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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 87-98
24-30 21-18 22-23 20-27
Position#7
Record7-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#1
Record23-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game81.2
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
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29 Mar 2019
VAER87
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14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
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04 Mar 2015
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BBE75
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BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
70-112
70
112
-42
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
94-101
94
101
-7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A26/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-114
85
114
-29
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H03/03
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H10/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H16/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-107
81
107
-26
A22/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
19-28
15-23
16-28
23-20
21-28
27-24
23-29
15-18
27-14
25-20
12-19
22-11
25-19
23-13
18-17
28-29
19-29
17-27
21-29
18-16
21-26
13-20
22-22
12-16
17-23
27-11
12-14
17-25
22-25
19-19
31-28
20-18
33-18
22-11
24-26
18-35
15-29
20-21
28-22
171.0Avg total
82.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.387.5165.8-9.230%
Season at home (11)84.287.0171.2-2.836%
Season away (12)72.988.0160.9-15.125%
Last 10 (10)82.788.3171.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)82.285.0167.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.299.1173.3-24.90%
vs Similar (8)79.281.8161.0-2.550%
vs Weaker (5)80.275.0155.2+5.260%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
124-80
124
80
+44
A22/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
111-72
111
72
+39
H25/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H28/02
Basketligaen
Nes Ziona
#6
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A08/03
Basketligaen
Nes Ziona
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A15/03
Basketligaen
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H22/03
Basketligaen
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
41-24
32-26
26-12
25-18
29-10
32-19
25-25
19-16
24-17
26-22
28-23
17-22
22-19
28-14
24-19
20-20
20-29
16-23
19-14
20-21
11-19
20-11
30-25
19-19
26-22
16-30
32-17
19-17
21-29
24-17
12-12
35-18
29-15
21-20
22-28
27-23
9-24
19-25
15-14
172.1Avg total
92.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)102.081.2183.2+20.992%
Season at home (13)106.481.8188.2+24.5100%
Season away (12)97.380.4177.8+16.983%
Last 10 (10)92.579.6172.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)85.481.2166.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)97.481.7179.1+15.779%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/02
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H03/03
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H10/03
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H16/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A22/03
Basketligaen
87.2Avg total
41.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.544.583.0-5.931%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.842.182.8-1.338%-
Last 30 away (13)36.346.883.2-10.523%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.087.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.284.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.950.888.8-12.98%-
vs Similar (8)38.940.679.5-1.838%-
vs Weaker (4)41.036.077.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
66-42
66
42
+24
A22/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H28/02
Basketligaen
Nes Ziona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A08/03
Basketligaen
Nes Ziona
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A15/03
Basketligaen
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
64-33
64
33
+31
H22/03
Basketligaen
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
85.8Avg total
45.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.440.988.3+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.639.490.0+11.379%-
Last 30 away (16)44.642.286.9+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.085.8+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.540.588.0+7.066%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
10
Bakken Bears wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/19ABakken Bears81-107
16/03/19HEBAA Aarhus99-73
10/03/19HStevnsgade89-97
03/03/19HEBAA Aarhus68-64
13/02/19AHerlev Wolfpack74-84
09/02/19ARanders85-114
30/01/19HStevnsgade88-60
26/01/19AStevnsgade79-71
16/01/19HHorsens94-101
13/01/19ATeam FOG Naestved70-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/19As.Oliver Wurzburg70-86
22/03/19HVaerlose107-81
20/03/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg76-75
15/03/19ATeam FOG Naestved93-88
13/03/19ANes Ziona81-76
08/03/19AHorsens75-86
06/03/19HNes Ziona91-74
28/02/19HSvendborg97-78
25/02/19HHerlev Wolfpack111-72
22/02/19AHerlev Wolfpack124-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%36%25%
Points / game78.384.272.9
Allowed / game87.587.088.0
Point differential-9.2-2.8-15.1
Avg total165.8171.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game102.0106.497.3
Allowed / game81.281.880.4
Point differential+20.9+24.5+16.9
Avg total183.2188.2177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%92%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2523292%102.081.2+20.9
2 Horsens2721678%94.780.0+14.7
3 Team FOG Naestved27171063%91.680.1+11.5
4 Randers27151256%89.089.9-0.9
5 Svendborg27141352%82.382.3+0.0
6 EBAA Aarhus2581732%74.585.2-10.7
7 Vaerlose2371630%78.387.5-9.2
8 Herlev Wolfpack2571828%79.792.7-13.0
9 Stevnsgade222209%71.289.5-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2421222087
Bakken Bears3018232798
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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