Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Nov 2021

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 64-90

16-15 25-26 14-30 9-19

Position#6

Record3-4

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game85.1

Vaerlose

Bakken Bears 🏆

Position#1

Record7-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game101.4

Allowed / game80.6

Basketligaen

Other2021-22

Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

88-105

105

-17

A05/04

Basketligaen

Randers

106-115

106

115

-9

H08/04

Basketligaen

Randers

91-99

-8

A12/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

100-84

100

+16

H24/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

84-71

+13

A02/10

Basketligaen

Randers

80-109

109

-29

H08/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

69-89

-20

A13/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-89

-5

H22/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

78-71

A28/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

64-83

-19

H04/11

Basketligaen

26-26

22-28

18-25

22-26

16-25

29-31

29-25

32-34

24-27

18-23

28-18

21-31

24-19

25-19

21-21

30-25

18-8

14-20

19-14

33-29

20-23

21-23

22-36

17-27

25-23

13-24

17-18

14-24

12-19

21-27

31-22

20-21

21-23

15-12

21-15

21-21

15-17

11-26

26-24

12-16

175.9Avg total

84.4Scored

91.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	79.9	85.1	165.0	-5.3	43%
Season at home (4)	82.0	91.2	173.2	-9.2	25%
Season away (3)	77.0	77.0	154.0	+0.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	91.5	175.9	-7.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	88.2	163.2	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	81.6	96.8	178.5	-15.2	0%
vs Similar (4)	90.2	80.2	170.5	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker (12)	84.2	76.2	160.3	+8.0	83%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

106-69

106

+37

H09/10

Basketligaen

Crailsheim Merlins

78-91

-13

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Peristeri

#30

83-85

-2

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

89-85

A23/10

Basketligaen

Minsk

#33

101-93

101

H27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Copenhagen

113-67

113

+46

H29/10

Basketligaen

Crailsheim Merlins

86-77

A03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Svendborg

104-86

104

+18

A06/11

Basketligaen

Peristeri

#30

83-75

H10/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Minsk

#33

93-80

+13

A17/11

FIBA Europe Cup

20-15

31-16

24-26

31-12

24-18

19-27

18-20

17-26

12-24

23-16

14-19

34-26

25-20

29-17

21-26

14-22

28-25

25-18

20-25

35-18

28-23

26-16

24-10

23-19

28-21

10-22

25-15

26-19

28-20

20-18

30-29

28-18

26-20

12-19

17-18

32-20

21-22

23-21

17-17

174.4Avg total

93.6Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	101.4	80.6	182.0	+20.9	100%
Season at home (3)	107.7	75.0	182.7	+32.7	100%
Season away (4)	96.8	84.8	181.5	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.6	80.8	174.4	+12.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	77.0	172.8	+18.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.0	84.0	166.0	-2.0	50%
vs Similar (1)	82.0	80.0	162.0	+2.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	99.9	85.3	185.2	+14.7	85%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseBakken Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.4	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	20.4	45.5	+4.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.7	19.7	46.4	+6.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.6	44.9	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	18.8	47.6	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	25.6	20.7	46.3	+4.9	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.4	38.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.1	24.7	43.8	-5.6	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	21.7	46.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.3	22.7	49.0	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	20.7	46.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	21.2	47.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	24.0	47.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	25.5	21.7	47.2	+3.8	69%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

48-54

-6

A05/04

Basketligaen

Randers

45-56

-11

H08/04

Basketligaen

Randers

42-50

-8

A12/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

49-38

+11

H24/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

32-28

A02/10

Basketligaen

Randers

41-46

-5

H08/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

38-47

-9

A13/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

33-46

-13

H22/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

36-35

A28/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

26-43

-17

H04/11

Basketligaen

83.3Avg total

39.0Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	43.0	83.3	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	43.7	84.1	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	42.3	82.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.3	83.3	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	43.4	78.2	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.8	47.8	85.5	-10.0	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.3	39.1	81.4	+3.2	67%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

