Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 89-83 (OT)

26-22 17-16 17-16 17-23 12-6

Position#12

Record3-8

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game83.7

Alkar 🏆

Zadar

Position#6

Record7-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game75.6

Premijer ligaRound 13

Other2016-17

Meetings · Alkar v Zadar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zadar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

74-85

-11

A15/10

Premijer liga

Hermes

#13

89-64

+25

H22/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

69-76

-7

A29/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

95-78

+17

H05/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

84-91 OT

-7

A11/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

#14

89-71

+18

H19/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

71-80

-9

A27/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

63-85

-22

H03/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

84-104

104

-20

A10/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

80-98

-18

H19/12

Premijer liga

3-2

36-36

18-26

17-21

24-22

21-10

22-12

22-20

16-24

10-11

16-20

27-21

15-22

25-24

29-17

26-15

16-23

27-15

19-20

17-21

18-26

28-16

23-15

20-14

18-24

9-17

27-18

17-21

16-20

13-17

18-17

16-31

23-36

25-13

16-29

20-26

19-22

24-41

13-18

24-17

163.0Avg total

79.8Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.9	83.7	163.6	-3.8	27%
Season at home (6)	82.8	80.8	163.7	+2.0	50%
Season away (5)	76.4	87.2	163.6	-10.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	83.2	163.0	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	87.6	165.0	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	75.1	87.0	162.1	-11.9	0%
vs Similar (19)	73.9	73.9	147.8	+0.0	47%
vs Weaker (3)	91.0	85.3	176.3	+5.7	100%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

#10

84-87

-3

A20/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

73-64

H25/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

73-82

-9

A27/11

ABA League

Karpos

#11

93-74

+19

H02/12

ABA League

Gorica

#11

97-53

+44

H07/12

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

#10

76-78

-2

A11/12

ABA League

FMP Beograd

77-94

-17

A16/12

ABA League

Cedevita

75-77

-2

A20/12

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

74-65

H23/12

Premijer liga

Buducnost

78-76

H26/12

ABA League

21-16

25-16

20-26

18-29

20-18

22-7

15-12

16-27

17-24

6-18

19-20

31-20

24-18

19-19

23-20

27-17

30-8

21-10

25-18

21-17

21-24

16-21

21-10

18-23

23-25

21-18

19-25

14-26

23-17

18-17

26-25

8-18

22-19

19-13

19-12

14-21

28-13

19-27

16-23

15-13

155.0Avg total

80.0Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	80.5	75.6	156.2	+4.9	64%
Season at home (6)	83.3	70.5	153.8	+12.8	83%
Season away (5)	77.2	81.8	159.0	-4.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	75.0	155.0	+5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	78.0	154.0	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	78.2	88.1	166.2	-9.9	35%
vs Similar (5)	76.8	79.0	155.8	-2.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	84.5	72.8	157.2	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarZadar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.2	36.7	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	21.1	37.3	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	22.1	38.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	25.6	44.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	37%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.1	43.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.9	44.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.2	41.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.7	37.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	12%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.5	38.7	-4.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.8	21.5	38.2	-4.7	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	15.5	36.9	+5.9	75%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

39-38

A15/10

Premijer liga

Hermes

#13

45-32

+13

H22/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

26-35

-9

A29/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

40-46

-6

H05/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

43-38

A11/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

#14

46-42

H19/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

27-41

-14

A27/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

29-37

-8

H03/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

48-49

-1

A10/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

43-63

-20

H19/12

Premijer liga

80.7Avg total

38.6Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.8	75.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	37.9	76.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.8	75.1	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	42.1	80.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	46.4	85.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.1	41.6	77.8	-5.5	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	36.2	37.2	73.4	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	67%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

