Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Oct 2020

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 74-106

22-27 20-32 14-21 18-26

Position#6

Record0-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game116.0

Vaerlose

Bakken Bears 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game105.0

Allowed / game55.0

BasketligaenRound 2

Other2020-21

Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

83-100

100

-17

H15/12

Basketligaen

Randers

85-95

-10

A29/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

71-85

-14

H10/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

98-71

+27

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

88-84

H23/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

86-69

+17

H26/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

84-87

-3

A02/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

96-84

+12

A11/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

82-74

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

72-116

116

-44

A03/10

Basketligaen

19-16

19-32

27-23

18-29

25-23

16-28

24-25

20-19

20-24

22-20

13-20

16-21

24-13

25-14

18-21

31-23

25-24

21-19

17-20

25-21

19-16

15-18

19-18

33-17

17-14

16-13

23-37

28-23

24-22

26-27

26-9

20-26

24-19

20-21

19-21

19-13

20-29

19-24

18-33

15-30

171.0Avg total

84.5Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	72.0	116.0	188.0	-44.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	72.0	116.0	188.0	-44.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	86.5	171.0	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	86.0	170.0	-2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	80.1	99.6	179.7	-19.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	84.4	82.0	166.4	+2.4	71%
vs Weaker (10)	88.6	78.7	167.3	+9.9	70%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

84-96

-12

A25/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

80-79

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

127-89

127

+38

H13/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

83-75

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

87-83

H26/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

121-66

121

+55

A28/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

113-91

113

+22

H07/03

Basketligaen

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#43

91-71

+20

H23/09

Champions League

Belfius Mons

#20

86-71

+15

A25/09

Champions League

Copenhagen

105-55

105

+50

H03/10

Basketligaen

27-33

14-23

17-17

26-23

17-16

27-17

19-27

17-19

39-24

33-13

21-23

34-29

25-18

23-22

15-17

20-18

22-22

25-17

21-22

19-22

26-14

35-18

28-21

32-13

26-25

24-17

31-23

32-26

22-21

23-15

28-20

18-15

22-19

20-12

26-14

18-26

23-19

34-4

26-12

22-20

175.3Avg total

97.7Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	105.0	55.0	160.0	+50.0	100%
Season at home (1)	105.0	55.0	160.0	+50.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	97.7	77.6	175.3	+20.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	103.2	70.8	174.0	+32.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	95.3	75.9	171.3	+19.4	90%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseBakken Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.8	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.7	43.3	-0.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.3	25.2	46.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	16.7	38.3	+4.9	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	19.8	43.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	21.1	46.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	24.1	18.5	42.6	+5.6	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.1	42.5	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.4	41.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.9	24.1	42.0	-6.2	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.7	21.1	44.9	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	17.3	41.0	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	16.2	41.1	+8.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	15.8	41.6	+10.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	13.2	40.4	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	23.8	17.3	41.1	+6.4	72%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

38-48

-10

H15/12

Basketligaen

Randers

41-51

-10

A29/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-44

-2

H10/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

49-27

+22

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

46-43

H23/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

34-34

H26/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

33-27

A02/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

50-49

A11/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

44-40

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-53

-14

A03/10

Basketligaen

83.2Avg total

41.6Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	43.1	84.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.1	85.2	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.6	83.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.2	49.2	88.5	-10.0	8%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.7	37.0	79.7	+5.7	80%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

41-56

-15

A25/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-33

+11

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

72-37

+35

H13/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

48-40

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

47-39

H26/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

61-32

+29

A28/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

50-42

H07/03

Basketligaen

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#43

45-36

H23/09

Champions League

Belfius Mons

#20

42-31

+11

A25/09

Champions League

Copenhagen

57-23

+34

H03/10

Basketligaen

87.6Avg total

50.7Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.8	35.9	83.6	+11.9	93%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.0	36.0	85.0	+13.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.4	35.7	82.1	+10.6	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	36.9	87.6	+13.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	32.8	83.8	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	47.9	35.9	83.7	+12.0	93%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.4	43.7	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.7	24.8	46.5	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	19.9	43.7	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	18.0	45.8	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	23.1	19.8	43.0	+3.3	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.9	43.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	24.7	46.6	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.2	25.6	44.8	-6.5	15%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	22.6	44.1	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.8	20.9	45.7	+3.9	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	19.9	44.9	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	20.3	43.4	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.1	44.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.0	44.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	24.3	20.2	44.6	+4.1	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	45.1	87.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	42.0	84.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	48.1	90.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.9	87.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.4	89.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.8	50.4	91.2	-9.5	8%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.9	40.6	85.5	+4.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	39.9	87.3	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.9	39.8	88.6	+9.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.8	40.1	85.9	+5.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	40.7	87.7	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	38.0	90.2	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	47.5	40.1	87.6	+7.4	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 87.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws4.0 pts a game · 5% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

50%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	24.5	59.8%	54.7%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	11.5	41.8%	32.5%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	8.0	4.0	50.0%	69.6%	4.0

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	20.0	44.4%	54.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.5	35.4%	32.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	9.5	4.5	47.4%	69.6%	4.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	20.0	44.4%	54.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.5	35.4%	32.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	9.5	4.5	47.4%	69.6%	4.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Bakken Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
10/01/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	71-85
17/11/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	102-81
31/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	90-71
29/03/19	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	87-98
22/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-81
15/12/18	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	113-74
14/10/18	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	78-90
10/11/17	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-94
17/11/16	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	56-110
04/03/15	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	66-90

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/10/20	A	Svendborg	72-116
16/02/20	H	Amager	82-74
11/02/20	A	Copenhagen	96-84
02/02/20	A	EBAA Aarhus	84-87
26/01/20	H	EBAA Aarhus	86-69
23/01/20	H	Herlev Wolfpack	88-84
15/01/20	A	Amager	98-71
10/01/20	H	Bakken Bears	71-85
29/12/19	A	Randers	85-95
15/12/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	83-100

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/10/20	H	Copenhagen	105-55
25/09/20	A	Belfius Mons	86-71
23/09/20	H	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	91-71
07/03/20	H	Amager	113-91
28/02/20	A	Herlev Wolfpack	121-66
26/02/20	H	Svendborg	87-83
16/02/20	H	Svendborg	83-75
13/02/20	H	Randers	127-89
02/02/20	A	Team FOG Naestved	80-79
25/01/20	A	Randers	84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	72.0	-	72.0
Allowed / game	116.0	-	116.0
Point differential	-44.0	-	-44.0
Avg total	188.0	-	188.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	105.0	105.0	-
Allowed / game	55.0	55.0	-
Point differential	+50.0	+50.0	-
Avg total	160.0	160.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	1	1	0	100%	105.0	55.0	+50.0
2	Svendborg	1	1	0	100%	116.0	72.0	+44.0
3	Horsens	2	2	0	100%	87.0	67.5	+19.5
4	Randers	1	1	0	100%	99.0	92.0	+7.0
5	Team FOG Naestved	1	1	0	100%	78.0	71.0	+7.0
6	Bears Academy	2	0	2	0%	81.5	88.5	-7.0
7	Amager	1	0	1	0%	76.0	94.0	-18.0
8	Copenhagen	2	0	2	0%	57.0	92.5	-35.5
9	Vaerlose	1	0	1	0%	72.0	116.0	-44.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	22	20	14	18	74
Bakken Bears	27	32	21	26	106

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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