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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 90-70
17-25 19-20 28-8 26-17
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#10
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game75.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 74
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 74
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 74
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 74
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 74
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 74
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 74
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 74
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 74
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-64
86
64
+22
79avg 74
H22/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
19-19
21-17
22-16
24-25
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
17-16
19-10
25-22
25-16
162.6Avg total
85.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.081.4168.4+5.643%
Season at home (4)97.282.5179.8+14.875%
Season away (3)73.380.0153.3-6.70%
Last 10 (10)85.577.1162.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)90.677.8168.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.583.5160.0-7.127%
vs Similar (11)78.478.0156.4+0.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.079.5169.5+10.575%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 68
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
L
72-94
72
94
-22
61avg 68
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
53avg 68
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
67-54
67
54
+13
64avg 68
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 68
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 68
H18/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
24-23
22-21
20-23
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
21-26
14-26
22-19
19-15
15-17
26-23
19-28
12-26
16-17
12-20
13-16
22-24
17-16
15-10
15-18
20-10
17-19
22-16
24-17
16-25
30-22
24-12
14-25
14-17
153.1Avg total
75.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.975.3149.1-1.457%
Season at home (4)73.578.0151.5-4.550%
Season away (3)74.371.7146.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)75.677.5153.1-1.960%
Last 5 (5)72.675.6148.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.279.9148.1-11.725%
vs Similar (9)77.379.0156.3-1.767%
vs Weaker (4)78.268.0146.2+10.275%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
Champions League
79.9Avg total
40.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.080.1-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.483.9+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.240.675.8-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.579.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.684.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.342.078.3-5.718%-
vs Similar (11)40.440.280.5+0.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.440.882.1+0.662%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A11/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H18/11
Basket League
78.5Avg total
39.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.677.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.279.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)35.940.075.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.378.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.473.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.841.577.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (9)41.439.380.8+2.156%-
vs Weaker (4)40.833.274.0+7.5100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.6
53.7%
52.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.5
34.2%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
71.5%16.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.4
50.9%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.116.6
71.9%
71.5%16.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWWLWWWL
PAOK
WWWLLLWWWL
#9
League position
#10
+11.1
Net rating
-2.7
112.0
Offensive rating
105.1
100.8
Defensive rating
107.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.2%
3-point %
32.8%
66.1%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 105.1Defence100.8 · 107.8Shooting52.9% · 50.2%3-point %34.2% · 32.8%Ball care17.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Athens wins
4
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
27/01/21AEK Athens v PAOK76-56
05/12/20AEK Athens v PAOK85-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HSzczecin86-64
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
08/11/23ASzczecin86-77
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HAris82-76
15/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem79-77
11/11/23AApollon Patras67-54
05/11/23HOlympiacos63-77
01/11/23ABenfica72-94
29/10/23ALavrio76-86
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
07/10/23HPromitheas80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game87.097.273.3
Allowed / game81.482.580.0
Point differential+5.6+14.8-6.7
Avg total168.4179.8153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game73.973.574.3
Allowed / game75.378.071.7
Point differential-1.4-4.5+2.7
Avg total149.1151.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos770100%85.467.7+17.7
3 Olympiacos76186%85.169.9+15.3
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
5 Promitheas86275%90.278.6+11.6
6 Peristeri74357%80.974.1+6.7
7 PAOK74357%73.975.3-1.4
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 Aris84450%74.473.5+0.9
10 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
11 AEK Athens73443%87.081.4+5.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes73443%78.784.4-5.7
13 Lavrio73443%83.791.1-7.4
14 Maroussi72529%83.194.7-11.6
15 Apollon Patras71614%66.188.6-22.4
16 AS Karditsas7070%71.182.1-11.0
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1719282690
PAOK252081770
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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