#10

46-32

+14

A20/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

42-25

+17

H25/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

23-42

-19

A27/11

ABA League

Karpos

#11

43-37

H02/12

ABA League

Gorica

#11

51-18

+33

H07/12

Premijer liga

Petrol Olimpija

#10

37-45

-8

A11/12

ABA League

FMP Beograd

44-43

A16/12

ABA League

Cedevita

41-34

A20/12

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

41-32

H23/12

Premijer liga

Buducnost

47-40

H26/12

ABA League

76.3Avg total

41.5Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.6	80.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	36.8	78.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	44.4	82.9	-5.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	34.8	76.3	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.8	43.8	82.5	-5.0	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.8	34.6	78.4	+9.1	75%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.1	38.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.4	18.7	37.2	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.7	42.7	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	20.2	34.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.7	23.7	43.4	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.2	23.1	43.4	-2.9	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.1	77.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	36.3	76.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	41.9	78.9	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	39.9	80.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.4	43.9	82.2	-5.5	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.7	36.7	74.4	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.9	81.4	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.1	77.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	44.6	85.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	39.2	73.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	39.4	44.3	83.7	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	39.6	77.4	-1.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.8	38.1	78.9	+2.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀20%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	23.8	55.3%	53.3%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	5.4	31.8%	34.1%	16.2
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.0	75.0%	74.0%	18.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	22.5	57.4%	53.3%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.8	36.1%	34.1%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.9	12.0	75.5%	74.0%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	23.4	53.8%	53.3%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.7	5.3	29.8%	34.1%	15.8
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.4	72.8%	74.0%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	24.0	58.6%	53.3%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.7	34.9%	34.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.5	75.4%	74.0%	12.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Zadar wins

Date	Game	Score
02/05/15	Alkar v Zadar	61-81
04/04/15	Zadar v Alkar	77-63
04/05/14	Alkar v Zadar	61-81
06/04/14	Zadar v Alkar	78-64
11/05/13	Zadar v Alkar	92-76
17/04/13	Alkar v Zadar	97-104 OT
21/01/12	Zadar v Alkar	97-51
22/10/11	Alkar v Zadar	64-74
03/05/11	Zadar v Alkar	76-61
04/04/11	Alkar v Zadar	52-69

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/16	H	Cibona	80-98
10/12/16	A	Zabok	84-104
03/12/16	H	Jolly Sibenik	63-85
27/11/16	A	Zagreb	71-80
19/11/16	H	Kvarner	89-71
11/11/16	A	Skrljevo	84-91 OT
05/11/16	H	Gorica	95-78
29/10/16	A	Osijek	69-76
22/10/16	H	Hermes	89-64
15/10/16	A	Split	74-85

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/12/16	H	Buducnost	78-76
23/12/16	H	Skrljevo	74-65
20/12/16	A	Cedevita	75-77
16/12/16	A	FMP Beograd	77-94
11/12/16	A	Petrol Olimpija	76-78
07/12/16	H	Gorica	97-53
02/12/16	H	Karpos	93-74
27/11/16	A	Cibona	73-82
25/11/16	H	Osijek	73-64
20/11/16	A	Zabok	84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	27%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	50%	0%
Points / game	79.9	82.8	76.4
Allowed / game	83.7	80.8	87.2
Point differential	-3.8	+2.0	-10.8
Avg total	163.6	163.7	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

Zadar

Premijer liga 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	64%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	83%	40%
Points / game	80.5	83.3	77.2
Allowed / game	75.6	70.5	81.8
Point differential	+4.9	+12.8	-4.6
Avg total	156.2	153.8	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Jolly Sibenik	12	11	1	92%	84.3	70.5	+13.8
2	Split	10	8	2	80%	80.8	73.3	+7.5
3	GKK Sibenik	13	10	3	77%	89.5	75.0	+14.5
4	Cedevita	12	9	3	75%	87.4	75.9	+11.5
5	Cibona	10	7	3	70%	87.7	79.5	+8.2
6	Zagreb	12	8	4	67%	82.2	81.4	+0.8
7	Zadar	11	7	4	64%	80.5	75.6	+4.9
8	Osijek	13	8	5	62%	74.7	71.5	+3.2
9	Alkar	11	3	8	27%	79.9	83.7	-3.8
10	Zabok	12	3	9	25%	83.2	91.5	-8.2
11	Skrljevo	13	3	10	23%	75.0	82.5	-7.5
12	Kvarner	12	2	10	17%	73.8	83.5	-9.7
13	Gorica	12	2	10	17%	77.2	93.2	-16.1
14	Hermes	13	2	11	15%	77.2	93.1	-15.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Alkar	26	17	17	17	12	89
Zadar	22	16	16	23	6	83

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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