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AEK Athens vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-70
16-20 19-17 17-12 21-21
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#27
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · AEK Athens v Tofas
11 Mar 2026
AAT96
TOF88
04 Jan 2023
AAT73
TOF70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
58avg 72
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
57avg 72
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 72
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H27/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
18-22
16-16
11-13
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
17-25
12-13
19-18
9-15
9-20
15-20
26-16
30-16
21-20
15-19
16-17
19-27
145.5Avg total
72.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.374.7151.0+1.750%
Season at home (3)71.368.0139.3+3.367%
Season away (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)72.772.8145.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)69.871.0140.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.477.6147.0-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.779.1156.8-1.450%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 76
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
77-64
77
64
+13
71avg 76
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 76
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
15-17
15-21
20-18
20-22
25-14
16-17
14-26
18-23
24-12
22-29
14-24
15-15
25-25
13-22
24-27
21-11
13-12
19-20
24-21
23-23
23-19
23-23
21-14
18-25
29-18
16-17
13-24
14-22
21-18
19-25
23-22
15-20
16-17
18-18
29-10
19-25
16-28
15-17
32-18
158.3Avg total
77.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.874.6153.4+4.150%
Season at home (5)78.472.8151.2+5.660%
Season away (3)79.377.7157.0+1.733%
Last 10 (10)77.880.5158.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)80.680.6161.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.279.8160.0+0.531%
vs Weaker (9)86.970.1157.0+16.878%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
AEK AthensTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/12
Basket League
72.4Avg total
34.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.3+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.835.874.6+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.873.9-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.572.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.437.467.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.836.970.6-3.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.538.275.7-0.738%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.0Avg total
38.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.778.4+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.836.677.4+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.779.2+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.278.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.081.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.839.176.9-1.438%-
vs Weaker (9)44.832.277.0+12.678%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.4
55.9%
51.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
35.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
74.3%12.4
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.3
54.8%
51.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.0
35.4%
35.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
74.3%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLWWLLWWL
Tofas
LWLLWWLLLL
#11
League position
#27
+0.4
Net rating
+13.0
102.3
Offensive rating
111.6
101.9
Defensive rating
98.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
35.4%
73.6%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 111.6Defence101.9 · 98.6Shooting52.0% · 54.1%3-point %31.2% · 35.4%Ball care20.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22HPAOK71-83
21/12/22HKarsiyaka80-72
11/12/22APanathinaikos57-71
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67
29/10/22HAris63-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22ADarussafaka82-88
25/12/22HPetkim Spor78-65
21/12/22HMurcia77-87
18/12/22AAnadolu Efes76-84
12/12/22HMerkezefendi90-79
07/12/22ASzombathely77-64
03/12/22ATurk Telekom77-89
27/11/22HGaziantep78-88
22/11/22HStrasbourg75-79
20/11/22AFenerbahce68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.371.381.3
Allowed / game74.768.081.3
Point differential+1.7+3.3+0.0
Avg total151.0139.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game78.878.479.3
Allowed / game74.672.877.7
Point differential+4.1+5.6+1.7
Avg total153.4151.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Benfica97278%80.275.2+5.0
5 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
6 Murcia75271%83.482.7+0.7
7 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
8 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
9 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
10 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
11 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
12 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
13 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
14 Hapoel Holon64267%86.083.2+2.8
15 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
16 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
17 Oostende74357%79.679.0+0.6
18 Dijon74357%77.078.7-1.7
19 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
20 Tofas84450%78.874.6+4.1
21 Igokea63350%77.876.0+1.8
22 AEK Athens63350%76.374.7+1.7
23 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
24 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
25 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
26 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
27 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
28 Bahcesehir Kol.73443%72.778.0-5.3
29 Peristeri73443%77.083.4-6.4
30 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
31 Darussafaka62433%71.574.7-3.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
34 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
35 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
36 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
37 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
38 Karsiyaka72529%79.983.9-4.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1619172173
Tofas2017122170
← all games of the day
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