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Alftanes vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-56
17-6 20-23 18-18 22-9
Position#6
Record13-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#3
Record16-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game91.7
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alftanes v Keflavik
23 Oct 2026
ALFT130
KEFL110
06 Mar 2026
ALFT96
KEFL106
03 Oct 2024
ALFT101
KEFL108
23 Apr 2024
ALFT85
KEFL114
15 Apr 2024
ALFT77
KEFL56
16 Feb 2024
ALFT109
KEFL114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 75
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
59avg 75
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 75
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 75
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
63-54
63
54
+9
55avg 75
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
91avg 75
A11/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
27-25
15-21
14-21
15-22
19-30
27-21
12-10
28-16
17-23
22-28
24-14
9-25
23-24
27-18
21-26
27-23
14-14
12-11
20-10
17-19
20-24
17-27
23-26
32-22
171.4Avg total
84.0Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.382.3166.7+2.057%
Season at home (11)86.280.9167.1+5.373%
Season away (12)82.683.7166.2-1.142%
Last 10 (10)84.087.4171.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)82.282.2164.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.282.4159.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.484.0165.4-2.643%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.2175.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 92
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 92
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 92
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
101avg 92
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
113-94
113
94
+19
115avg 92
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 92
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
127-114
127
114
+13
124avg 92
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
101avg 92
A04/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 92
H11/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
32-25
24-13
25-21
27-30
27-24
23-17
34-26
29-27
21-22
21-22
31-23
19-12
28-29
29-25
30-33
40-27
27-20
26-29
16-22
31-35
24-20
27-17
26-23
22-32
197.5Avg total
104.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)98.291.7189.9+6.470%
Season at home (12)98.488.8187.2+9.683%
Season away (11)97.994.9192.8+3.055%
Last 10 (10)104.193.4197.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)106.297.0203.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.894.6180.4-8.840%
vs Similar ◀ (13)99.493.8193.2+5.562%
vs Weaker (11)102.387.7190.0+14.591%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
AlftanesKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A11/04
Premier league
85.6Avg total
42.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.342.484.7-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.786.6+1.164%-
Last 30 away (13)40.742.182.8-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.185.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.842.982.6-3.136%-
vs Weaker (6)48.838.387.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H11/04
Premier league
97.3Avg total
50.8Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.845.394.1+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.545.194.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.493.7+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)50.846.597.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.645.095.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.046.888.8-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)49.045.894.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker (11)51.044.395.3+6.755%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.2
46.8%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.6
36.2%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.9
69.7%
74.4%12.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.0
59.3%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.813.9
37.8%
34.2%41.7
🏀 Free throws23.218.1
78.0%
74.4%18.1
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWWLWLLWLL
Keflavik
WLWWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#3
-2.8
Net rating
+13.8
101.9
Offensive rating
120.8
104.6
Defensive rating
107.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
58.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
11.6%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
37.8%
67.4%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 120.8Defence104.6 · 107.1Shooting50.0% · 58.0%3-point %36.2% · 37.8%Ball care15.6% · 11.6%Off. rebounds22.9% · 21.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Alftanes   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alftanes wins
3
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24AKeflavik92-99
04/04/24HHottur63-54
28/03/24AHaukar98-91
19/03/24HTindastoll72-90
14/03/24HStjarnan86-77
07/03/24AValur71-89
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HAlftanes99-92
04/04/24AThorl100-106
28/03/24HNjardvik127-114
23/03/24ATindastoll92-79
19/03/24HStjarnan113-94
14/03/24ABreidablik108-89
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game84.386.282.6
Allowed / game82.380.983.7
Point differential+2.0+5.3-1.1
Avg total166.7167.1166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %13%18%8%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%83%55%
Points / game98.298.497.9
Allowed / game91.788.894.9
Point differential+6.4+9.6+3.0
Avg total189.9187.2192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2419579%92.383.8+8.6
2 Grindavik2316770%94.987.6+7.3
3 Keflavik2316770%98.291.7+6.4
4 Njardvik2416867%95.088.9+6.1
5 Thorl2416867%91.990.3+1.6
6 Alftanes23131057%84.382.3+2.0
7 Stjarnan22111150%86.885.5+1.4
8 Hottur24121250%82.484.2-1.8
9 Tindastoll23111248%87.086.2+0.8
10 Haukar2251723%87.992.0-4.1
11 Breidablik222209%85.7100.8-15.1
12 Hamar221215%84.299.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes1720182277
Keflavik62318956
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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