lusitania v Academica91-85
13/12/25Academica v Lusitania71-100
25/10/25Lusitania v Academica66-56
12/02/22Academica v Lusitania89-99
21/12/21Lusitania v Academica96-79
17/01/21Academica v Lusitania83-84
17/10/20Lusitania v Academica93-83
09/03/13Lusitania v Academica61-76
01/12/12Academica v Lusitania66-55
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarcelos87-55
07/11/26AGalitos Aveiro80-98
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game80.476.383.5
Allowed / game83.369.094.0
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total163.7145.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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