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Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-92
24-20 27-17 26-23 22-32
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#6
Record13-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.6
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes
21 Jan 2027
KEFL v ALFT
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
KEFL101
ALFT90
02 Jan 2025
KEFL87
ALFT89
19 Apr 2024
KEFL88
ALFT84
11 Apr 2024
KEFL99
ALFT92
17 Nov 2023
KEFL97
ALFT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 92
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 92
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 92
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 92
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
101avg 92
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
113-94
113
94
+19
115avg 92
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 92
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
127-114
127
114
+13
124avg 92
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
101avg 92
A04/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
32-25
24-13
25-21
27-30
27-24
23-17
34-26
29-27
21-22
21-22
31-23
19-12
28-29
29-25
30-33
40-27
27-20
26-29
16-22
31-35
197.0Avg total
103.9Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)98.191.7189.9+6.468%
Season at home (11)98.488.5186.9+9.882%
Season away (11)97.994.9192.8+3.055%
Last 10 (10)103.993.1197.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)108.096.4204.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.397.8187.2-8.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)99.494.0193.4+5.458%
vs Weaker (11)102.387.7190.0+14.591%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 74
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 74
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 74
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 74
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
59avg 74
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 74
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 74
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 74
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
63-54
63
54
+9
55avg 74
H04/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
27-25
15-21
14-21
15-22
19-30
27-21
12-10
28-16
17-23
22-28
24-14
9-25
23-24
27-18
21-26
27-23
14-14
12-11
20-10
17-19
169.2Avg total
83.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.081.6165.5+2.459%
Season at home (11)86.280.9167.1+5.373%
Season away (11)81.782.3164.0-0.545%
Last 10 (10)83.885.4169.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.282.4159.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.682.8163.5-2.246%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.2175.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
KeflavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/04
Premier league
97.8Avg total
50.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.645.794.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.046.195.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.493.7+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)50.747.197.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.645.296.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.347.389.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)48.846.695.4+2.258%-
vs Weaker (11)51.044.395.3+6.755%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/04
Premier league
85.5Avg total
43.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.542.184.6+0.554%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.786.6+1.164%-
Last 30 away (12)41.041.382.3-0.342%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.585.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.042.282.2-2.238%-
vs Weaker (6)48.838.387.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.9
58.5%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.714.9
39.5%
34.2%44.7
🏀 Free throws22.717.5
77.1%
74.4%17.5
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.0
47.1%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.9
37.3%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
74.4%11.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWWWWLWWW
Alftanes
WWLWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+16.0
Net rating
-2.3
123.2
Offensive rating
102.4
107.2
Defensive rating
104.7
58.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
11.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.5%
3-point %
37.3%
64.0%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 102.4Defence107.2 · 104.7Shooting58.9% · 51.0%3-point %39.5% · 37.3%Ball care11.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.1% · 22.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keflavik wins
0
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24AThorl100-106
28/03/24HNjardvik127-114
23/03/24ATindastoll92-79
19/03/24HStjarnan113-94
14/03/24ABreidablik108-89
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HHottur63-54
28/03/24AHaukar98-91
19/03/24HTindastoll72-90
14/03/24HStjarnan86-77
07/03/24AValur71-89
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game98.198.497.9
Allowed / game91.788.594.9
Point differential+6.4+9.8+3.0
Avg total189.9186.9192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game84.086.281.7
Allowed / game81.680.982.3
Point differential+2.4+5.3-0.5
Avg total165.5167.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2319483%93.083.7+9.3
2 Njardvik2316770%95.188.6+6.5
3 Grindavik2215768%94.187.5+6.6
4 Keflavik2215768%98.191.7+6.4
5 Thorl2315865%91.890.2+1.6
6 Alftanes2213959%84.081.6+2.4
7 Tindastoll22111150%87.085.0+1.9
8 Stjarnan22111150%86.885.5+1.4
9 Hottur23111248%82.384.5-2.1
10 Haukar2251723%87.992.0-4.1
11 Breidablik222209%85.7100.8-15.1
12 Hamar221215%84.299.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik2427262299
Alftanes2017233292
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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