Avellino vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 74-70

23-12 25-22 10-16 16-20

Position#13

Record4-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game74.4

Avellino 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#14

Record4-5

FormWLLWW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game76.4

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

82-74

H11/05

Lega A

Venezia

71-76

-5

H12/10

Lega A

Cantu

65-74

-9

A19/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

69-60

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

73-69

H03/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

81-67

+14

A09/11

Lega A

Reggiana

88-94

-6

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

75-81

-6

A24/11

Lega A

Trento

84-72

+12

H30/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

76-77

-1

A07/12

Lega A

22-13

21-26

21-24

18-11

19-19

19-16

16-18

17-23

20-23

13-20

24-12

8-19

24-11

16-10

17-21

12-18

24-12

23-14

10-17

16-26

22-16

22-19

21-16

16-16

22-28

24-18

24-21

18-27

27-23

17-22

19-13

12-23

20-9

13-18

27-25

24-20

17-27

17-17

19-10

23-23

150.8Avg total

76.4Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.8	74.4	150.2	+1.3	44%
Season at home (5)	77.0	74.2	151.2	+2.8	60%
Season away (4)	74.2	74.8	149.0	-0.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	74.4	150.8	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	78.2	159.0	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.9	82.5	155.4	-9.6	21%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	76.7	74.5	151.2	+2.2	58%
vs Weaker (4)	87.5	84.8	172.2	+2.8	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#17

87-89

-2

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

83-81

H12/11

Eurocup

Varese

#12

87-78

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

100-69

100

+31

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

83-87

-4

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

76-64

+12

A26/11

Eurocup

Pistoia

#10

84-94

-10

A30/11

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

80-98

-18

A03/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

63-50

+13

H07/12

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

78-72

H09/12

Eurocup

30-17

21-22

20-24

16-26

25-21

18-21

11-24

29-15

20-26

24-11

23-15

27-22

20-19

30-13

21-16

18-20

18-22

26-29

11-21

23-12

25-14

17-17

18-25

19-20

22-20

25-29

21-30

14-18

21-28

24-22

18-10

21-17

8-12

16-11

18-14

24-21

14-18

22-19

160.3Avg total

82.1Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.0	76.4	152.4	-0.4	44%
Season at home (4)	75.0	68.5	143.5	+6.5	75%
Season away (5)	76.8	82.8	159.6	-6.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	78.2	160.3	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	75.6	151.8	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	71.2	77.1	148.3	-5.9	36%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.9	75.8	155.6	+4.1	75%
vs Weaker (10)	84.7	78.2	162.9	+6.5	70%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.6	20.1	38.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.6	38.9	-4.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.8	19.6	36.3	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.1	39.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.6	38.1	-1.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	18.8	35.4	-2.3	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	60%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

43-39

H11/05

Lega A

Venezia

38-35

H12/10

Lega A

Cantu

33-43

-10

A19/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

40-21

+19

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

47-26

+21

H03/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

44-35

A09/11

Lega A

Reggiana

46-46

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

44-45

-1

A24/11

Lega A

Trento

33-27

H30/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-44

-10

A07/12

Lega A

76.3Avg total

40.2Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	36.9	77.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	43.4	79.9	-6.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	36.1	76.3	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.9	43.3	80.2	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	36.2	79.8	+7.2	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#17

51-39

+12

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

43-42

H12/11

Eurocup

Varese

#12

40-52

-12

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

50-37

+13

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

39-36

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

34-33

A26/11

Eurocup

Pistoia

#10

37-45

-8

A30/11

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

35-48

-13

A03/12

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

39-27

+12

H07/12

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

42-35

H09/12

Eurocup

80.4Avg total

41.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	37.5	76.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.6	75.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	37.5	72.0	-2.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.2	40.8	80.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	37.2	78.3	+3.9	70%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	18.5	34.9	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.3	37.5	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.9	40.6	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.4	75.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	37.6	73.9	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	38.3	74.5	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.8	79.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.1	38.1	73.2	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.2	36.7	74.9	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	44.5	85.2	-3.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.5	76.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	38.4	76.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.3	38.6	73.9	-3.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.5	37.7	78.2	+2.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
02/02/14	Virtus Roma v Avellino	72-80
27/10/13	Avellino v Virtus Roma	84-82
07/04/13	Virtus Roma v Avellino	75-81 OT
09/12/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	79-94
07/04/12	Avellino v Virtus Roma	82-88
18/12/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	96-99 OT
20/02/11	Virtus Roma v Avellino	80-70
07/11/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	72-65
14/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Roma	74-56
25/10/09	Virtus Roma v Avellino	74-78

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/14	A	Virtus Bologna	76-77
30/11/14	H	Trento	84-72
24/11/14	A	Sassari	75-81
15/11/14	H	Reggiana	88-94
09/11/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	81-67
03/11/14	H	Olimpia Milano	73-69
26/10/14	H	Pesaro	69-60
19/10/14	A	Cantu	65-74
12/10/14	H	Venezia	71-76
11/05/14	H	Reggiana	82-74

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/14	H	Nymburk	78-72
07/12/14	H	Cremona	63-50
03/12/14	A	Real Betis	80-98
30/11/14	A	Pistoia	84-94
26/11/14	A	Nancy	76-64
22/11/14	A	Reggiana	83-87
18/11/14	H	Spirou Charleroi	100-69
16/11/14	H	Varese	87-78
12/11/14	H	Oldenburg	83-81
08/11/14	A	Pesaro	87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	75.8	77.0	74.2
Allowed / game	74.4	74.2	74.8
Point differential	+1.3	+2.8	-0.5
Avg total	150.2	151.2	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	44%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	75%	20%
Points / game	76.0	75.0	76.8
Allowed / game	76.4	68.5	82.8
Point differential	-0.4	+6.5	-6.0
Avg total	152.4	143.5	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Venezia	9	8	1	89%	80.8	76.0	+4.8
2	Olimpia Milano	9	7	2	78%	86.6	76.7	+9.9
3	Reggiana	9	7	2	78%	84.1	79.3	+4.8
4	Sassari	9	6	3	67%	86.0	79.1	+6.9
5	Brindisi	9	5	4	56%	77.0	72.4	+4.6
6	Cremona	9	5	4	56%	76.2	73.4	+2.8
7	Trento	9	5	4	56%	82.3	83.2	-0.9
8	Virtus Bologna	9	5	4	56%	74.1	76.9	-2.8
9	Avellino	9	4	5	44%	75.8	74.4	+1.3
10	Virtus Roma	9	4	5	44%	76.0	76.4	-0.4
11	Cantu	9	4	5	44%	78.6	79.3	-0.8
12	Pistoia	9	4	5	44%	75.0	75.8	-0.8
13	Varese	9	3	6	33%	85.0	87.3	-2.3
14	Capo d'Orlando	9	3	6	33%	68.9	72.4	-3.6
15	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	71.0	85.9	-14.9
16	Caserta	9	0	9	0%	72.4	81.0	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	23	25	10	16	74
Virtus Roma	12	22	16	20	70

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature