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Real Madrid vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-72
26-20 27-17 17-15 20-20
Position#2
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#17
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Alba Berlin
21 Nov 2024
MAD98
ABE84
23 Nov 2023
MAD99
ABE75
17 Nov 2022
MAD90
ABE72
14 Dec 2021
MAD87
ABE64
22 Dec 2020
MAD91
ABE62
12 Mar 2015
MAD93
ABE62
22 Feb 2013
MAD77
ABE72
12 Mar 2009
MAD83
ABE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 77
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 77
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
78avg 77
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 77
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
95avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
85avg 77
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 77
H10/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
15-16
22-23
21-12
23-25
22-25
24-15
27-14
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
25-10
14-20
15-14
18-12
19-14
14-23
25-18
24-33
24-18
21-23
19-27
27-27
26-12
26-18
13-22
26-17
23-20
24-30
20-11
16-16
13-20
23-28
22-23
31-23
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
166.5Avg total
85.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.677.9159.4+3.757%
Season at home (4)86.081.2167.2+4.850%
Season away (3)75.773.3149.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)85.880.7166.5+5.150%
Last 5 (5)89.684.0173.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.575.9155.4+3.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.678.3165.9+9.389%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
no box
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 82
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
104-70
104
70
+34
103avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
85avg 82
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 82
H10/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-17
26-16
19-29
26-12
12-18
22-21
10-19
24-27
21-22
30-20
23-26
17-9
26-24
21-12
30-20
23-22
14-19
23-17
14-20
16-18
17-12
16-18
29-22
20-23
19-27
16-22
18-15
26-18
20-18
25-16
33-18
25-13
19-19
17-22
20-34
15-26
24-19
19-23
19-11
163.5Avg total
84.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.779.3162.0+3.443%
Season at home (3)90.376.0166.3+14.367%
Season away (4)77.081.8158.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)84.878.7163.5+6.160%
Last 5 (5)82.678.8161.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)87.081.0168.0+6.050%
vs Similar (5)81.078.6159.6+2.440%
vs Weaker (22)90.476.1166.5+14.395%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Real MadridAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/10
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
41.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.178.1+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.577.5+6.687%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.778.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.682.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.489.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.336.174.4+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.737.880.4+4.978%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/11
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
40.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.084.1+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.086.9+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)43.137.880.9+5.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.279.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)49.042.091.0+7.050%-
vs Similar (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (22)45.838.584.2+7.373%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
78.5%17.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.7
52.5%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
78.5%13.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWLLWLWL
Alba Berlin
LLWLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#17
+7.9
Net rating
+9.7
115.6
Offensive rating
113.7
107.7
Defensive rating
104.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
38.7%
67.1%
Assist %
76.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 113.7Defence107.7 · 104.0Shooting54.0% · 54.7%3-point %36.7% · 38.7%Ball care16.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.0% · 33.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85
06/11/22ABasket Zaragoza89-94
03/11/22AOlimpia Milano83-77
30/10/22HFuenlabrada91-69
27/10/22HVirtus Bologna91-95
23/10/22ABaskonia82-88
21/10/22HCrvena zvezda72-56
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89
16/10/22HJoventut Badalona96-79
13/10/22ABarcelona73-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HBayern77-79
04/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-88
30/10/22ARostock104-70
27/10/22AValencia73-87
23/10/22HHeidelberg78-70
21/10/22AAnadolu Efes74-78
19/10/22HPanathinaikos94-65
17/10/22HBonn98-95
14/10/22AOlimpia Milano80-74 OT
09/10/22AOldenburg89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game81.686.075.7
Allowed / game77.981.273.3
Point differential+3.7+4.8+2.3
Avg total159.4167.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game82.790.377.0
Allowed / game79.376.081.8
Point differential+3.4+14.3-4.8
Avg total162.0166.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce76186%83.473.1+10.3
2 Olympiacos86275%85.477.8+7.6
3 Monaco75271%83.079.7+3.3
4 Barcelona85362%78.576.2+2.2
5 Real Madrid74357%81.677.9+3.7
6 Baskonia74357%89.787.3+2.4
7 Zalgiris Kaunas74357%80.179.3+0.9
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%81.783.4-1.7
9 Virtus Bologna84450%73.274.6-1.4
10 Valencia84450%79.282.0-2.8
11 Alba Berlin73443%82.779.3+3.4
12 Partizan73443%83.085.3-2.3
13 Olimpia Milano73443%71.174.1-3.0
14 Anadolu Efes83538%83.983.6+0.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
16 Panathinaikos72529%78.783.1-4.4
17 Bayern82625%72.877.8-5.0
18 Crvena zvezda82625%71.278.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2627172090
Alba Berlin2017152072
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