Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 55-75

19-12 9-20 9-26 18-17

Position#10

Record5-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game87.4

Alkar

Zadar 🏆

Position#1

Record15-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game67.4

Premijer ligaRound 15

Other2020-21

Meetings · Alkar v Zadar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sonik Puntamika

85-94

-9

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

88-75

+13

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

98-83

+15

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

62-96

-34

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

82-83

-1

A19/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

75-98

-23

A28/12

Premijer liga

Split

69-92

-23

H30/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

73-74

-1

H09/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

68-82

-14

A15/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

69-62

A24/01

Premijer liga

16-32

23-17

21-28

25-17

20-22

22-14

21-22

25-17

26-12

22-20

28-25

22-26

17-21

19-28

18-23

8-24

21-18

21-21

22-23

18-21

20-26

21-24

10-22

24-26

25-22

14-21

20-26

10-23

18-15

15-9

17-27

23-23

17-31

12-16

18-16

21-19

15-13

16-15

22-16

16-18

160.8Avg total

76.9Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.2	87.4	166.6	-8.2	29%
Season at home (8)	82.2	91.6	173.9	-9.4	25%
Season away (9)	76.4	83.7	160.1	-7.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	83.9	160.8	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	81.6	152.4	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	72.1	89.1	161.1	-17.0	14%
vs Similar (12)	82.2	83.8	166.0	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	82.7	79.7	162.3	+3.0	67%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

74-55

+19

H18/12

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

66-81

-15

A02/01

ABA League

Osijek

73-70

H05/01

Premijer liga

Cedevita Olimpija

78-80

-2

H10/01

ABA League

Cedevita Junior

#10

81-69

+12

A12/01

Croatian Cup

Sonik Puntamika

102-63

102

+39

H14/01

Premijer liga

Mega Soccerbet

83-90

-7

H17/01

ABA League

Skrljevo

76-72

A20/01

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#14

81-63

+18

A24/01

ABA League

Hermes

#12

101-84

101

+17

A25/01

Premijer liga

14-17

25-8

17-16

18-14

16-22

12-21

22-25

16-13

22-17

16-19

14-19

21-15

12-20

19-20

26-26

21-14

14-26

21-16

23-15

23-12

27-21

27-9

19-14

29-19

21-21

19-20

21-25

22-24

17-12

21-19

21-22

17-19

22-11

24-16

20-21

15-15

29-28

24-13

21-24

27-19

154.2Avg total

81.5Scored

72.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	83.9	67.4	151.3	+16.6	88%
Season at home (9)	87.3	63.9	151.2	+23.4	100%
Season away (8)	80.1	71.2	151.4	+8.9	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	72.7	154.2	+8.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	74.4	163.0	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	70.1	81.9	152.0	-11.7	0%
vs Similar (6)	78.3	71.5	149.8	+6.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	80.8	63.3	144.1	+17.5	88%

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarZadar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.4	39.1	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.9	36.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.6	41.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.3	18.8	35.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.0	32.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	16.3	36.7	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	14.8	34.6	+5.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.1	36.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	15.4	38.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	17.9	35.1	-0.6	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.6	15.4	37.0	+6.2	80%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sonik Puntamika

39-49

-10

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

42-36

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

48-32

+16

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

36-49

-13

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

42-39

A19/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

41-50

-9

A28/12

Premijer liga

Split

39-43

-4

H30/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

33-24

H09/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

29-47

-18

A15/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

31-28

A24/01

Premijer liga

77.7Avg total

38.0Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	42.1	80.1	-4.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.0	43.5	83.5	-3.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	41.1	77.5	-4.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	39.7	77.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.4	73.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.4	42.3	77.7	-6.9	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	42.7	83.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	37.0	76.7	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

