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Avellino vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 109-82
28-17 33-21 26-20 22-24
Position#9
Record14-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#13
Record8-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game86.6
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Torino
20 Apr 2019
AVE109
TOR82
14 Oct 2017
AVE72
TOR63
02 Oct 2016
AVE86
TOR83
13 Dec 2015
AVE86
TOR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#32
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-24
15-15
25-28
18-26
22-15
21-8
18-18
12-28
28-19
40-22
12-26
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
26-19
24-19
13-25
24-24
30-23
18-24
17-32
19-26
171.7Avg total
85.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.281.9163.1-0.754%
Season at home (13)83.577.7161.2+5.869%
Season away (13)78.886.1164.9-7.238%
Last 10 (10)85.386.4171.7-1.130%
Last 5 (5)85.085.6170.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.982.2154.1-10.322%
vs Similar (13)76.684.0160.6-7.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.677.0164.6+10.686%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
28-20
17-21
20-30
24-20
19-22
24-23
27-20
17-30
21-15
20-21
13-18
18-12
18-14
20-23
20-20
23-21
173.4Avg total
86.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.886.6169.4-3.831%
Season at home (13)80.081.2161.2-1.246%
Season away (13)85.691.9177.5-6.315%
Last 10 (10)86.287.2173.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)78.682.0160.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.090.6172.6-8.612%
vs Similar (9)81.084.9165.9-3.922%
vs Weaker (4)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
AvellinoTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A14/04
Lega A
86.4Avg total
42.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.781.3-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.479.1-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.283.9-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.286.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.483.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.341.779.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (13)38.543.882.4-5.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.337.181.4+7.157%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A30/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
Lega A
84.6Avg total
40.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.283.9-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.342.681.9-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.146.186.2-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.884.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.644.884.4-5.129%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.782.9-4.433%-
vs Weaker (4)40.843.284.0-2.550%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.5
49.1%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
72.3%13.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.1
39.4%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.612.3
66.1%
72.3%12.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLLLWWLLWL
Torino
WWLLLLLWWL
#9
League position
#13
-6.3
Net rating
-1.9
101.5
Offensive rating
108.6
107.9
Defensive rating
110.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.9%
3-point %
39.4%
65.2%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 108.6Defence107.9 · 110.5Shooting48.0% · 55.6%3-point %30.9% · 39.4%Ball care16.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
2
Torino wins
DateGameScore
26/12/18Torino v Avellino79-96
04/02/18Torino v Avellino59-77
14/10/17Avellino v Torino72-63
22/01/17Torino v Avellino84-79
02/10/16Avellino v Torino86-83
03/04/16Torino v Avellino78-74
13/12/15Avellino v Torino86-79
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19ASassari84-105
09/04/19HTrieste96-97 OT
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97
15/02/19HBrindisi92-95
10/02/19HBrescia79-67
05/02/19AVentspils102-106 OT
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19APistoia81-78
07/04/19HVarese72-66
30/03/19ATrento87-95
24/03/19HBrescia89-91
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%69%38%
Points / game81.283.578.8
Allowed / game81.977.786.1
Point differential-0.7+5.8-7.2
Avg total163.1161.2164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%46%15%
Points / game82.880.085.6
Allowed / game86.681.291.9
Point differential-3.8-1.2-6.3
Avg total169.4161.2177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %19%8%31%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2620677%87.279.0+8.1
2 Venezia2618869%81.874.3+7.6
3 Cremona2718967%83.378.7+4.6
4 Brindisi27161159%81.778.9+2.9
5 Trento27161159%79.980.8-0.9
6 Trieste26151158%88.583.8+4.7
7 Sassari26141254%86.081.6+4.4
8 Avellino26141254%81.281.9-0.7
9 Varese27141352%79.076.1+2.9
10 Cantu27141352%84.386.4-2.2
11 Brescia26121446%80.180.8-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna26121446%79.481.2-1.8
13 Torino2681831%82.886.6-3.8
14 Reggiana2671927%78.083.6-5.6
15 Pesaro2671927%80.192.0-11.9
16 Pistoia2762122%75.483.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino28332622109
Torino1721202482
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