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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 71-85
16-25 18-21 20-22 17-17
Position#7
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
88-79
88
79
+9
80avg 79
A28/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 79
A04/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 79
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
107-77
107
77
+30
108avg 79
H18/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
95avg 79
A22/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 79
A24/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
23-17
22-18
17-17
18-26
31-23
34-17
17-22
19-21
17-18
13-23
31-19
24-23
18-18
24-16
27-22
22-25
33-15
23-15
29-22
26-18
17-15
21-15
18-20
21-18
24-20
34-22
17-33
15-21
17-16
26-11
24-24
31-23
15-28
26-19
25-21
31-20
22-20
12-17
16-15
170.6Avg total
90.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.975.4162.3+11.590%
Season at home (5)89.873.4163.2+16.4100%
Season away (5)84.077.4161.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)90.680.0170.6+10.690%
Last 5 (5)87.679.2166.8+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.482.2171.7+7.278%
vs Weaker (20)86.875.0161.8+11.890%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
95avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
85avg 77
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 77
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 77
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
89avg 77
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 77
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
105-97
105
97
+8
104avg 77
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
73-55
73
55
+18
69avg 77
A27/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-23
19-27
27-27
26-12
26-18
13-22
26-17
23-20
24-30
20-11
16-16
13-20
23-28
22-23
31-23
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
27-9
25-13
19-21
22-14
31-19
10-12
18-15
21-27
32-40
22-11
32-23
19-23
23-16
16-10
14-11
20-18
166.3Avg total
88.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.678.7163.3+5.970%
Season at home (6)89.882.3172.2+7.567%
Season away (4)76.873.2150.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)88.977.4166.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)88.270.8159.0+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.679.1162.7+4.560%
vs Weaker (19)86.575.1161.6+11.489%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A28/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A22/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.2Avg total
45.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.781.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.482.2+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.538.080.5+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.286.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.438.983.3+5.667%-
vs Weaker (20)42.938.581.3+4.465%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A27/11
ACB
85.2Avg total
47.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.278.4+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.736.080.7+8.788%-
Last 30 away (14)39.436.475.7+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.985.2+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.833.481.2+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.737.478.1+3.370%-
vs Weaker (19)43.035.678.6+7.479%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.9
60.0%
53.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.0
40.9%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.411.2
52.3%
78.5%11.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.5
55.7%
53.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.6
37.2%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.016.8
84.0%
78.5%16.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWL
#7
League position
#2
+18.4
Net rating
+16.4
118.3
Offensive rating
119.0
99.9
Defensive rating
102.6
60.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.9%
3-point %
37.2%
61.7%
Assist %
64.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 119.0Defence99.9 · 102.6Shooting60.6% · 55.7%3-point %40.9% · 37.2%Ball care14.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 35.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
7
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22ABesiktas81-72
27/11/22AGalatasaray97-91
24/11/22AOlimpia Milano82-72
22/11/22AMonaco96-93
20/11/22HTofas82-68
18/11/22HPanathinaikos107-77
10/11/22HCrvena zvezda93-79
04/11/22ABarcelona80-81
31/10/22HKarsiyaka100-88
28/10/22AAnadolu Efes88-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AReal Betis73-55
24/11/22HPartizan105-97
22/11/22AValencia80-73
20/11/22HMurcia93-57
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85
06/11/22ABasket Zaragoza89-94
03/11/22AOlimpia Milano83-77
30/10/22HFuenlabrada91-69
27/10/22HVirtus Bologna91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.989.884.0
Allowed / game75.473.477.4
Point differential+11.5+16.4+6.6
Avg total162.3163.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%67%75%
Points / game84.689.876.8
Allowed / game78.782.373.2
Point differential+5.9+7.5+3.5
Avg total163.3172.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%86.975.4+11.5
2 Barcelona118373%81.077.1+3.9
3 Monaco118373%83.480.2+3.2
4 Real Madrid107370%84.678.7+5.9
5 Olympiacos117464%84.079.1+4.9
6 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%78.578.6-0.1
7 Anadolu Efes116555%83.579.2+4.3
8 Baskonia116555%87.083.7+3.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv105550%81.883.3-1.5
10 Valencia115645%80.382.9-2.6
11 Crvena zvezda115645%73.677.8-4.2
12 Panathinaikos104640%79.383.2-3.9
13 Virtus Bologna114736%75.077.5-2.5
14 Partizan114736%85.388.1-2.8
15 Bayern103730%73.677.6-4.0
16 Alba Berlin113827%81.582.5-0.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%72.077.9-5.9
18 Olimpia Milano113827%67.775.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1618201771
Real Madrid2521221785
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