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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game84.2
GermanyBBLRound 14· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Alba Berlin
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.8
95.2▲ 9.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
88.4▲ 6.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
62%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.7
22.0▲ 2.3
🔥 Form · Rostock
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.6
86.2▲ 2.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.1
88.6▲ 5.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
56%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.8
17.0▼ 0.8
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
110-86
110
86
+24
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#37
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#13
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#12
W
103-100
103
100
+3
H28/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
7-22
26-19
31-15
21-20
20-23
18-19
30-20
20-16
21-23
28-16
25-28
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
176.8Avg total
88.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.389.2172.5-5.850%
Season at home (4)91.086.2177.2+4.875%
Season away (2)68.095.0163.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)88.788.1176.8+0.670%
Last 5 (5)95.288.4183.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.087.0168.0-6.040%
vs Similar (8)87.978.2166.1+9.675%
vs Weaker (12)90.883.1173.9+7.875%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#16
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#7
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#19
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
24-31
20-16
14-24
13-30
21-16
27-24
21-13
18-25
19-24
17-24
19-21
21-13
25-19
21-19
24-33
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
171.3Avg total
84.2Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.084.2176.2+7.850%
Season at home (2)101.577.0178.5+24.5100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.890.0168.8-11.211%
vs Similar (6)81.280.5161.7+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.681.7172.3+8.960%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#17
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#37
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
83.3Avg total
39.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.983.8-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.440.684.0+2.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.843.783.5-3.915%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.683.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.245.584.7-6.310%-
vs Similar (8)43.937.281.1+6.662%-
vs Weaker (12)42.742.184.8+0.642%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#19
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
84.1Avg total
40.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.583.5+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.483.2+6.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.742.183.8-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.084.1-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.285.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.245.384.6-6.144%-
vs Similar (6)42.341.383.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.737.282.9+8.573%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.9
57.2%
55.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.5
35.8%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
73.8%14.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.0
50.0%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.8
33.0%
33.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
73.8%15.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLLWWW
Rostock
LLLLWWWLLL
#11
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
-3.4
97.9
Offensive rating
92.0
97.2
Defensive rating
95.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
33.0%
69.1%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 92.0Defence97.2 · 95.4Shooting55.5% · 49.8%3-point %35.8% · 33.0%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Alba Berlin v Rostock89-85
26/12/25Rostock v Alba Berlin66-80
12/02/25Rostock v Alba Berlin71-78
31/12/24Alba Berlin v Rostock85-96
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95
24/09/26HFrankfurt94-83
18/09/26HChemnitz89-82
21/06/26ABayern84-81
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86
03/10/26AHamburg91-84
29/09/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-94
27/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
24/09/26ALudwigsburg78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game83.391.068.0
Allowed / game89.286.295.0
Point differential-5.8+4.8-27.0
Avg total172.5177.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game92.0101.587.2
Allowed / game84.277.087.8
Point differential+7.8+24.5-0.5
Avg total176.2178.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern550100%99.870.6+29.2
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC64267%84.579.8+4.7
5 Ludwigsburg64267%88.786.7+2.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig53260%92.694.2-1.6
7 Wurzburg53260%80.281.8-1.6
8 Rostock63350%92.084.2+7.8
9 Bonn63350%85.380.8+4.5
10 Bamberg63350%88.086.0+2.0
11 Alba Berlin63350%83.389.2-5.8
12 Oldenburg63350%76.083.8-7.8
13 Ulm62433%82.088.2-6.2
14 Jena62433%76.388.3-12.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Chemnitz61517%85.590.5-5.0
18 Hamburg61517%79.889.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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