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Alba Berlin vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-77
16-25 32-12 27-26 25-14
Position#2
Record14-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game79.1
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#14
Record7-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game91.2
GermanyBBLRound 17
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins
02 Oct 2023
ABE110
CME75
28 Jan 2023
ABE100
CME77
13 Feb 2022
ABE106
CME74
28 Feb 2021
ABE100
CME62
27 Jan 2020
ABE98
CME82
12 Oct 2018
ABE115
CME76
16 Apr 2016
ABE90
CME68
24 Apr 2015
ABE92
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 83
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
77avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 83
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 83
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-87
74
87
-13
66avg 83
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 83
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
H26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
20-12
25-21
15-18
23-12
12-25
23-21
24-20
18-18
20-23
28-21
14-19
19-13
10-25
18-13
22-25
24-24
19-21
22-24
20-14
18-17
25-24
22-26
21-17
20-27
163.3Avg total
83.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.579.1169.6+11.393%
Season at home (7)87.976.0163.9+11.9100%
Season away (8)92.881.9174.6+10.988%
Last 10 (10)83.779.6163.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)79.883.4163.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.587.4165.9-8.920%
vs Similar (9)81.482.4163.9-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.178.5172.6+15.591%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
84avg 77
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 77
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 77
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
24-19
19-27
28-21
15-25
22-23
30-29
24-26
13-14
18-30
24-14
23-29
23-17
26-27
28-23
24-24
23-21
33-23
31-23
15-26
21-18
23-24
30-30
13-33
28-19
24-20
13-15
23-18
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
184.0Avg total
91.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.491.2180.7-1.844%
Season at home (8)94.093.0187.0+1.050%
Season away (8)84.989.5174.4-4.638%
Last 10 (10)91.692.4184.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)92.290.2182.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)83.494.3177.7-10.914%
vs Similar (15)92.091.0183.0+1.060%
vs Weaker (7)84.378.6162.9+5.757%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Alba BerlinCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H10/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/01
Euroleague
86.8Avg total
43.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.685.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.084.5+0.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.285.7-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.386.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.245.987.1-4.740%-
vs Similar (9)41.642.283.8-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.439.984.3+4.573%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/12
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H07/01
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A15/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
88.2Avg total
44.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.087.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.640.685.2+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)43.345.588.7-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.988.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.688.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.046.686.6-6.629%-
vs Similar (15)46.145.191.1+1.053%-
vs Weaker (7)43.936.079.9+7.986%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.5
55.9%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.9
36.5%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.513.4
81.2%
75.8%13.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.2
56.2%
54.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
75.8%13.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWLWWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLWLWWLLL
#2
League position
#14
+6.5
Net rating
+0.0
114.8
Offensive rating
116.0
108.3
Defensive rating
116.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
58.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
40.2%
70.4%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 116.0Defence108.3 · 116.0Shooting55.3% · 58.0%3-point %36.5% · 40.2%Ball care19.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds37.1% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
20/04/22Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin70-78
20/02/22Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin76-86
13/02/22Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins106-74
28/02/21Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins100-62
09/02/21Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin77-101
08/03/20Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin91-82
27/01/20Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins98-82
06/04/19Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin69-105
12/10/18Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins115-76
16/04/16Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins90-68
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23HValencia88-94
23/01/23AWurzburg79-76
19/01/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
15/01/23HBonn81-76
12/01/23HReal Madrid77-84
10/01/23HOlimpia Milano83-63
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90
15/01/23AFrankfurt88-72
11/01/23AGaziantep87-105
07/01/23HHeidelberg102-93
04/01/23ABasketball Braunschweig101-91
26/12/22AWurzburg78-87
23/12/22HRostock91-103
17/12/22HBonn83-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game90.587.992.8
Allowed / game79.176.081.9
Point differential+11.3+11.9+10.9
Avg total169.6163.9174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game89.494.084.9
Allowed / game91.293.089.5
Point differential-1.8+1.0-4.6
Avg total180.7187.0174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1514193%90.579.1+11.3
2 Bonn1614288%90.875.8+15.1
3 Bayern1612475%82.677.5+5.1
4 Gottingen1510567%87.384.0+3.3
5 Chemnitz149564%88.383.9+4.4
6 Oldenburg1610662%86.183.1+3.0
7 Ludwigsburg159660%88.084.9+3.1
8 Wurzburg168850%84.785.3-0.6
9 Ulm167944%87.687.8-0.2
10 Crailsheim Merlins167944%89.491.2-1.8
11 Rostock167944%86.692.1-5.5
12 Bamberg1771041%85.185.2-0.2
13 Hamburg1661038%83.485.9-2.6
14 Syntainics MBC1661038%83.089.8-6.8
15 Heidelberg1551033%86.792.4-5.7
16 Frankfurt1641225%78.185.1-7.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig1741324%79.185.4-6.4
18 Bayreuth1631319%82.189.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin16322725100
Crailsheim Merlins2512261477
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