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AEK Athens vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-79
24-25 20-18 17-18 23-18
Position#33
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#26
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · AEK Athens v Ludwigsburg
17 Oct 2023
AAT84
LUD79
10 Jan 2017
AAT82
LUD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
71avg 71
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 71
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 71
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 71
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 71
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 71
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 71
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 71
A15/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-25
18-13
12-25
18-23
21-17
16-12
17-26
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
161.6Avg total
75.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.885.8161.6-10.010%
Last 5 (5)77.493.6171.0-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.984.3158.2-10.431%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.876.8153.6-0.158%
vs Weaker (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
no box
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 73
A16/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 73
A18/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H21/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 73
A29/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
no box
A31/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
52avg 73
H03/06
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
64avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
77avg 73
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 73
H14/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
26-28
27-17
14-20
30-25
26-20
15-23
19-12
18-14
17-17
24-24
14-17
25-23
15-14
26-18
20-17
23-16
8-26
22-14
18-24
21-27
15-17
13-24
16-26
17-18
18-18
16-21
22-25
22-19
16-19
22-25
19-24
17-10
19-24
22-15
20-11
22-13
24-21
16-21
17-25
158.0Avg total
78.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.179.9158.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.880.6155.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.286.5158.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.681.1163.8+1.557%
vs Weaker (9)92.890.2183.0+2.667%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
AEK AthensLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
79.7Avg total
36.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.878.4-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.979.9-2.029%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.777.2-4.219%-
Last 10 (10)36.343.479.7-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.282.4-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.242.478.5-6.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.440.178.5-1.717%-
vs Weaker (5)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A16/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A31/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/06
BBL
Hamburg
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/10
German Cup
77.4Avg total
39.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.683.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.540.084.5+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.282.4+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.377.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.840.776.5-4.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.939.982.7+3.064%-
vs Weaker (9)46.842.689.3+4.267%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.0
49.6%
51.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
74.5%14.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.5
49.3%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.6
31.3%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
74.5%13.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLLLLWLLLL
Ludwigsburg
LWLLLLWWWL
#33
League position
#26
-11.6
Net rating
-0.8
102.3
Offensive rating
102.6
114.0
Defensive rating
103.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
31.3%
76.8%
Assist %
58.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 102.6Defence114.0 · 103.4Shooting49.2% · 48.2%3-point %32.5% · 31.3%Ball care17.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
10/01/17AEK Athens v Ludwigsburg82-72
16/11/16Ludwigsburg v AEK Athens72-67
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64
01/04/23APAOK72-78
30/03/23APromitheas72-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HBonn79-80
06/10/23AWurzburg78-60
29/09/23HHamburg79-87
03/06/23HBonn73-82
31/05/23ABonn65-94
29/05/23ABonn71-80
21/05/23HOldenburg86-72
18/05/23AOldenburg73-72
16/05/23AOldenburg90-80
07/05/23ARostock87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
2 Darussafaka110100%84.075.0+9.0
3 Cholet330100%84.076.3+7.7
4 Strasbourg330100%81.376.7+4.7
5 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
6 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
7 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
8 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
9 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
10 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
11 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
12 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
13 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
14 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
15 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
16 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
17 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
18 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
19 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
20 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
21 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
22 VEF Riga1010%75.084.0-9.0
23 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
24 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
25 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
26 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
27 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2420172384
Ludwigsburg2518181879
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