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Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 110-112
19-20 19-34 34-26 38-32
Position#12
Record20-24
FormWWLLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game119.2
vs
Position#21
Record17-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Milwaukee Bucks
31 Dec 2026
ATL v MIL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ATL122
MIL99
19 Jan 2026
ATL110
MIL112
04 Mar 2025
ATL121
MIL127
07 Feb 2025
ATL115
MIL110
30 Mar 2024
ATL113
MIL122
11 Jan 2023
ATL105
MIL114
07 Nov 2022
ATL117
MIL98
17 Jan 2022
ATL121
MIL114
14 Nov 2021
ATL120
MIL100
03 Jul 2021
ATL107
MIL118
29 Jun 2021
ATL110
MIL88
27 Jun 2021
ATL102
MIL113
25 Apr 2021
ATL111
MIL104
15 Apr 2021
ATL109
MIL120
27 Dec 2019
ATL86
MIL112
20 Nov 2019
ATL127
MIL135
31 Mar 2019
ATL136
MIL135
13 Jan 2019
ATL114
MIL133
29 Oct 2017
ATL106
MIL117
15 Jan 2017
ATL111
MIL98
16 Nov 2016
ATL107
MIL100
25 Mar 2016
ATL101
MIL90
20 Feb 2016
ATL109
MIL117
30 Mar 2015
ATL101
MIL88
26 Dec 2014
ATL77
MIL107
13 Mar 2014
ATL102
MIL97
12 Apr 2013
ATL109
MIL104
20 Mar 2013
ATL98
MIL90
02 Mar 2012
ATL99
MIL94
15 Mar 2011
ATL110
MIL85
10 Nov 2010
ATL91
MIL108
02 May 2010
ATL95
MIL74
28 Apr 2010
ATL87
MIL91
20 Apr 2010
ATL96
MIL86
17 Apr 2010
ATL102
MIL92
28 Feb 2010
ATL106
MIL102
23 Jan 2009
ATL117
MIL87
26 Nov 2008
ATL102
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
122avg 111
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-99
111
99
+12
108avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
117-134
117
134
-17
109avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-118
100
118
-18
93avg 111
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
117-100
117
100
+17
111avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
104avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
116-141
116
141
-25
99avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
101-117
101
117
-16
92avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
106-132
106
132
-26
93avg 111
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
37-23
28-24
28-29
33-30
27-17
34-23
17-29
29-35
41-42
36-30
11-27
26-31
23-30
24-25
27-32
37-26
28-27
24-13
28-34
30-28
28-22
16-25
36-12
27-28
32-25
35-25
30-33
30-37
30-44
26-21
30-39
25-33
31-21
31-34
14-29
23-30
28-52
23-35
32-15
226.9Avg total
112.8Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)117.6119.2236.8-1.545%
Season at home (19)116.8120.5237.3-3.637%
Season away (25)118.2118.2236.4+0.152%
Last 10 (10)112.8114.1226.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)111.4117.6229.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)113.3124.6237.9-11.211%
vs Similar (15)117.4120.1237.5-2.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)124.8120.7245.5+4.250%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 106
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 106
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
86avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
27-31
26-35
16-40
32-13
225.0Avg total
111.4Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)112.4115.8228.2-3.341%
Season at home (19)116.6117.8234.4-1.247%
Season away (22)108.8114.0222.8-5.236%
Last 10 (10)111.4113.6225.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)105.8117.4223.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)109.7116.3226.0-6.527%
vs Similar (6)106.7107.7214.3-1.067%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-82
51
82
-31
H18/01
NBA
120.5Avg total
59.8Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.362.4121.7-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.462.1120.4-3.736%-
Last 30 away (16)60.162.6122.8-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)59.860.7120.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)56.864.0120.8-7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)56.366.1122.4-9.822%-
vs Similar (15)59.060.5119.5-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)64.561.5126.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A16/01
NBA
116.1Avg total
55.6Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.059.8114.8-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.663.2116.8-9.615%-
Last 30 away (17)56.157.2113.2-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)55.660.5116.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.864.0116.8-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.561.6115.1-8.018%-
vs Similar (6)57.352.7110.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.227.6
52.9%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.614.8
35.6%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
78.1%13.2
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.5
54.4%
54.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.714.1
38.4%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
78.1%16.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLWWWLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#21
-1.3
Net rating
-2.2
108.9
Offensive rating
113.3
110.1
Defensive rating
115.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.9%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.6%
3-point %
38.4%
71.9%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.3Defence110.1 · 115.5Shooting53.1% · 55.8%3-point %35.6% · 38.4%Ball care11.3% · 12.9%Off. rebounds20.5% · 21.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HBoston Celtics106-132
16/01/26APortland Trail Blazers101-117
14/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers116-141
12/01/26AGolden State Warriors124-111
10/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
08/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans117-100
06/01/26AToronto Raptors100-118
04/01/26AToronto Raptors117-134
03/01/26ANew York Knicks111-99
31/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves126-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs101-119
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeLLWWL37%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games441925
Win %45%37%52%
Points / game117.6116.8118.2
Allowed / game119.2120.5118.2
Point differential-1.5-3.6+0.1
Avg total236.8237.3236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%21%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game112.4116.6108.8
Allowed / game115.8117.8114.0
Point differential-3.3-1.2-5.2
Avg total228.2234.4222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%37%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4134783%121.0108.4+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons40301075%117.7110.2+7.4
3 San Antonio Spurs40271368%117.7112.7+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets43291467%121.7117.0+4.7
5 Boston Celtics41261563%117.0110.1+6.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves43271663%120.0114.7+5.3
7 Houston Rockets40251562%117.1110.7+6.5
8 Los Angeles Lakers40251562%116.2116.3-0.1
9 Phoenix Suns41251661%115.0111.1+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors43251858%113.8112.1+1.7
11 New York Knicks40231757%118.1115.1+3.0
12 Golden State Warriors43241956%116.2113.3+3.0
13 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
15 Orlando Magic40221855%116.0114.9+1.1
16 Miami Heat41221954%119.8117.9+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers44222250%116.2118.2-1.9
18 Chicago Bulls42202248%117.4120.3-2.8
19 Atlanta Hawks44202445%117.6119.2-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies41182344%115.1116.0-1.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks43172640%114.2117.0-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets43162737%116.4116.4+0.0
25 Utah Jazz42142833%119.4127.6-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets40122830%108.8114.0-5.3
27 Sacramento Kings43123128%110.6120.5-9.9
28 Washington Wizards41103124%112.7123.9-11.2
29 Indiana Pacers43103323%110.2118.4-8.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans45103522%114.9122.2-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks19193438110
Milwaukee Bucks20342632112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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