PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-84
12-25 23-21 24-20 18-18
Position#17
Record6-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#2
Record12-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2024
ABE69
MAD80
19 Mar 2024
ABE79
MAD86
12 Jan 2023
ABE77
MAD84
20 Jan 2022
ABE74
MAD89
29 Jan 2021
ABE63
MAD72
15 Jan 2015
ABE61
MAD79
27 Dec 2012
ABE63
MAD77
05 Feb 2009
ABE84
MAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 83
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 83
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
110-83
110
83
+27
117avg 83
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 83
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 83
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
77avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-22
23-23
24-22
25-28
19-24
21-20
24-20
32-16
30-20
29-24
19-23
21-19
26-21
16-21
7-22
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
20-12
25-21
15-18
23-12
165.1Avg total
86.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.483.2164.6-1.733%
Season at home (9)83.882.0165.8+1.844%
Season away (9)79.184.3163.4-5.222%
Last 10 (10)86.978.2165.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.488.1166.5-9.812%
vs Similar (10)81.978.7160.6+3.250%
vs Weaker (11)95.079.0174.0+16.091%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 79
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 79
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 79
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 79
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 79
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-65
98
65
+33
107avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-85
105
85
+20
109avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-17
12-11
14-14
21-18
14-19
20-19
17-25
16-15
22-16
12-14
30-22
25-22
20-12
25-25
22-14
21-16
21-26
17-16
26-22
28-24
15-35
26-14
17-19
26-28
18-14
13-20
21-25
22-7
29-27
27-15
20-16
25-23
25-13
26-24
29-25
25-16
13-18
19-17
22-8
159.6Avg total
84.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.477.1161.5+7.467%
Season at home (9)91.480.8172.2+10.767%
Season away (9)77.473.3150.8+4.167%
Last 10 (10)84.375.3159.6+9.070%
Last 5 (5)89.277.6166.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.880.6166.5+5.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.174.5160.5+11.679%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
Alba BerlinReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H10/01
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
45.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.584.2+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.983.4+1.671%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.084.9+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.786.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.089.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.246.588.8-4.238%-
vs Similar (10)40.839.380.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker (11)44.639.183.7+5.582%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A15/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A29/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
42.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.880.9+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.837.183.9+9.694%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.577.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.881.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.086.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.539.982.5+2.673%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.580.1+7.074%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.021.3
60.9%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.0
34.7%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.413.8
79.3%
78.5%13.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.2%
53.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.6
37.8%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
78.5%14.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLWLL
Real Madrid
WWWLLWWWLW
#17
League position
#2
+12.5
Net rating
+11.7
117.2
Offensive rating
115.8
104.7
Defensive rating
104.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
37.8%
66.8%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 115.8Defence104.7 · 104.1Shooting56.9% · 54.6%3-point %34.7% · 37.8%Ball care19.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HOlimpia Milano83-63
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
22/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-83
18/12/22AUlm110-83
16/12/22AMonaco89-92
14/12/22AVirtus Bologna76-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23ACrvena zvezda79-59
08/01/23HGran Canaria105-85
06/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-65
02/01/23HBarcelona78-87
29/12/22ABaskonia86-92
27/12/22ABilbao85-80
22/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne92-73
18/12/22ATenerife80-67
15/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas72-81
13/12/22ABayern68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW33%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game81.483.879.1
Allowed / game83.282.084.3
Point differential-1.7+1.8-5.2
Avg total164.6165.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.491.477.4
Allowed / game77.180.873.3
Point differential+7.4+10.7+4.1
Avg total161.5172.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1812667%84.477.1+7.4
2 Barcelona1812667%80.477.2+3.2
3 Fenerbahce1912763%83.278.6+4.5
4 Monaco1912763%80.781.4-0.7
5 Olympiacos1811761%85.276.4+8.7
6 Baskonia1811761%85.581.3+4.2
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%77.677.6+0.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv1810856%81.181.6-0.6
9 Crvena zvezda1910953%75.977.9-2.0
10 Anadolu Efes189950%81.777.7+4.0
11 Partizan1881044%84.385.2-0.9
12 Valencia1881044%80.983.6-2.7
13 Virtus Bologna1881044%77.281.1-3.8
14 Bayern1971237%75.778.3-2.5
15 Alba Berlin1861233%81.483.2-1.7
16 Panathinaikos1861233%78.883.6-4.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1861233%74.179.8-5.7
18 Olimpia Milano1861233%70.176.6-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1223241877
Real Madrid2521201884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.