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Alftanes vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 109-114 (OT)
28-21 26-23 17-20 16-23 22-27
Position#6
Record10-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game90.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alftanes v Keflavik
23 Oct 2026
ALFT130
KEFL110
06 Mar 2026
ALFT96
KEFL106
03 Oct 2024
ALFT101
KEFL108
23 Apr 2024
ALFT85
KEFL114
15 Apr 2024
ALFT77
KEFL56
16 Feb 2024
ALFT109
KEFL114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 75
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 75
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 75
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 75
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
86avg 75
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 75
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 75
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
20-23
23-20
24-11
28-19
21-18
13-21
30-20
14-22
25-22
13-17
21-17
22-20
23-17
9-15
26-16
27-19
18-23
27-21
12-24
36-22
16-23
18-22
19-22
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
168.1Avg total
86.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.580.6164.1+2.959%
Season at home (8)86.280.6166.9+5.675%
Season away (9)81.180.6161.7+0.644%
Last 10 (10)86.481.7168.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)89.087.8176.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.083.2162.2-4.240%
vs Weaker (5)95.476.8172.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
90avg 89
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 89
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
94avg 89
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 89
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 89
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 89
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 89
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
123-93
123
93
+30
121avg 89
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 89
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 89
A01/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
20-27
31-22
24-16
17-19
34-21
27-15
25-27
27-23
30-19
29-18
17-27
17-28
31-32
28-25
26-18
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
14-28
20-24
28-32
20-21
29-21
25-15
37-31
32-26
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
192.5Avg total
101.3Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.490.1185.5+5.269%
Season at home (8)96.487.8184.1+8.688%
Season away (8)94.492.5186.9+1.950%
Last 10 (10)101.391.2192.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)101.093.2194.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.491.2182.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)98.390.7189.0+7.670%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
AlftanesKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
85.3Avg total
44.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)42.541.884.2+0.755%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.942.787.6+2.270%-
Last 30 away (10)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.785.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.442.982.3-3.530%-
vs Weaker (5)48.637.686.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H15/12
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
98.2Avg total
50.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.645.993.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.146.694.7+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)47.145.492.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)50.547.798.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.0100.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.845.893.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (10)50.246.596.7+3.750%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.2
48.0%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.2
38.6%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.912.9
68.3%
74.4%12.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.414.1
36.7%
34.2%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
74.4%17.6
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WLLWWLWLWW
Keflavik
WWWLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
+11.8
105.1
Offensive rating
115.6
99.8
Defensive rating
103.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.8%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.6%
3-point %
36.7%
62.6%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 115.6Defence99.8 · 103.8Shooting52.0% · 55.8%3-point %38.6% · 36.7%Ball care15.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 23.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Alftanes   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alftanes wins
1
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79
18/01/24HBreidablik106-100 OT
11/01/24AGrindavik84-87
05/01/24ATindastoll80-68
14/12/23AHottur73-78
11/12/23HFjolnir92-78
07/12/23HHaukar90-67
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
21/01/24AHottur123-93
18/01/24AValur82-105
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
15/12/23HThorl102-103
11/12/23ASelfoss103-87
08/12/23ANjardvik103-82
30/11/23HBreidablik100-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game83.586.281.1
Allowed / game80.680.680.6
Point differential+2.9+5.6+0.6
Avg total164.1166.9161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game95.496.494.4
Allowed / game90.187.892.5
Point differential+5.2+8.6+1.9
Avg total185.5184.1186.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1815383%92.782.3+10.4
2 Njardvik1712571%91.086.2+4.8
3 Keflavik1611569%95.490.1+5.2
4 Grindavik1812667%93.688.6+5.1
5 Thorl1812667%91.289.1+2.1
6 Alftanes1710759%83.580.6+2.9
7 Hottur179853%84.284.4-0.1
8 Tindastoll189950%85.483.9+1.4
9 Stjarnan1881044%86.385.7+0.7
10 Haukar1851328%87.990.1-2.2
11 Breidablik1721512%85.199.1-14.0
12 Hamar180180%82.698.7-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alftanes2826171622109
Keflavik2123202327114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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