51-31

+20

H09/10

Basketligaen

Crailsheim Merlins

43-45

-2

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Peristeri

#30

35-40

-5

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

54-37

+17

A23/10

Basketligaen

Minsk

#33

56-50

H27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Copenhagen

63-41

+22

H29/10

Basketligaen

Crailsheim Merlins

51-40

+11

A03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Svendborg

54-39

+15

A06/11

Basketligaen

Peristeri

#30

54-38

+16

H10/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Minsk

#33

53-42

+11

A17/11

FIBA Europe Cup

91.7Avg total

51.4Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.1	42.0	92.1	+8.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	53.0	42.4	95.4	+10.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.2	41.7	88.9	+5.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.4	40.3	91.7	+11.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.0	40.0	95.0	+15.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.0	42.5	89.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	51.0	42.4	93.4	+8.7	77%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.9	42.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.3	45.7	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.0	46.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.6	24.8	47.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	16.8	38.3	+4.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.1	43.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	21.0	35.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.3	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.5	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	25.4	47.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.2	24.2	45.5	-3.0	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.2	22.0	48.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.2	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	20.8	46.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	10.0	28.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	25.2	21.5	46.7	+3.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	43.0	86.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	44.3	89.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	41.7	82.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	47.2	92.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	44.8	85.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	43.8	49.1	92.9	-5.2	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	47.2	41.0	88.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.1	36.5	77.6	+4.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	42.3	89.0	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	41.6	89.3	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.6	43.1	88.7	+2.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	41.5	76.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	34.0	33.0	67.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	48.2	42.3	90.5	+5.9	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	23.0	55.6%	54.5%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.9	34.4%	32.6%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.2	68.2%	69.6%	11.2

They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.0	51.8%	54.5%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.9	36.5%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	14.6	10.6	72.5%	69.6%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.0	51.8%	54.5%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.9	36.5%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	14.6	10.6	72.5%	69.6%	10.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Bakken Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/21	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	108-68
06/10/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-106
10/01/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	71-85
17/11/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	102-81
31/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	90-71
29/03/19	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	87-98
22/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-81
15/12/18	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	113-74
14/10/18	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	78-90
10/11/17	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	69-94

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/21	H	Team FOG Naestved	64-83
28/10/21	A	Amager	78-71
22/10/21	H	Horsens	84-89
13/10/21	A	Herlev Wolfpack	69-89
08/10/21	H	Randers	80-109
02/10/21	A	Bears Academy	84-71
24/09/21	H	Copenhagen	100-84
12/04/21	A	Randers	91-99
08/04/21	H	Randers	106-115
05/04/21	A	Randers	88-105

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/21	A	Minsk	93-80
10/11/21	H	Peristeri	83-75
06/11/21	A	Svendborg	104-86
03/11/21	A	Crailsheim Merlins	86-77
29/10/21	H	Copenhagen	113-67
27/10/21	H	Minsk	101-93
23/10/21	A	Team FOG Naestved	89-85
20/10/21	A	Peristeri	83-85
13/10/21	H	Crailsheim Merlins	78-91
09/10/21	H	Herlev Wolfpack	106-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	43%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	25%	67%
Points / game	79.9	82.0	77.0
Allowed / game	85.1	91.2	77.0
Point differential	-5.3	-9.2	+0.0
Avg total	165.0	173.2	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	101.4	107.7	96.8
Allowed / game	80.6	75.0	84.8
Point differential	+20.9	+32.7	+12.0
Avg total	182.0	182.7	181.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	100%	101.4	80.6	+20.9
2	Svendborg	7	6	1	86%	97.0	81.7	+15.3
3	Team FOG Naestved	9	7	2	78%	90.8	76.7	+14.1
4	Horsens	8	5	3	62%	89.9	84.0	+5.9
5	Randers	9	5	4	56%	97.0	85.7	+11.3
6	Vaerlose	7	3	4	43%	79.9	85.1	-5.3
7	Herlev Wolfpack	8	3	5	38%	78.0	85.0	-7.0
8	Bears Academy	9	3	6	33%	76.1	83.6	-7.4
9	Copenhagen	10	2	8	20%	75.1	91.3	-16.2
10	Amager	8	0	8	0%	69.1	95.0	-25.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	16	25	14	9	64
Bakken Bears	15	26	30	19	90

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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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