PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tofas vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-85
18-9 24-29 10-23 30-24
Position#27
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#11
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Tofas v AEK Athens
03 Feb 2026
TOF90
AAT93
10 Jan 2023
TOF82
AAT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
77-64
77
64
+13
71avg 76
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 76
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 76
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-12
22-29
14-24
15-15
25-25
13-22
24-27
21-11
13-12
19-20
24-21
23-23
23-19
23-23
21-14
18-25
29-18
16-17
13-24
14-22
21-18
19-25
23-22
15-20
16-17
18-18
29-10
19-25
16-28
15-17
32-18
20-16
17-19
12-17
21-21
21-20
22-22
16-21
23-20
158.7Avg total
78.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.874.4152.2+3.344%
Season at home (5)78.472.8151.2+5.660%
Season away (4)77.076.5153.5+0.525%
Last 10 (10)78.780.0158.7-1.330%
Last 5 (5)77.879.2157.0-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.177.9156.9+1.229%
vs Weaker (8)85.570.6156.1+14.975%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
57avg 72
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 72
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 72
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
61avg 72
A08/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
17-25
12-13
19-18
9-15
9-20
15-20
26-16
30-16
21-20
15-19
16-17
19-27
16-20
19-17
17-12
21-21
27-31
11-29
20-28
13-23
149.0Avg total
72.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.974.0149.9+1.957%
Season at home (4)71.868.5140.2+3.275%
Season away (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)72.476.6149.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)70.481.4151.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.582.0151.5-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.278.4156.6-0.256%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
TofasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.0Avg total
39.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.277.4+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.977.9+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.437.576.9+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.078.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.477.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.537.975.4-0.547%-
vs Weaker (8)44.432.176.5+12.275%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/01
Basket League
73.9Avg total
34.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.775.7+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.535.974.4+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)37.240.277.4-2.923%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.273.9-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.875.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.940.475.2-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.838.376.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
51.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
35.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
74.3%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.1
54.8%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.2
32.3%
35.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
74.3%13.2
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLWLLWWLL
AEK Athens
LWLWLWWLLW
#27
League position
#11
+12.4
Net rating
-5.2
110.8
Offensive rating
103.3
98.4
Defensive rating
108.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.2%
3-point %
32.3%
63.1%
Assist %
71.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 103.3Defence98.4 · 108.5Shooting53.7% · 51.9%3-point %35.2% · 32.3%Ball care18.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23AEK Athens v Tofas73-70
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HBursaspor82-83
04/01/23AAEK Athens70-73
31/12/22ADarussafaka82-88
25/12/22HPetkim Spor78-65
21/12/22HMurcia77-87
18/12/22AAnadolu Efes76-84
12/12/22HMerkezefendi90-79
07/12/22ASzombathely77-64
03/12/22ATurk Telekom77-89
27/11/22HGaziantep78-88
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23AOlympiacos71-111
04/01/23HTofas73-70
27/12/22HPAOK71-83
21/12/22HKarsiyaka80-72
11/12/22APanathinaikos57-71
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game77.878.477.0
Allowed / game74.472.876.5
Point differential+3.3+5.6+0.5
Avg total152.2151.2153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game75.971.881.3
Allowed / game74.068.581.3
Point differential+1.9+3.2+0.0
Avg total149.9140.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
5 Hapoel Holon75271%88.482.6+5.9
6 Murcia75271%83.482.7+0.7
7 Benfica107370%79.876.6+3.2
8 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
9 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
10 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
13 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
14 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
15 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
16 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
17 AEK Athens74357%75.974.0+1.9
18 Oostende74357%79.679.0+0.6
19 Dijon74357%77.078.7-1.7
20 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
21 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
22 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
23 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
24 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
25 Tofas94544%77.874.4+3.3
26 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
27 Darussafaka73443%74.074.9-0.9
28 Igokea73443%78.079.9-1.9
29 Bahcesehir Kol.73443%72.778.0-5.3
30 Peristeri73443%77.083.4-6.4
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
34 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
35 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
36 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
37 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
38 Karsiyaka72529%79.983.9-4.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1824103082
AEK Athens929232485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.