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AEK Athens vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 93-86
27-20 15-24 23-19 28-23
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeChampions League· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 78
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 78
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 78
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 78
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 78
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
88avg 78
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 78
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 78
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 78
A01/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
22-32
23-18
15-26
20-27
27-17
19-15
25-20
20-16
24-17
15-27
21-21
10-24
23-25
24-19
25-12
25-20
18-22
24-14
20-28
24-21
171.2Avg total
88.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.477.0161.4+7.471%
Season at home (4)88.270.5158.8+17.8100%
Season away (3)79.385.7165.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)88.582.7171.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.884.2169.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.095.7169.7-21.70%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.780.3164.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (21)86.078.6164.6+7.467%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 75
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 75
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 75
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
64avg 75
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
98avg 75
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
73-65
73
65
+8
69avg 75
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
92avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 75
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 75
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
23-19
23-25
19-19
25-16
19-25
25-15
22-21
17-20
22-23
18-26
26-23
18-21
13-16
22-10
16-12
24-27
23-23
23-30
29-14
22-5
13-18
11-18
27-24
19-23
24-29
17-18
28-18
26-11
6-26
25-20
10-12
16-18
20-21
20-14
23-27
23-26
12-18
17-17
20-25
164.1Avg total
83.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.873.3153.1+6.478%
Season at home (4)83.874.0157.8+9.8100%
Season away (5)76.672.8149.4+3.860%
Last 10 (10)83.280.9164.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)79.479.6159.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.085.0171.0+1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.984.0165.9-2.133%
vs Weaker (12)82.876.1158.9+6.883%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
AEK AthensTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
Basket League
86.9Avg total
46.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.784.4+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.581.7-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)46.340.686.9+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.546.385.8-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.038.382.3+5.7100%-
vs Weaker (21)43.838.582.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H29/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/01
Champions League
Scafati
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/01
Lega A
Peristeri
#36
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A14/01
Champions League
Brescia
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A19/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/02
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.3-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.282.8+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.383.7-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.180.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.075.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.842.786.4+1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.643.282.8-3.722%-
vs Weaker (12)41.339.981.2+1.450%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.9
58.0%
52.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.3
37.7%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.0
76.9%
74.0%17.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.7
47.7%
52.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.6
83.0%
74.0%15.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLWLLWWWW
Tortona
LLLWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#5
+8.4
Net rating
+2.6
118.5
Offensive rating
112.1
110.1
Defensive rating
109.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
35.5%
66.0%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 112.1Defence110.1 · 109.5Shooting57.5% · 50.3%3-point %37.7% · 35.5%Ball care15.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Tortona wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AKolossos Rhodes86-85
29/01/25HPromitheas97-76
26/01/25AOlympiacos70-89
19/01/25HPAOK91-68
12/01/25HPanathinaikos80-103
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89
21/12/24HLavrio97-86
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ATrieste72-86
28/01/25AWurzburg79-80
25/01/25HReggiana67-69
19/01/25ABrescia106-98 OT
14/01/25APeristeri73-65
11/01/25HScafati99-94
07/01/25HPeristeri69-59
04/01/25ABasket Napoli83-92
29/12/24HTrento91-77
22/12/24APistoia93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game84.488.279.3
Allowed / game77.070.585.7
Point differential+7.4+17.8-6.3
Avg total161.4158.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game79.883.876.6
Allowed / game73.374.072.8
Point differential+6.4+9.8+3.8
Avg total153.1157.8149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja770100%96.472.1+24.3
2 Tenerife770100%84.766.4+18.3
3 Nymburk98189%87.375.8+11.6
4 Manresa76186%94.078.9+15.1
5 Rytas76186%89.777.9+11.9
6 Murcia76186%86.177.0+9.1
7 Tortona97278%79.873.3+6.4
8 AEK Athens75271%84.477.0+7.4
9 Wurzburg75271%84.781.1+3.6
10 Manisa96367%87.087.1-0.1
11 Petkim Spor149564%80.980.9+0.1
12 Galatasaray106460%79.678.3+1.3
13 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
14 Reggiana106460%78.580.1-1.6
15 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
16 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
18 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
19 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
20 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
21 Nanterre105550%81.481.3+0.1
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 Szombathely105550%82.184.7-2.6
27 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
28 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
29 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
30 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
31 Promitheas94544%79.982.8-2.9
32 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
33 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
34 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
35 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2715232893
Tortona2024192386
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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