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Wurzburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-92
23-22 28-33 26-19 19-18
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game87.5
GermanyBBLRound 4· Tectake Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Wurzburg v Alba Berlin
18 Jan 2027
WUR v ABE
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
WUR96
ABE92
23 Apr 2025
WUR70
ABE69
28 Jan 2024
WUR76
ABE75
23 Jan 2023
WUR76
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
85avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
75avg 74
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 74
H04/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-99
86
99
-13
73avg 74
A07/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 74
H10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 74
A12/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
69avg 74
A27/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
92-80
92
80
+12
94avg 74
H02/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Trieste
#26
W
78-63
78
63
+15
74avg 74
H07/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
22-17
15-29
17-21
16-24
21-21
19-19
17-9
20-20
26-17
20-20
21-20
20-17
17-31
18-20
31-31
25-23
19-18
19-22
15-14
17-26
26-24
15-16
26-25
22-17
13-7
22-12
15-25
19-21
23-21
26-19
24-19
23-22
21-26
12-13
28-18
21-12
16-24
20-16
21-11
165.1Avg total
84.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.773.3156.0+9.3100%
Season at home (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.580.6165.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)82.074.8156.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.281.5161.7-1.342%
vs Similar (12)83.984.4168.3-0.558%
vs Weaker (6)91.783.7175.3+8.067%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
105avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
91avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 76
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 76
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 76
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 76
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 76
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 76
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
92avg 76
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 76
H08/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
35-4
21-28
20-26
24-12
25-12
26-19
15-19
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
18-22
9-25
13-14
22-13
24-20
21-23
22-19
17-31
35-23
17-20
23-25
17-29
27-15
22-25
23-16
25-22
22-20
21-15
15-25
18-21
167.6Avg total
86.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.587.5182.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Season away (1)97.078.0175.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.980.7167.6+6.250%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.292.9171.1-14.612%
vs Similar (7)83.182.7165.9+0.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.676.5165.1+12.173%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
WurzburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A27/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A05/10
BBL
Trieste
#26
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/10
Champions League
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.082.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.482.8-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.682.8+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.342.482.8-2.150%-
vs Similar (12)42.941.884.7+1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)42.336.779.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/10
Champions League
83.8Avg total
46.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.283.9+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.984.2+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.683.5+2.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.537.383.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.948.886.6-10.912%-
vs Similar (7)44.338.983.1+5.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.436.382.7+10.173%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.3
51.8%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.4
34.2%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.921.0
75.3%
73.5%21.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
53.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.1
37.3%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
73.5%15.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWWLWLWLW
Alba Berlin
LWLLLLWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+5.2
Net rating
+8.8
108.0
Offensive rating
111.3
102.8
Defensive rating
102.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
37.3%
58.1%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 111.3Defence102.8 · 102.5Shooting51.6% · 53.9%3-point %34.2% · 37.3%Ball care18.8% · 21.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 37.4%Free throws0.46 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wurzburg wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
23/04/25Wurzburg v Alba Berlin70-69
23/03/25Alba Berlin v Wurzburg80-84
28/01/24Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-75
14/01/24Alba Berlin v Wurzburg90-82
05/04/23Alba Berlin v Wurzburg76-47
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25HTrieste78-63
05/10/25ALudwigsburg84-79
02/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig92-80
27/09/25ABonn72-61
12/06/25AUlm84-91
10/06/25HUlm78-77
07/06/25AUlm86-99
04/06/25HUlm87-77
01/06/25AUlm87-91 OT
29/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig97-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HChalon/Saone76-81
05/10/25AJena97-78
03/10/25HTrier92-97
24/05/25AUlm84-93
21/05/25HUlm62-74
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
30/04/25HSyntainics MBC90-62
27/04/25AChemnitz103-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.792.078.0
Allowed / game73.380.070.0
Point differential+9.3+12.0+8.0
Avg total156.0172.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game94.592.097.0
Allowed / game87.597.078.0
Point differential+7.0-5.0+19.0
Avg total182.0189.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern220100%94.578.0+16.5
2 Syntainics MBC330100%91.081.7+9.3
3 Wurzburg330100%82.773.3+9.3
4 Ulm330100%91.382.3+9.0
5 Trier330100%92.385.7+6.7
6 Chemnitz43175%96.085.8+10.2
7 Frankfurt32167%90.782.0+8.7
8 Bamberg21150%92.583.5+9.0
9 Alba Berlin21150%94.587.5+7.0
10 Vechta21150%84.586.0-1.5
11 Bonn31233%70.375.7-5.3
12 Ludwigsburg31233%88.394.3-6.0
13 Jena31233%80.791.0-10.3
14 Heidelberg3030%80.787.7-7.0
15 Oldenburg3030%77.385.0-7.7
16 Rostock2020%79.087.5-8.5
17 Hamburg3030%80.797.0-16.3
18 Basketball Braunschweig3030%76.095.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2328261996
Alba Berlin2233191892
← all games of the day
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