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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 110-105
29-34 24-21 28-27 29-23
Position#8
Record23-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#10
Record27-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-100
117
100
+17
115avg 107
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
126-119
126
119
+7
125avg 107
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-96
120
96
+24
122avg 107
A01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
104-110
104
110
-6
87avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
100-97
100
97
+3
91avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
102-103
102
103
-1
86avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
105-111
105
111
-6
93avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
98-111
98
111
-13
88avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-111
91
111
-20
73avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
28-22
30-17
27-37
30-25
36-23
39-30
21-41
26-20
27-22
37-25
30-29
31-25
19-32
25-30
29-23
25-29
29-31
24-18
22-19
22-25
25-32
28-24
27-22
29-28
27-27
32-22
17-34
23-22
25-29
28-27
22-33
29-24
28-36
33-28
29-25
19-21
29-34
27-22
16-34
215.3Avg total
108.2Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)117.2110.8228.1+6.461%
Season at home (15)117.7108.3226.0+9.380%
Season away (23)117.0112.4229.4+4.548%
Last 10 (10)108.2107.1215.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)103.0109.8212.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)113.9106.3220.2+7.673%
vs Weaker (18)118.2112.7230.9+5.656%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 111
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
239.2Avg total
124.1Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)120.3114.6234.9+5.866%
Season at home (21)116.0109.6225.5+6.471%
Season away (20)125.0119.8244.8+5.260%
Last 10 (10)124.1115.1239.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)126.0114.2240.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)113.3109.0222.3+4.383%
vs Similar ◀ (11)119.8119.6239.5+0.245%
vs Weaker (13)123.3111.8235.2+11.577%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H30/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/01
NBA
107.0Avg total
53.9Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.953.8110.7+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.354.0112.3+4.350%-
Last 30 away (18)56.053.7109.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)53.953.1107.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.6106.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)56.652.1108.7+4.564%-
vs Weaker (18)57.654.8112.4+2.844%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
117.7Avg total
60.3Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.357.0114.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.956.9113.9+0.041%-
Last 30 away (13)57.857.2115.0+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)60.357.4117.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)61.456.8118.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.256.3107.5-5.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)56.259.8116.0-3.636%-
vs Weaker (13)61.255.0116.2+6.262%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.031.5
53.4%
54.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.6
29.4%
35.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.716.4
72.2%
78.1%16.4
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 124.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.331.9
59.8%
54.8%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.314.8
39.7%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
78.1%15.9
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWLLLWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#10
+1.1
Net rating
+8.7
111.6
Offensive rating
120.4
110.4
Defensive rating
111.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
59.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.4%
3-point %
39.7%
54.7%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 120.4Defence110.4 · 111.7Shooting50.1% · 59.7%3-point %29.4% · 39.7%Ball care13.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds37.8% · 26.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder91-111
14/01/26HChicago Bulls119-113
12/01/26ASacramento Kings98-111
10/01/26APortland Trail Blazers105-111
08/01/26APortland Trail Blazers102-103
06/01/26HPhoenix Suns100-97
04/01/26ADallas Mavericks104-110
01/01/26ABrooklyn Nets120-96
30/12/25HIndiana Pacers126-119
28/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381523
Win %61%80%48%
Points / game117.2117.7117.0
Allowed / game110.8108.3112.4
Point differential+6.4+9.3+4.5
Avg total228.1226.0229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %13%7%17%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %66%71%60%
Points / game120.3116.0125.0
Allowed / game114.6109.6119.8
Point differential+5.8+6.4+5.2
Avg total234.9225.5244.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4034685%121.0108.1+12.9
2 Detroit Pistons39291074%117.6111.1+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs39261367%117.4112.4+5.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves41271466%120.3114.6+5.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers38241463%116.4116.5-0.1
7 Boston Celtics40251562%116.7110.2+6.5
8 Houston Rockets38231561%117.2110.8+6.4
9 Phoenix Suns40241660%115.2111.4+3.8
10 Toronto Raptors42251760%114.3112.2+2.1
11 New York Knicks39231659%118.6115.4+3.2
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors42231955%115.8113.2+2.5
16 Miami Heat40211952%119.7117.8+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers42202248%115.9118.4-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks43202347%117.9118.9-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls41192246%117.3120.7-3.4
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks42162638%113.6117.0-3.4
24 Charlotte Hornets41152637%116.6116.7-0.1
25 Utah Jazz41142734%119.3127.4-8.0
26 Brooklyn Nets39122731%108.9113.8-4.8
27 Sacramento Kings41113027%110.2120.7-10.5
28 Washington Wizards39102926%112.6123.9-11.3
29 Indiana Pacers42103224%111.0118.3-7.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans44103423%115.0122.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29242829110
Minnesota Timberwolves34212723105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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