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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 May 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-78
15-19 25-19 15-11 16-29
Position#3
Record18-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#1
Record24-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game72.2
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT v PAO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 75
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 75
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 75
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
86avg 75
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
102-89
102
89
+13
98avg 75
H11/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 75
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 75
H16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A19/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
93avg 75
H21/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
85avg 75
A23/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
16-20
16-25
29-19
11-30
20-11
26-17
15-21
18-15
17-18
23-23
20-24
20-28
24-22
26-36
25-18
19-25
33-21
21-26
29-17
22-26
12-14
21-20
18-21
26-20
23-9
19-26
19-26
14-15
24-30
19-17
15-16
22-26
17-21
25-18
28-15
10-20
27-30
23-19
23-25
167.7Avg total
83.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.077.7160.7+5.362%
Season at home (15)89.179.1168.1+10.080%
Season away (14)76.576.2152.7+0.343%
Last 10 (10)83.384.4167.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)81.482.8164.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.486.0165.4-6.629%
vs Similar (9)78.180.9159.0-2.833%
vs Weaker (13)84.976.4161.3+8.577%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
83-61
83
61
+22
78avg 81
A24/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 81
A28/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#21
W
88-62
88
62
+26
no box
H04/05
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#11
W
108-71
108
71
+37
no box
H06/05
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H09/05
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
102-64
102
64
+38
103avg 81
H12/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
96avg 81
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
H19/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
63avg 81
A21/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
86avg 81
H23/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-13
24-14
22-18
28-20
22-24
36-26
18-25
23-19
23-21
26-10
16-12
27-16
26-21
21-19
34-15
20-15
25-26
23-17
23-21
14-20
26-19
29-11
33-14
21-14
27-16
22-16
20-15
15-14
30-24
17-19
16-15
26-22
21-17
18-25
15-28
20-10
30-27
19-23
25-23
165.8Avg total
91.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.672.2160.9+16.489%
Season at home (14)90.670.1160.7+20.493%
Season away (13)86.574.5161.0+12.185%
Last 10 (10)91.874.0165.8+17.890%
Last 5 (5)88.874.4163.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.690.1168.7-11.614%
vs Similar (5)78.878.6157.4+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.573.2165.7+19.294%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H21/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/05
Basket League
80.8Avg total
39.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.178.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.037.579.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)36.440.677.0-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.580.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (9)37.836.774.4+1.167%-
vs Weaker (13)41.537.879.4+3.762%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A24/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A28/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#21
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/05
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H06/05
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/05
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H23/05
Basket League
83.5Avg total
46.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.082.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.483.3+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.681.1+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.137.483.5+8.7100%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.682.6+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.745.482.1-8.70%-
vs Similar (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.536.983.4+9.694%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.6
58.5%
51.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.7
39.2%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
74.2%15.1
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.4
39.5%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
74.2%14.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLWLWLLLW
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
-1.4
Net rating
+17.7
115.3
Offensive rating
121.2
116.7
Defensive rating
103.5
58.6%
Effective FG%
57.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.2%
3-point %
39.5%
53.6%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 121.2Defence116.7 · 103.5Shooting58.6% · 57.6%3-point %39.2% · 39.5%Ball care20.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21APanathinaikos83-94
21/05/21HPanathinaikos92-80
19/05/21APanathinaikos72-78
16/05/21HPAOK87-81
13/05/21APAOK73-81
11/05/21HPAOK102-89
28/04/21HPanathinaikos95-104
14/04/21APromitheas78-80
10/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-79
07/04/21HNizhny Novgorod79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21HAEK Athens94-83
21/05/21AAEK Athens80-92
19/05/21HAEK Athens78-72
14/05/21AIonikos90-61
12/05/21HIonikos102-64
09/05/21HPromitheas91-79
06/05/21HLavrio108-71
04/05/21HPeristeri88-62
28/04/21AAEK Athens104-95
24/04/21APromitheas83-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%80%43%
Points / game83.089.176.5
Allowed / game77.779.176.2
Point differential+5.3+10.0+0.3
Avg total160.7168.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %89%93%85%
Points / game88.690.686.5
Allowed / game72.270.174.5
Point differential+16.4+20.4+12.1
Avg total160.9160.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%71%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2724389%88.672.2+16.4
2 Lavrio2720774%82.078.0+4.0
3 Promitheas2820871%80.176.0+4.1
4 AEK Athens29181162%83.077.7+5.3
5 PAOK26141254%79.779.8-0.2
6 Peristeri26131350%73.775.2-1.4
7 Kolossos Rhodes2481633%78.078.2-0.2
8 Ionikos2481633%76.082.5-6.5
9 Aris2271532%73.777.5-3.7
10 Iraklis2271532%73.580.4-6.9
11 Larisa2361726%74.481.2-6.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2251723%72.582.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1525151671
Panathinaikos1919112978
← all games of the day
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