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Alba Berlin vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-68
16-21 21-22 22-15 12-10
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game78.1
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Wurzburg
Germany
Position#5
Record14-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.1
GermanyBBLRound 23· Uber Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Wurzburg
23 Apr 2027
ABE v WUR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
ABE71
WUR68
23 Mar 2025
ABE80
WUR84
14 Jan 2024
ABE90
WUR82
05 Apr 2023
ABE76
WUR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 82
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
W
84-80
84
80
+4
80avg 82
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 82
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 82
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
97avg 82
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
72avg 82
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
98-78
98
78
+20
105avg 82
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
66avg 82
A22/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#18
W
87-54
87
54
+33
88avg 82
A06/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
20-20
24-22
10-24
26-32
21-22
26-19
26-19
15-24
25-19
17-21
27-16
21-20
25-26
16-16
22-20
11-18
22-15
18-14
18-13
32-26
25-26
17-25
24-15
14-23
17-22
22-32
34-16
29-18
17-20
25-23
27-17
22-15
15-21
21-16
14-22
18-12
25-16
25-11
19-15
165.1Avg total
85.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.678.1164.7+8.573%
Season at home (11)84.675.2159.8+9.573%
Season away (11)88.581.0169.5+7.573%
Last 10 (10)85.879.3165.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)88.478.2166.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (5)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.676.7164.2+10.983%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 74
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
66avg 74
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
68avg 74
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
68avg 74
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
69avg 74
H03/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
74-77
74
77
-3
60avg 74
A08/02
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 74
H11/02
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
W
70-54
70
54
+16
70avg 74
H13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 74
A18/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
70avg 74
H06/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-25
23-17
28-24
14-20
22-17
15-28
28-33
27-27
19-15
18-24
11-20
22-19
20-24
18-29
20-26
15-27
27-23
20-16
21-19
25-19
13-24
21-19
15-15
21-21
24-22
24-12
11-16
14-17
11-6
22-23
23-8
23-27
21-21
20-19
23-15
19-15
20-19
24-19
18-16
160.4Avg total
79.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.180.1162.2+2.064%
Season at home (11)85.779.4165.1+6.482%
Season away (11)78.580.8159.4-2.345%
Last 10 (10)79.481.0160.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)78.470.6149.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.289.0171.2-6.817%
vs Similar (13)79.878.3158.2+1.546%
vs Weaker (10)84.277.0161.2+7.280%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
Alba BerlinWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#18
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/03
BBL
84.3Avg total
42.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.581.3+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.038.479.4+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)42.840.783.5+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.784.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.882.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.843.490.2+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.138.879.8+2.350%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H03/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/02
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/02
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A18/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H06/03
BBL
80.3Avg total
39.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.479.7+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.680.2-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.280.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.545.385.8-4.817%-
vs Similar (13)37.839.877.7-2.038%-
vs Weaker (10)42.937.480.3+5.570%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.4
53.0%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.9
33.1%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.017.2
78.2%
73.5%17.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.3
50.1%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.5%14.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWWWL
Wurzburg
WWWWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#5
+7.2
Net rating
-1.3
96.6
Offensive rating
97.0
89.4
Defensive rating
98.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
38.1%
66.6%
Assist %
54.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 97.0Defence89.4 · 98.4Shooting51.5% · 53.2%3-point %33.1% · 38.1%Ball care17.3% · 13.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Wurzburg v Alba Berlin96-92
23/04/25Wurzburg v Alba Berlin70-69
23/03/25Alba Berlin v Wurzburg80-84
28/01/24Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-75
14/01/24Alba Berlin v Wurzburg90-82
05/04/23Alba Berlin v Wurzburg76-47
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AHeidelberg87-54
22/02/26ABamberg72-74
21/02/26HOldenburg98-78
17/02/26HHamburg87-93
15/02/26ABamberg98-92
10/02/26HTofas69-60
08/02/26HVechta84-82
04/02/26HAS Karditsas84-80
02/02/26ATrier99-92
28/01/26AAEK Athens80-88
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HChemnitz81-69
18/02/26ABasketball Braunschweig87-82
13/02/26HHeidelberg70-54
11/02/26HUnicaja80-71
08/02/26ARostock74-77
03/02/26HJoventut Badalona83-85
01/02/26HBamberg80-98
27/01/26AChalon/Saone75-86
25/01/26ABayern79-98
21/01/26AUnicaja85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game86.684.688.5
Allowed / game78.175.281.0
Point differential+8.5+9.5+7.5
Avg total164.7159.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%27%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%82%45%
Points / game82.185.778.5
Allowed / game80.179.480.8
Point differential+2.0+6.4-2.3
Avg total162.2165.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%87.071.1+15.9
2 Alba Berlin2216673%86.678.1+8.5
3 Wurzburg2214864%82.180.1+2.0
4 Bonn2415962%82.579.2+3.3
5 Bamberg2314961%88.783.3+5.3
6 Ulm2213959%82.776.7+6.0
7 Rostock2112957%84.783.2+1.4
8 Trier2112957%91.692.9-1.2
9 Ludwigsburg21111052%83.683.7-0.0
10 Oldenburg21101148%85.083.7+1.3
11 Chemnitz22101245%85.587.5-2.0
12 Frankfurt23101343%84.085.7-1.7
13 Hamburg1871139%84.789.7-4.9
14 Vechta2281436%85.888.3-2.5
15 Jena2071335%80.589.9-9.3
16 Syntainics MBC2371630%82.488.1-5.7
17 Heidelberg2251723%77.586.1-8.7
18 Basketball Braunschweig2251723%79.288.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1621221271
Wurzburg2122151068
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