PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Wurzburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyBBLRound 31· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Wurzburg
23 Apr 2027
ABE v WUR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
ABE71
WUR68
23 Mar 2025
ABE80
WUR84
14 Jan 2024
ABE90
WUR82
05 Apr 2023
ABE76
WUR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 81
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
23-18
28-11
31-17
13-31
178.6Avg total
91.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.286.6173.8+0.756%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (4)79.890.5170.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)91.986.7178.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)92.685.4178.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.287.4167.6-7.138%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.183.0171.1+5.164%
vs Weaker (11)91.582.7174.2+8.773%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 69
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 69
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 69
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 69
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 69
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 69
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.883.2165.0-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (4)83.082.8165.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
Alba BerlinWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A14/11
BBL
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.784.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.046.286.2-6.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.339.782.0+2.545%-
vs Weaker (11)44.642.286.8+2.555%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWLWL
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#9
-0.4
Net rating
+4.1
98.6
Offensive rating
92.6
99.0
Defensive rating
88.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.6%
3-point %
33.1%
66.7%
Assist %
54.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 92.6Defence99.0 · 88.5Shooting54.9% · 49.0%3-point %35.6% · 33.1%Ball care15.6% · 14.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOldenburg95-77
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.293.279.8
Allowed / game86.683.490.5
Point differential+0.7+9.8-10.8
Avg total173.8176.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game83.283.882.8
Point differential-1.5-3.2+0.2
Avg total165.0164.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%95.469.1+26.3
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Syntainics MBC96367%83.881.3+2.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Chemnitz93633%89.888.8+1.0
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig93633%85.298.1-12.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.