39-25

+14

H18/12

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

28-43

-15

A02/01

ABA League

Osijek

38-36

H05/01

Premijer liga

Cedevita Olimpija

31-40

-9

H10/01

ABA League

Cedevita Junior

#10

35-42

-7

A12/01

Croatian Cup

Sonik Puntamika

54-30

+24

H14/01

Premijer liga

Mega Soccerbet

40-41

-1

H17/01

ABA League

Skrljevo

38-31

A20/01

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#14

46-27

+19

A24/01

ABA League

Hermes

#12

53-41

+12

A25/01

Premijer liga

75.8Avg total

40.2Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	35.2	74.2	+3.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	33.7	73.3	+5.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	36.6	75.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.6	75.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	34.0	80.2	+12.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.0	40.3	74.3	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	35.7	72.7	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.5	32.2	74.7	+10.3	87%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.2	41.0	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	23.7	41.6	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	19.8	39.4	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.4	39.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.8	23.1	41.9	-4.3	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	20.2	40.2	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	18.3	40.7	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.4	37.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	15.0	34.2	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.7	81.8	-5.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.4	42.9	82.3	-3.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.1	44.2	81.4	-7.1	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	44.2	83.1	-5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	43.2	79.4	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.6	46.8	83.4	-10.1	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.6	40.0	79.6	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	42.7	85.7	+0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	35.7	78.2	+6.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	37.1	75.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	37.1	78.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.4	82.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.1	41.6	77.7	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	34.7	73.2	+3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.4	35.3	77.7	+7.1	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 70.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.8	50.4%	53.3%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	6.5	32.5%	34.1%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	14.9	69.3%	74.0%	14.9

They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	16.2	47.2%	53.3%	32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	10.8	42.2%	34.1%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.3	70.3%	74.0%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	20.4	53.2%	53.3%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	7.4	32.9%	34.1%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.6	75.9%	74.0%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	18.5	51.6%	53.3%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.8	37.1%	34.1%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.3	71.7%	74.0%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Zadar wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/20	Zadar v Alkar	91-63
22/01/20	Alkar v Zadar	93-84
31/10/19	Zadar v Alkar	116-93
23/03/19	Alkar v Zadar	62-103
14/11/18	Zadar v Alkar	99-71
26/04/18	Alkar v Zadar	81-103
19/01/18	Zadar v Alkar	93-62
23/04/17	Zadar v Alkar	101-67
29/12/16	Alkar v Zadar	89-83 OT
02/05/15	Alkar v Zadar	61-81

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/21	A	Osijek	69-62
15/01/21	A	GKK Sibenka	68-82
09/01/21	H	Gorica	73-74
30/12/20	H	Split	69-92
28/12/20	A	Gorica	75-98
19/12/20	A	Zabok	82-83
14/12/20	A	Cibona	62-96
13/12/20	A	Dubrava	98-83
21/11/20	A	Hermes	88-75
14/11/20	H	Sonik Puntamika	85-94

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/21	A	Hermes	101-84
24/01/21	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	81-63
20/01/21	A	Skrljevo	76-72
17/01/21	H	Mega Soccerbet	83-90
14/01/21	H	Sonik Puntamika	102-63
12/01/21	A	Cedevita Junior	81-69
10/01/21	H	Cedevita Olimpija	78-80
05/01/21	H	Osijek	73-70
02/01/21	A	Crvena zvezda	66-81
18/12/20	H	Gorica	74-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	29%
Home	WLLLL	25%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	29%	25%	33%
Points / game	79.2	82.2	76.4
Allowed / game	87.4	91.6	83.7
Point differential	-8.2	-9.4	-7.2
Avg total	166.6	173.9	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	12%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Zadar

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	83.9	87.3	80.1
Allowed / game	67.4	63.9	71.2
Point differential	+16.6	+23.4	+8.9
Avg total	151.3	151.2	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	78%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	17	15	2	88%	83.9	67.4	+16.6
2	Gorica	17	14	3	82%	86.1	74.9	+11.1
3	Cibona	15	12	3	80%	89.6	71.5	+18.1
4	Split	17	13	4	76%	90.3	76.8	+13.5
5	Sonik Puntamika	18	10	8	56%	80.1	83.5	-3.4
6	Zabok	19	9	10	47%	77.0	78.5	-1.5
7	GKK Sibenka	16	7	9	44%	84.1	88.2	-4.1
8	Skrljevo	18	7	11	39%	77.4	83.1	-5.7
9	Osijek	17	5	12	29%	80.5	86.2	-5.7
10	Alkar	17	5	12	29%	79.2	87.4	-8.2
11	Dubrava	18	4	14	22%	81.8	89.4	-7.6
12	Hermes	19	3	16	16%	76.8	94.7	-17.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	19	9	9	18	55
Zadar	12	20	26	17	75

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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