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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 111-71
31-27 29-11 28-20 23-13
Position#1
Record10-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
69avg 85
A01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
60avg 85
H05/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
117-71
117
71
+46
126avg 85
H09/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
88-68
88
68
+20
89avg 85
A11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
94-67
94
67
+27
99avg 85
H13/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
75-77
75
77
-2
74avg 85
A15/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 85
H22/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
A27/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#15
W
95-71
95
71
+24
100avg 85
A30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-66
82
66
+16
73avg 85
H06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
23-20
12-19
18-30
24-14
11-24
14-10
19-18
31-15
30-20
23-20
33-16
23-14
25-17
25-12
15-25
31-11
27-20
16-20
20-16
28-18
19-13
14-19
14-27
22-21
23-20
17-24
24-25
20-13
21-16
28-23
20-23
26-20
27-16
20-14
22-21
27-15
17-23
15-6
23-22
159.8Avg total
86.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.069.3161.3+22.7100%
Season at home (4)91.567.5159.0+24.0100%
Season away (6)92.370.5162.8+21.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.573.3159.8+13.270%
Last 5 (5)85.475.8161.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.578.5163.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.572.8161.3+15.679%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
57avg 72
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 72
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 72
H04/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
17-25
12-13
19-18
9-15
9-20
15-20
26-16
30-16
21-20
15-19
16-17
19-27
16-20
19-17
17-12
21-21
145.9Avg total
73.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.372.8148.1+2.560%
Season at home (6)76.872.8149.7+4.067%
Season away (4)73.072.8145.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)73.772.2145.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)69.871.0140.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.477.6147.0-8.225%
vs Similar (16)78.278.4156.6-0.256%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.6+9.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.6+9.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H09/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H13/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A15/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A27/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/01
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
47.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.834.980.7+10.990%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.435.182.5+12.393%-
Last 30 away (15)44.234.879.0+9.487%-
Last 10 (10)47.334.381.6+13.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.533.068.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.535.181.6+11.593%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H04/01
Champions League
71.3Avg total
34.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.874.5+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.535.974.4+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)36.538.074.5-1.523%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.571.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.638.669.2-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.836.970.6-3.125%-
vs Similar (16)37.838.376.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.7
60.0%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
39.1%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
71.9%12.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.8
56.7%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.5%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
71.9%13.4
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWLLWWWWL
AEK Athens
WLWLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+18.9
Net rating
+3.0
121.2
Offensive rating
104.1
102.3
Defensive rating
101.2
59.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.1%
3-point %
32.5%
77.3%
Assist %
73.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 104.1Defence102.3 · 101.2Shooting59.4% · 53.2%3-point %39.1% · 32.5%Ball care17.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olympiacos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HOlimpia Milano82-66
30/12/22APanathinaikos95-71
27/12/22AAS Karditsas89-75
22/12/22HCrvena zvezda86-90
15/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-77
13/12/22HFenerbahce94-67
11/12/22APAOK88-68
09/12/22HVirtus Bologna117-71
05/12/22HPanathinaikos68-66
01/12/22AAnadolu Efes71-82
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HTofas73-70
27/12/22HPAOK71-83
21/12/22HKarsiyaka80-72
11/12/22APanathinaikos57-71
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.091.592.3
Allowed / game69.367.570.5
Point differential+22.7+24.0+21.8
Avg total161.3159.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game75.376.873.0
Allowed / game72.872.872.8
Point differential+2.5+4.0+0.2
Avg total148.1149.7145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos10100100%92.069.3+22.7
2 Panathinaikos119282%80.665.3+15.4
3 Peristeri117464%85.279.5+5.7
4 PAOK117464%81.676.4+5.3
5 AEK Athens106460%75.372.8+2.5
6 Aris116555%75.973.2+2.7
7 Kolossos Rhodes116555%73.877.8-4.0
8 Promitheas115645%75.078.7-3.7
9 Apollon Patras113827%69.378.3-9.0
10 Ionikos113827%77.189.3-12.2
11 Lavrio112918%73.283.3-10.1
12 AS Karditsas111109%70.783.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos31292823111
AEK Athens2711201371
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