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Alba Berlin vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.2
GermanyBBLRound 31· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Wurzburg
23 Apr 2027
ABE v WUR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
ABE71
WUR68
23 Mar 2025
ABE80
WUR84
14 Jan 2024
ABE90
WUR82
05 Apr 2023
ABE76
WUR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 82
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
96avg 82
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
46avg 82
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 82
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 82
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 82
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#37
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 82
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#12
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 82
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A01/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-23
18-19
30-20
20-16
21-23
28-16
25-28
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
178.6Avg total
89.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.090.0174.0-6.043%
Season at home (4)91.086.2177.2+4.875%
Season away (3)74.795.0169.7-20.30%
Last 10 (10)89.189.5178.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)90.890.2181.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.687.7169.4-6.136%
vs Similar (8)87.978.2166.1+9.675%
vs Weaker (11)90.883.8174.6+7.073%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
70avg 67
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#11
W
90-67
90
67
+23
75avg 67
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 67
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#14
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 67
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#6
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 67
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#21
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 67
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 67
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 67
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 67
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
A31/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
21-19
21-13
14-24
16-24
25-9
21-22
28-12
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
159.2Avg total
81.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.880.2163.0+2.767%
Season at home (3)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
Season away (3)82.780.0162.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)81.377.9159.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)89.077.0166.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.888.2162.0-14.50%
vs Similar (15)79.576.7156.2+2.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.877.0160.8+6.870%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
Alba BerlinWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#37
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
84.6Avg total
41.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.283.8-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.083.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.143.683.7-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.184.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.745.284.9-5.518%-
vs Similar (8)43.937.281.1+6.662%-
vs Weaker (11)41.842.884.6-1.036%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#21
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#46
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
79.8Avg total
42.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.978.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.780.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.275.8+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.379.8+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.036.884.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.540.880.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (15)40.037.277.2+2.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.737.579.2+4.270%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.9
57.2%
55.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.5
35.8%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
73.8%14.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.0
46.0%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
73.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWLWLLWW
Wurzburg
WWWWLLLWWL
#12
League position
#5
+0.7
Net rating
+1.3
97.9
Offensive rating
90.9
97.2
Defensive rating
89.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
32.6%
69.1%
Assist %
56.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 90.9Defence97.2 · 89.6Shooting55.5% · 47.3%3-point %35.8% · 32.6%Ball care16.4% · 13.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95
24/09/26HFrankfurt94-83
18/09/26HChemnitz89-82
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
02/10/26HBonn83-76
27/09/26AUlm90-67
25/09/26HOldenburg68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game84.091.074.7
Allowed / game90.086.295.0
Point differential-6.0+4.8-20.3
Avg total174.0177.2169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.883.082.7
Allowed / game80.280.380.0
Point differential+2.7+2.7+2.7
Avg total163.0163.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern65183%94.370.3+24.0
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC75271%88.081.1+6.9
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock74357%88.781.7+7.0
7 Bonn74357%86.781.9+4.9
8 Bamberg74357%88.084.9+3.1
9 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig63350%89.294.5-5.3
11 Ulm73443%81.984.9-3.0
12 Alba Berlin73443%84.090.0-6.0
13 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
14 Chemnitz72529%86.788.7-2.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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