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Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 81-50
26-15 17-20 14-4 24-11
Position#4
Record9-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.9
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#3
Record11-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game66.9
AustraliaNBL W
Women2021-22
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W
20 Jan 2026
ADEL61
CANB67
01 Nov 2025
ADEL73
CANB65
03 Jan 2025
ADEL77
CANB88
15 Dec 2024
ADEL68
CANB67
28 Jan 2024
ADEL84
CANB67
30 Nov 2022
ADEL90
CANB80
17 Mar 2022
ADEL81
CANB50
30 Jan 2022
ADEL67
CANB80
11 Nov 2020
ADEL85
CANB73
27 Dec 2019
ADEL78
CANB68
13 Feb 2019
ADEL74
CANB73
14 Dec 2018
ADEL93
CANB73
02 Dec 2018
ADEL91
CANB83
25 Oct 2017
ADEL80
CANB77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#6
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
A07/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A09/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
49-72
49
72
-23
H13/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-8
10-13
20-16
15-22
17-18
23-15
16-25
11-22
20-13
9-19
17-24
16-18
24-24
27-22
17-16
17-10
32-2
14-26
19-23
19-26
19-19
18-15
22-9
14-13
20-13
21-13
19-15
18-16
20-26
22-28
17-26
20-24
24-22
11-21
22-22
16-19
18-23
14-17
15-17
2-15
146.4Avg total
72.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.370.9144.3+2.460%
Season at home (7)66.970.3137.1-3.443%
Season away (8)79.071.5150.5+7.575%
Last 10 (10)72.374.1146.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)70.474.6145.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.784.2152.9-15.529%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.273.5148.7+1.733%
vs Weaker (10)74.966.5141.4+8.480%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H23/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H28/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A30/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H17/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H19/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H27/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
106-64
106
64
+42
A05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
96-80
96
80
+16
A12/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
27-20
7-29
16-26
27-18
23-13
28-15
16-14
21-11
22-16
31-12
12-15
18-17
15-23
25-16
22-11
27-14
26-19
11-20
30-16
–
–
–
–
32-16
21-15
22-12
9-15
20-16
24-16
19-23
13-23
27-18
24-3
27-27
28-16
29-23
19-12
27-30
21-15
144.1Avg total
80.9Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.366.9145.1+11.473%
Season at home (9)76.164.8140.9+11.367%
Season away (6)81.570.0151.5+11.583%
Last 10 (10)80.963.2144.1+17.780%
Last 5 (5)76.456.0132.4+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.383.7168.0+0.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.976.8149.7-3.945%
vs Weaker (16)79.859.9139.7+19.894%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
Adelaide Lightning WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#6
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A07/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/03
NBL W
73.4Avg total
37.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.874.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.337.974.2-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)35.539.675.1-4.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.773.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.844.378.1-10.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.238.578.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (10)36.231.367.5+4.960%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A19/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H28/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H05/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H19/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A05/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/03
NBL W
80.2Avg total
47.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.334.574.8+5.859%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.377.8+5.156%-
Last 30 away (13)38.932.271.2+6.762%-
Last 10 (9)47.233.080.2+14.289%-
Last 5 (5)49.830.480.2+19.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.337.782.0+6.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.239.474.5-4.236%-
vs Weaker (15)43.330.373.5+13.073%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
6
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W67-80
19/12/21Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W62-88
04/12/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W85-65
11/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W85-73 OT
01/02/20Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W73-71
27/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W78-68 OT
13/10/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W90-83
16/02/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W93-73
13/02/19Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W74-73
09/02/19Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W88-67
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HGeelong United W49-72
09/03/22APerth Lynx W73-84
07/03/22APerth Lynx W79-104
05/03/22HTownsville W78-57
26/02/22ASydney W73-56
24/02/22ABendigo W84-77
19/02/22ASouthside W85-72
05/02/22HBendigo W62-74
30/01/22HCanberra Capitals W67-80
28/01/22ATownsville W73-65 OT
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22APerth Lynx W96-80
05/03/22ASouthside W106-64
27/02/22HGeelong United W76-78
19/02/22HTownsville W84-58
17/02/22HSouthside W20-0
05/02/22HSouthside W94-69
30/01/22AAdelaide Lightning W80-67
28/01/22HSydney W86-54
23/01/22HBendigo W94-60
19/01/22APerth Lynx W73-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%43%75%
Points / game73.366.979.0
Allowed / game70.970.371.5
Point differential+2.4-3.4+7.5
Avg total144.3137.1150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%0%12%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %73%67%83%
Points / game78.376.181.5
Allowed / game66.964.870.0
Point differential+11.4+11.3+11.5
Avg total145.1140.9151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra Capitals W1511473%78.366.9+11.4
2 Perth Lynx W1410471%84.977.6+7.2
3 Geelong United W1611569%74.967.9+7.1
4 Adelaide Lightning W159660%73.370.9+2.4
5 Townsville W156940%69.573.6-4.1
6 Bendigo W156940%73.178.0-4.9
7 Southside W1641225%71.780.1-8.4
8 Sydney W1641225%66.075.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2617142481
Canberra Capitals W152041150
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