Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	82.2	75.0	157.2	+7.2	62%
Season at home (11)	88.9	74.3	163.2	+14.6	73%
Season away (13)	76.5	75.7	152.2	+0.8	54%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	76.3	162.0	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	83.8	165.4	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.5	38%
vs Similar (5)	83.8	83.4	167.2	+0.4	40%
vs Weaker (17)	82.5	71.9	154.4	+10.5	71%

This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra Capitals W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

81-55

+26

A23/12

NBL W

Townsville W

104-75

104

+29

H28/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

86-43

+43

A30/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

102-62

102

+40

H04/01

NBL W

Townsville W

80-68

+12

A11/01

NBL W

Sydney W

99-79

+20

A13/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

101-97 OT

101

A19/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

95-76

+19

H25/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

91-75

+16

A31/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

88-67

+21

H09/02

NBL W

30-25

19-10

18-15

14-5

33-18

30-20

18-16

23-21

18-11

25-11

25-8

18-13

36-20

32-19

19-12

15-11

31-15

21-16

13-22

15-15

30-17

29-29

22-21

18-12

22-22

16-25

19-17

19-12

28-16

10-27

34-13

23-20

14-23

28-12

17-23

32-17

18-25

30-13

20-18

20-11

162.4Avg total

92.7Scored

69.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	86.0	72.5	158.5	+13.5	79%
Season at home (12)	87.7	69.7	157.3	+18.0	92%
Season away (12)	84.3	75.2	159.6	+9.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	69.7	162.4	+23.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	78.8	173.6	+16.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.0	85.0	161.0	-9.0	67%
vs Similar (2)	72.0	68.5	140.5	+3.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	86.2	72.8	159.0	+13.4	80%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WCanberra Capitals W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.6	39.6	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	75%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.2	19.6	40.9	+1.6	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	18.5	43.2	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	19.1	42.4	+4.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	19.2	45.2	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	24.3	19.2	43.5	+5.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.1	39.1	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	75%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.3	41.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	23.3	39.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.1	18.8	41.0	+3.3	64%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

37-32

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

45-27

+18

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

33-33

H30/12

NBL W

Sydney W

71-32

+39

H04/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

41-47

-6

A10/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-46

H12/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

30-47

-17

A19/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

35-35

A27/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

47-48

-1

H31/01

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

38-48

-10

A09/02

NBL W

82.5Avg total

43.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.7	81.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	35.8	81.2	+9.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.8	85.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.2	36.9	79.1	+5.4	75%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.2	41.0	83.2	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	42.5	38.9	81.4	+3.6	59%	-

This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

49-35

+14

A23/12

NBL W

Townsville W

63-38

+25

H28/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

43-22

+21

A30/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

68-39

+29

H04/01

NBL W

Townsville W

52-31

+21

A11/01

NBL W

Sydney W

59-46

+13

A13/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

38-47

-9

A19/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

38-43

-5

H25/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

42-35

A31/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

48-38

+10

H09/02

NBL W

87.4Avg total

50.0Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	38.2	83.7	+7.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	38.0	83.7	+7.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.2	38.5	83.7	+6.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.0	37.4	87.4	+12.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	41.8	86.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.4	38.1	84.5	+8.3	68%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.3	15.8	36.1	+4.5	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.8	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.7	37.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.3	35.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.2	21.5	39.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.2	16.5	34.6	+1.7	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.5	35.9	+2.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	13.7	33.4	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	14.4	36.8	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	23.7	42.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	15.5	30.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	15.9	36.0	+4.1	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	36.8	73.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.4	75.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.2	42.2	78.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.5	32.2	70.7	+6.2	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	34.8	72.7	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	34.7	74.4	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	34.8	71.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	30.2	70.4	+10.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	32.8	77.6	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	44.7	81.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	30.0	31.5	61.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	38.8	33.8	72.6	+5.0	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Canberra Capitals W wins

Date	Game	Score
09/02/19	Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W	88-67
14/12/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W	93-73
02/12/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W	91-83
21/10/18	Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W	79-75
17/12/17	Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W	88-87
25/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W	80-77
08/10/17	Canberra Capitals W v Adelaide Lightning W	84-77

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/19	A	Canberra Capitals W	67-88
31/01/19	H	Geelong United W	100-92
27/01/19	A	Geelong United W	76-60
19/01/19	A	Perth Lynx W	82-81 OT
12/01/19	H	Geelong United W	83-98
10/01/19	A	Bendigo W	92-81 OT
04/01/19	H	Sydney W	110-61
30/12/18	H	Perth Lynx W	74-67
21/12/18	H	Sydney W	95-52
16/12/18	A	Geelong United W	78-83

Canberra Capitals Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/19	H	Adelaide Lightning W	88-67
31/01/19	A	Perth Lynx W	91-75
25/01/19	H	Perth Lynx W	95-76
19/01/19	A	Bendigo W	101-97 OT
13/01/19	A	Sydney W	99-79
11/01/19	A	Townsville W	80-68
04/01/19	H	Bendigo W	102-62
30/12/18	A	Dandenong W	86-43
28/12/18	H	Townsville W	104-75
23/12/18	A	Townsville W	81-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	62%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	LWWWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	62%	73%	54%
Points / game	82.2	88.9	76.5
Allowed / game	75.0	74.3	75.7
Point differential	+7.2	+14.6	+0.8
Avg total	157.2	163.2	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	45%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

Canberra Capitals W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	79%	92%	67%
Points / game	86.0	87.7	84.3
Allowed / game	72.5	69.7	75.2
Point differential	+13.5	+18.0	+9.1
Avg total	158.5	157.3	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Canberra Capitals W	24	19	5	79%	86.0	72.5	+13.5
2	Geelong United W	23	15	8	65%	78.0	73.5	+4.5
3	Adelaide Lightning W	24	15	9	62%	82.2	75.0	+7.2
4	Perth Lynx W	23	13	10	57%	78.5	77.8	+0.7
5	Townsville W	21	9	12	43%	77.2	77.9	-0.6
6	Dandenong W	21	9	12	43%	73.8	78.9	-5.1
7	Bendigo W	21	7	14	33%	70.0	78.6	-8.5
8	Sydney W	21	2	19	10%	71.0	86.0	-15.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	19	18	18	19	74
Canberra Capitals W	23	21	12	17	73

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature