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Aguada vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 95-87
29-23 26-25 23-23 17-16
Position#3
Record8-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game89.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Bigua
11 Jan 2026
AGUA95
BIGU87
10 Apr 2025
AGUA99
BIGU82
03 Apr 2025
AGUA89
BIGU77
11 Nov 2024
AGUA88
BIGU67
14 Feb 2024
AGUA107
BIGU85
03 Mar 2023
AGUA89
BIGU85
22 Dec 2021
AGUA70
BIGU73
06 Dec 2019
AGUA92
BIGU74
11 Dec 2018
AGUA79
BIGU77
20 Oct 2017
AGUA75
BIGU55
27 Jan 2017
AGUA89
BIGU104
18 Nov 2014
AGUA90
BIGU60
08 Jan 2014
AGUA89
BIGU81
08 Oct 2013
AGUA91
BIGU85
03 Dec 2012
AGUA101
BIGU96
14 Jan 2011
AGUA101
BIGU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 85
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 85
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 85
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 85
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 85
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 85
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 85
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 85
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 85
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 85
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
29-20
33-20
23-19
21-20
24-29
26-25
18-29
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
21-24
13-19
14-19
23-26
19-24
19-16
20-14
16-23
27-26
30-23
28-28
19-22
28-24
25-23
20-14
25-33
20-32
15-17
17-12
20-28
177.1Avg total
89.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.390.1184.4+4.262%
Season at home (5)105.889.8195.6+16.0100%
Season away (8)87.190.2177.4-3.138%
Last 10 (10)89.887.3177.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.887.1170.8-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (4)101.099.5200.5+1.575%
vs Weaker (14)93.284.6177.8+8.671%
This opponent (Bigua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
62avg 77
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
84avg 77
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
74avg 77
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 77
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 77
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 77
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
100avg 77
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 77
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 77
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-26
15-20
26-21
23-34
24-27
24-26
22-23
24-19
19-26
23-26
23-19
25-15
17-17
17-26
25-20
26-14
16-28
31-25
11-8
15-26
25-14
17-27
12-19
22-17
25-27
27-31
24-11
26-23
22-22
22-30
23-18
22-23
20-28
12-23
22-24
32-26
23-25
21-24
32-24
180.6Avg total
89.0Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.689.4178.1-0.857%
Season at home (7)88.390.6178.9-2.357%
Season away (7)89.088.3177.3+0.757%
Last 10 (10)89.091.6180.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)92.295.0187.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.093.1175.1-11.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.9172.3-1.444%
vs Weaker (13)93.283.7176.9+9.577%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
AguadaBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/12
Champions League Americas
Urunday
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
92.3Avg total
47.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.490.6+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.943.391.2+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)44.445.589.9-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.345.092.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.689.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.845.289.0-1.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)49.845.094.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (14)47.143.690.7+3.671%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
90.2Avg total
44.4Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.188.2-0.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.244.189.3+1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.187.0-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.890.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.446.292.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.047.490.4-4.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.643.786.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker (13)45.842.588.3+3.454%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.2
52.2%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.218.4
79.3%
70.9%18.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.5
52.0%
53.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.5
69.1%
70.9%12.5
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWWLLWLWLW
Bigua
WLWWLWWLLL
#3
League position
#5
+3.0
Net rating
-2.0
111.5
Offensive rating
110.8
108.5
Defensive rating
112.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.2%
3-point %
35.4%
63.3%
Assist %
55.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 110.8Defence108.5 · 112.9Shooting52.5% · 52.4%3-point %35.2% · 35.4%Ball care16.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Aguada   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Aguada wins
1
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Bigua v Aguada87-90
11/04/25Aguada v Bigua99-82
07/04/25Bigua v Aguada90-95
03/04/25Aguada v Bigua89-77
28/01/25Bigua v Aguada81-95
11/11/24Aguada v Bigua88-67
15/02/24Aguada v Bigua107-85
05/12/23Bigua v Aguada81-94
03/03/23Aguada v Bigua89-85
18/12/22Bigua v Aguada94-93
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AMalvin72-89
21/12/25HNacional98-94
17/12/25AUrunday104-99
13/12/25HMinas74-77
11/12/25HBoca Juniors71-88
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82
08/11/25APenarol89-103
04/11/25HCordon107-86
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AHebraica y Macabi108-99
19/12/25ADefensor76-98
12/12/25HGoes110-106 OT
05/12/25AWelcome98-86
18/11/25HPenarol69-86
14/11/25ACordon84-75
11/11/25HUnion Atletica84-78
07/11/25AMalvin89-90
03/11/25HNacional93-110
28/10/25AUrunday79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%100%38%
Points / game94.3105.887.1
Allowed / game90.189.890.2
Point differential+4.2+16.0-3.1
Avg total184.4195.6177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%80%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game88.688.389.0
Allowed / game89.490.688.3
Point differential-0.8-2.3+0.7
Avg total178.1178.9177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1513287%86.070.7+15.3
2 Nacional1410471%91.483.1+8.3
3 Hebraica y Macabi1510567%83.979.9+3.9
4 Malvin1510567%82.181.0+1.1
5 Aguada138562%94.390.1+4.2
6 Defensor138562%87.684.6+3.0
7 Bigua148657%88.689.4-0.8
8 Urunday157847%91.485.7+5.7
9 Union Atletica156940%82.583.8-1.3
10 Goes1431121%82.692.3-9.6
11 Cordon1521313%81.393.7-12.4
12 Welcome141137%81.098.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2926231795
Bigua2325231687
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