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Cremona vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-88
26-23 16-21 26-25 26-19
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game99.0
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cremona v Avellino
14 Oct 2018
CRE94
AVE88
10 Dec 2017
CRE86
AVE73
18 Dec 2016
CRE73
AVE86
20 Dec 2015
CRE64
AVE58
04 Jan 2015
CRE88
AVE81
16 Mar 2014
CRE83
AVE75
21 Oct 2012
CRE94
AVE83
25 Apr 2012
CRE83
AVE55
10 Apr 2011
CRE89
AVE78
16 May 2010
CRE81
AVE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H28/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A06/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
119-95
119
95
+24
H09/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
A06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
17-27
20-27
30-20
22-27
20-18
21-22
21-24
23-26
21-18
32-11
23-17
26-19
17-16
26-27
19-24
17-24
23-23
20-22
19-20
33-31
24-22
32-19
30-23
20-31
21-21
22-16
14-19
12-24
30-26
20-26
14-32
15-25
17-22
23-23
17-29
19-15
18-16
19-21
21-25
180.9Avg total
88.7Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.099.0203.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.099.0203.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.792.2180.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)89.697.6187.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.190.1169.2-11.012%
vs Similar (14)84.584.2168.7+0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.184.1179.3+11.086%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
A09/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
17-9
16-29
21-17
13-15
19-26
29-22
18-18
18-15
15-13
13-13
24-23
19-19
17-18
18-20
24-17
17-18
21-17
20-13
19-31
24-15
20-18
16-10
20-16
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
20-21
17-21
19-24
12-18
32-20
26-26
22-19
18-16
23-19
17-22
17-11
18-23
158.0Avg total
79.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.081.0179.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)98.081.0179.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.778.3158.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.281.0166.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)100.093.0193.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (18)76.276.9153.1-0.739%
vs Weaker (10)86.572.1158.6+14.480%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
CremonaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H09/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/10
Lega A
87.0Avg total
41.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.584.1-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.540.885.3+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.143.983.0-4.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.387.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.688.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.547.287.8-6.812%-
vs Similar (14)40.940.781.6+0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.640.986.4+4.757%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Champions League
76.3Avg total
38.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.676.6+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.835.479.2+8.381%-
Last 30 away (14)37.835.873.6+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.476.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.883.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (18)38.236.374.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (10)46.234.180.3+12.190%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.9
53.9%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.2
77.6%
72.3%13.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.7
59.3%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.5
39.2%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.5
77.2%
72.3%10.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLWLWWLL
Avellino
WWLLWLWWLL
#3
League position
#9
-8.6
Net rating
+8.8
108.5
Offensive rating
109.0
117.1
Defensive rating
100.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
59.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
22.1%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
39.2%
43.5%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 109.0Defence117.1 · 100.1Shooting54.0% · 59.1%3-point %36.1% · 39.2%Ball care16.7% · 22.1%Off. rebounds24.3% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
08/04/18Avellino v Cremona95-72
15/02/18Avellino v Cremona82-89 OT
10/12/17Cremona v Avellino86-73
15/04/17Avellino v Cremona85-78
18/12/16Cremona v Avellino73-86
10/04/16Avellino v Cremona84-70
20/12/15Cremona v Avellino64-58
03/05/15Avellino v Cremona84-79
04/01/15Cremona v Avellino88-81
16/03/14Cremona v Avellino83-75
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/18ATrento104-99 OT
17/05/18HVenezia72-99
15/05/18AVenezia76-108
13/05/18AVenezia77-87
09/05/18HCapo d'Orlando119-95
06/05/18AVarese79-89
28/04/18HBrescia88-86
22/04/18ABrindisi99-72
18/04/18AReggiana84-91
15/04/18HTrento89-96
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/18ANizhny Novgorod100-93 OT
06/10/18HCantu98-81
19/05/18ATrento68-84
17/05/18ATrento80-88
15/05/18HTrento80-59
13/05/18HTrento77-79
09/05/18HTrento78-74
06/05/18AVirtus Bologna70-64
02/05/18AVenezia79-81
29/04/18HSassari67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game99.0-99.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total203.0-203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino110100%98.081.0+17.0
2 Olimpia Milano110100%103.092.0+11.0
3 Reggiana110100%85.077.0+8.0
4 Pesaro110100%83.077.0+6.0
5 Cremona110100%104.099.0+5.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%92.088.0+4.0
7 Venezia110100%76.075.0+1.0
8 Torino21150%80.575.0+5.5
9 Sassari21150%74.072.5+1.5
10 Varese21150%70.575.5-5.0
11 Brescia1010%80.081.0-1.0
12 Trento1010%99.0104.0-5.0
13 Pistoia1010%77.083.0-6.0
14 Trieste2020%81.089.0-8.0
15 Brindisi1010%92.0103.0-11.0
16 Cantu1010%81.098.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2616262694
Avellino2321251988
← all games of the day
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