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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.6
GermanyBBLRound 14· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 80
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 80
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 80
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 80
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 80
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 80
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
23-18
28-11
31-17
13-31
178.6Avg total
91.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.286.6173.8+0.756%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (4)79.890.5170.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)91.986.7178.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)92.685.4178.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.287.4167.6-7.138%
vs Similar (11)88.183.0171.1+5.164%
vs Weaker (11)91.582.7174.2+8.773%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 76
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 76
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 76
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 76
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 76
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
18-22
27-19
22-10
19-24
165.9Avg total
84.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.381.6170.9+7.867%
Season at home (5)91.076.6167.6+14.4100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.081.9165.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar (9)81.279.6160.8+1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.880.4170.2+9.464%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A14/11
BBL
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.784.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.046.286.2-6.212%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.782.0+2.545%-
vs Weaker (11)44.642.286.8+2.555%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
BBL
86.5Avg total
43.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.484.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.687.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar (9)43.140.783.8+2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.038.184.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWLWL
Rostock
WLWWWLLLLW
#8
League position
#4
-0.4
Net rating
-2.9
98.6
Offensive rating
91.4
99.0
Defensive rating
94.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
32.7%
66.7%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 91.4Defence99.0 · 94.3Shooting54.9% · 49.7%3-point %35.6% · 32.7%Ball care15.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Alba Berlin v Rostock89-85
26/12/25Rostock v Alba Berlin66-80
12/02/25Rostock v Alba Berlin71-78
31/12/24Alba Berlin v Rostock85-96
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOldenburg95-77
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVechta86-75
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.293.279.8
Allowed / game86.683.490.5
Point differential+0.7+9.8-10.8
Avg total173.8176.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game89.391.087.2
Allowed / game81.676.687.8
Point differential+7.8+14.4-0.5
Avg total170.9167.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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