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Alftanes vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 130-110
29-32 34-29 32-32 35-17
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game90.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alftanes v Keflavik
23 Oct 2026
ALFT130
KEFL110
06 Mar 2026
ALFT96
KEFL106
03 Oct 2024
ALFT101
KEFL108
23 Apr 2024
ALFT85
KEFL114
15 Apr 2024
ALFT77
KEFL56
16 Feb 2024
ALFT109
KEFL114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 87
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 87
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 87
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
87-108
87
108
-21
75avg 87
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 87
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 87
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 87
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 87
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#7
W
111-77
111
77
+34
111avg 87
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
119-88
119
88
+31
117avg 87
A15/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
19-12
27-25
21-18
21-28
24-29
35-17
16-27
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
23-26
18-23
24-34
22-25
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
26-26
31-17
24-15
30-19
31-25
29-27
31-19
28-17
196.8Avg total
99.5Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)115.082.5197.5+32.5100%
Season at home (1)111.077.0188.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)119.088.0207.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)99.597.3196.8+2.240%
Last 5 (5)109.497.6207.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)93.5102.5196.0-9.127%
vs Similar (10)90.596.6187.1-6.120%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)101.276.6177.9+24.688%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 88
A12/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
84avg 88
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 88
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
68avg 88
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 88
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 88
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 88
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 88
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 88
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 88
H15/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
19-27
25-33
34-21
20-16
16-31
26-20
23-21
27-21
15-27
22-18
22-16
14-21
18-21
25-19
21-14
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
176.1Avg total
89.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)107.090.0197.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)106.090.0196.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)108.090.0198.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.286.9176.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)91.286.0177.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)96.089.3185.3+6.767%
vs Similar (17)92.192.1184.2-0.147%
vs Weaker (9)97.388.2185.6+9.167%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
AlftanesKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#7
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/10
Premier league
99.6Avg total
49.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.846.694.4+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.847.597.3+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.791.5+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)49.550.199.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)58.053.2111.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)49.351.5100.8-2.336%-
vs Similar (10)44.548.593.0-4.010%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.037.687.6+12.488%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
89.8Avg total
43.8Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.346.693.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.345.191.4+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)46.447.994.3-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.089.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.493.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)48.348.396.7+0.067%-
vs Similar (17)43.546.089.5-2.529%-
vs Weaker (9)50.848.499.2+2.367%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.627.3
61.2%
56.2%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.3
31.7%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
73.9%16.6
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.3
51.6%
56.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.8
31.1%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.318.0
80.7%
73.9%18.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WWWLLLLLLW
Keflavik
WWLWLLWWLL
#1
League position
#5
+2.3
Net rating
+2.5
103.2
Offensive rating
96.5
100.9
Defensive rating
94.0
55.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
31.1%
55.5%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 96.5Defence100.9 · 94.0Shooting55.8% · 49.7%3-point %31.7% · 31.1%Ball care13.1% · 12.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Alftanes   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
8
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Alftanes v Keflavik96-106
21/11/25Keflavik v Alftanes101-90
02/01/25Keflavik v Alftanes87-89
03/10/24Alftanes v Keflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik85-114
19/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes88-84
15/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik77-56
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26AIR Reykjavik119-88
08/10/26HHottur111-77
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
20/02/26HValur87-108
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
29/01/26ANjardvik96-101
22/01/26HAkranes IA89-83
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
02/04/26AValur78-75
26/03/26ANjardvik86-82
19/03/26HValur85-88
12/03/26AKR Basket105-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game115.0111.0119.0
Allowed / game82.577.088.0
Point differential+32.5+34.0+31.0
Avg total197.5188.0207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game107.0106.0108.0
Allowed / game90.090.090.0
Point differential+17.0+16.0+18.0
Avg total197.0196.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes220100%115.082.5+32.5
2 KR Basket330100%94.375.7+18.7
3 Keflavik220100%107.090.0+17.0
4 Tindastoll330100%90.778.0+12.7
5 Valur330100%88.078.7+9.3
6 Hottur32167%96.0101.7-5.7
7 Grindavik31233%84.088.0-4.0
8 IR Reykjavik31233%93.7106.0-12.3
9 Stjarnan3030%89.097.0-8.0
10 Njardvik3030%78.387.3-9.0
11 Sindri3030%84.093.7-9.7
12 Armann3030%83.3108.3-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes29343235130
Keflavik32293217110
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