AEK Larnaca vs AEL Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	86.0	69.7	155.7	+16.3	100%
Season at home (1)	83.0	79.0	162.0	+4.0	100%
Season away (2)	87.5	65.0	152.5	+22.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	78.3	161.3	+4.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	81.8	168.2	+4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	77.7	77.2	154.9	+0.4	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	87.5	75.7	163.2	+11.8	90%

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEL

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

81-85

-4

H22/04

Division A

Keravnos

66-86

-20

A25/04

Division A

Keravnos

87-82

H29/04

Division A

Keravnos

60-92

-32

A02/05

Division A

Spartak Pleven

79-61

+18

A06/10

ENBL

Apoel BC

73-80

-7

A12/10

Division A

Paralimni

89-77

+12

H17/10

Division A

Fyllingen

#15

76-58

+18

H21/10

ENBL

ETHA Engomi

74-70

A26/10

Division A

Morphou

71-49

+22

H30/10

Division A

23-18

20-21

15-28

19-30

8-18

24-22

15-16

23-21

19-19

17-24

28-18

20-22

16-30

11-20

13-20

22-9

19-15

18-21

20-16

25-19

17-24

17-14

14-23

20-22

22-22

24-20

23-13

20-11

14-17

20-14

22-16

23-14

18-10

21-24

12-22

20-11

22-15

19-13

10-10

149.6Avg total

75.6Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	76.8	69.0	145.8	+7.8	75%
Season at home (2)	80.0	63.0	143.0	+17.0	100%
Season away (2)	73.5	75.0	148.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	74.0	149.6	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	66.8	143.4	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	70.6	84.0	154.6	-13.4	22%
vs Similar (10)	84.9	79.9	164.8	+5.0	80%
vs Weaker (11)	83.5	70.5	153.9	+13.0	100%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaAEL

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	19.4	43.9	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.1	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.4	37.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.1	15.6	36.7	+5.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.8	18.7	36.4	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	64%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

39-43

-4

A21/05

Division A

Keravnos

34-34

H25/05

Division A

CSM Oradea

#11

37-44

-7

A16/09

Champions League

Wurzburg

#23

40-40

H07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Apollon

49-26

+23

A11/10

Division A

Dziki Warszawa

#15

34-48

-14

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

49-38

+11

H18/10

Division A

Tartu Ulikool

#32

57-51

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Paralimni

48-38

+10

A24/10

Division A

MZT Skopje

#46

49-42

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

84.0Avg total

43.6Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.3	84.5	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.5	39.6	85.1	+5.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	41.1	83.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.4	90.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.5	40.2	86.8	+6.3	70%	-

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

46-36

+10

H22/04

Division A

Keravnos

27-48

-21

A25/04

Division A

Keravnos

42-40

H29/04

Division A

Keravnos

36-52

-16

A02/05

Division A

Spartak Pleven

41-24

+17

A06/10

ENBL

Apoel BC

42-43

-1

A12/10

Division A

Paralimni

42-44

-2

H17/10

Division A

Fyllingen

#15

34-28

H21/10

ENBL

ETHA Engomi

41-24

+17

A26/10

Division A

Morphou

42-26

+16

H30/10

Division A

75.8Avg total

39.3Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.1	77.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	36.2	78.3	+6.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.5	75.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	33.0	73.2	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.9	40.6	76.4	-4.7	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.2	38.7	80.9	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.4	32.8	75.2	+9.5	91%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.0	22.1	39.1	-5.1	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.3	39.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.2	17.9	37.0	+1.3	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.5	76.8	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	33.8	72.5	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	39.1	81.1	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	37.9	77.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.9	35.5	76.4	+5.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.6	80.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	41.9	81.1	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	37.5	73.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.8	70.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.7	43.4	78.1	-8.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.7	41.2	83.9	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.1	37.6	78.7	+3.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	22.4	51.3%	50.9%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.1	33.5%	33.8%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.9	76.8%	72.4%	16.9

They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.3	54.6%	50.9%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	6.5	28.8%	33.8%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.4	70.6%	72.4%	15.4

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	18.3	49.5%	50.9%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.5	35.6%	33.8%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	15.5	10.2	65.8%	72.4%	10.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.5	49.9%	50.9%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.7	30.5%	33.8%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.4	71.3%	72.4%	12.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	21.8	54.1%	50.9%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	8.8	31.7%	33.8%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.1	74.1%	72.4%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	20.9	54.3%	50.9%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.8	31.0%	33.8%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.6	70.8%	72.4%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.0	50.3%	50.9%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.4	33.2%	33.8%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.7	73.1%	72.4%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.1	52.1%	50.9%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.0	33.2%	33.8%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.5	73.9%	72.4%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Larnaca

WWWWLWWLWL

AEL

WWWWLWLWLL

League position

+5.5

Net rating

+2.4

97.9

Offensive rating

92.1

92.4

Defensive rating

89.7

50.9%

Effective FG%

50.3%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

48.4%

12.1%

Turnover %

14.3%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.36

33.5%

3-point %

28.8%

62.4%

Assist %

62.3%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ AEK Larnaca ■ AEL

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

AEL wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/26	AEK Larnaca v AEL	78-71
19/12/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	62-87
11/10/25	AEK Larnaca v AEL	88-72
12/03/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	76-57
18/01/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	66-80
01/12/24	AEK Larnaca v AEL	89-70
05/04/24	AEL v AEK Larnaca	63-99
20/03/24	AEK Larnaca v AEL	93-81
09/10/23	AEL v AEK Larnaca	94-96 OT
05/03/23	AEL v AEK Larnaca	76-91

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/26	A	MZT Skopje	85-69
24/10/26	A	Paralimni	85-74
21/10/26	H	Tartu Ulikool	99-93
18/10/26	H	Apoel BC	83-79
14/10/26	A	Dziki Warszawa	80-94
11/10/26	A	Apollon	90-56
07/10/26	H	Wurzburg	73-65
16/09/26	A	CSM Oradea	87-95
25/05/26	H	Keravnos	68-64
21/05/26	A	Keravnos	80-94

AELlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Morphou	71-49
26/10/26	A	ETHA Engomi	74-70
21/10/26	H	Fyllingen	76-58
17/10/26	H	Paralimni	89-77
12/10/26	A	Apoel BC	73-80
06/10/26	A	Spartak Pleven	79-61
02/05/26	A	Keravnos	60-92
29/04/26	H	Keravnos	87-82
25/04/26	A	Keravnos	66-86
22/04/26	H	Keravnos	81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.0	83.0	87.5
Allowed / game	69.7	79.0	65.0
Point differential	+16.3	+4.0	+22.5
Avg total	155.7	162.0	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEL

Division A 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	76.8	80.0	73.5
Allowed / game	69.0	63.0	75.0
Point differential	+7.8	+17.0	-1.5
Avg total	145.8	143.0	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	3	3	0	100%	92.0	73.0	+19.0
2	AEK Larnaca	3	3	0	100%	86.0	69.7	+16.3
3	AEL	4	3	1	75%	76.8	69.0	+7.8
4	Apoel BC	3	2	1	67%	81.0	72.7	+8.3
5	ETHA Engomi	3	2	1	67%	71.0	67.7	+3.3
6	Paralimni	3	1	2	33%	81.0	84.3	-3.3
7	Apollon	3	1	2	33%	73.7	89.3	-15.7
8	Morphou	4	1	3	25%	68.0	78.0	-10.0
9	Anorthosis	3	0	3	0%	72.3	78.3	-6.0
10	Achilleas K.	3	0	3	0%	70.7	89.7	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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